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CYCLIQ Group Ltd (CYQ) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$2.3M

CG CYCLIQ Group Ltd CYQ · AU
PriceA$0.0040
Fair ValueA$0.0036
Upside-10.0%
Quality44/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -6.3% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$0.0036 – A$0.0036 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −20.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0036). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Our model range runs from A$0.0036 (bear) to A$0.0036 (bull), base A$0.0036. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.0400 A$0.0020 Fair Value A$0.0036 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0020 – A$0.0400 · the A$0.0040 price screens above the A$0.0036 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

CYCLIQ Group Ltd (CYQ) currently trades at A$0.0040, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0036, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, CYCLIQ Group Ltd generated revenue of A$4.0M at a net margin of -6.3%. Revenue declined 26.9% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -10%, CYQ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.0100 A$0.0100 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.0100 A$0.0100 74
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 70
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.0100 A$0.0100 38
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.0100 A$0.0100 39
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.0100 A$0.0100 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue A$0.0100 A$0.0100 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.0100 A$0.0100 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.0100 A$0.0100 74

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.0200) versus DCF Models (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$4.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -26.9%
Net margin -6.3%
Return on equity -334%
Free cash flow A$134K FY2025
Operating margin -6.4%
More key figures
Net cash A$573K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cycliq Group Limited manufactures and sells HD bike cameras and safety lights in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers bike cameras; apparel; bundles; accessories; and desktop, smartphone, and firmware software solutions.

Full company description

Cycliq Group Limited manufactures and sells HD bike cameras and safety lights in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers bike cameras; apparel; bundles; accessories; and desktop, smartphone, and firmware software solutions. It sells its products through a network of distributors and retail partners, as well as its website. Cycliq Group Limited is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CYCLIQ Group Ltd reported revenue of A$4.8M in FY2025 versus A$3.4M in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$553K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 31/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$4.8M
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.3%
Revenue +9.0%/yr
FY21 A$3.4M
FY22 A$4.5M
FY23 A$5.2M
FY24 A$4.6M
FY25 A$4.8M
Net income
FY21 −A$3.2M
FY22 −A$829K
FY23 −A$446K
FY24 −A$920K
FY25 −A$553K

CYQ screens 10% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CYCLIQ Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CYQ

Peer Group

Leisure · 190 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on assets -19% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -27% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.41× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 20 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 HK$72.80 HK$119.82 +65%
Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$151.00 HK$227.30 +51%
Amer Sports, Inc AS $33.03 $16.16 -51%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $94.89 $81.97 -14%
Life Time Group LTH $43.81 $15.61 -64%
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥44.94 ¥39.73 -12%
Li Ning Company 2331 HK$14.59 HK$29.45 +102%
Asmodee Group ASMDEEB kr 158.70 kr 96.65 -39%
Smartfit Escola de Ginástica e Dança S.A SMFT3 R$17.25 R$22.90 +33%
Songcheng Performance Development Co 300144 ¥6.17 ¥6.85 +11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CYCLIQ Group Ltd (CYQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0036 versus a price of A$0.0040, about −10% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CYQ?
Our model-based fair value for CYCLIQ Group Ltd is A$0.0036 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0040.
What is the quality score of CYQ?
CYCLIQ Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CYCLIQ Group Ltd (CYQ)?
CYCLIQ Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$4.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CYQ?
The net profit margin of CYCLIQ Group Ltd is about -6.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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