Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.52 – $6.68 · fair‑value band $10.63 – $15.07 · the $5.39 price screens below the $10.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Cyrela Brazil Realty S.A. Empreendimentos e Participações engages in the development and construction of residential properties in Brazil. It also provides real estate services, including construction management and technical consultancy services. Cyrela Brazil Realty S.A.
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Cyrela Brazil Realty S.A. Empreendimentos e Participações engages in the development and construction of residential properties in Brazil. It also provides real estate services, including construction management and technical consultancy services. Cyrela Brazil Realty S.A. Empreendimentos e Participações was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Stock analysis
Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY) currently trades at $5.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.63, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $104.71 per share, and 17 of the 17 models we run sit above the $5.39 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $14.43, and 0 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $10.63 (bear) to $15.07 (bull), the price of $5.39 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cyrela Brazil Realty SA reported revenue of R$9.3B in FY2025 versus R$4.8B in FY2021, a compound +17.9%/yr. Reported net income was R$2.0B in FY2025, compounding +21.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.4B · P/E ratio 6.1 · P/S ratio 1.29 · EPS (TTM) $0.8900 · Net margin 21.2% · Return on equity 21.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% · Operating margin 11.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 60% fair-value upside, at 97%, CYRBY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.63Fair Value $10.63Bull $15.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6267 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.4%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ −0.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14% vs 14%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.62% → 16%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 78% above its own trend.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (10 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Cyrela Brazil Realty SA with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Residential Construction · 66 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)16.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.71× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cyrela Brazil Realty SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CYRBY
Frequently asked questions
Is Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.63 versus a price of $5.39, about +97% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CYRBY?
Our model-based fair value for Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is $10.63 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.39.
What is the quality score of CYRBY?
Cyrela Brazil Realty SA has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.63 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.63, optimistic scenario $15.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cyrela Brazil Realty SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.63, about +97% upside versus a price of $5.39 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.63, optimistic scenario $15.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
Cyrela Brazil Realty SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$9.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cyrela Brazil Realty SA it is $10.63 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $5.39. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cyrela Brazil Realty SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, CYRBY trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.39, fair value $10.63, a gap of about +97% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CYRBY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.63). For Cyrela Brazil Realty SA the two are $5.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cyrela Brazil Realty SA worth?
The market values Cyrela Brazil Realty SA at about $2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $5.39; our models calculate a fair value of $10.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CYRBY?
Our models span a range for Cyrela Brazil Realty SA: cautious scenario $10.63, base $10.63, optimistic $15.07 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $5.39). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CYRBY?
Cyrela Brazil Realty SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.1 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.63 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 21.1%, debt of 0.71 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CYRBY from its 52-week high?
Cyrela Brazil Realty SA trades at $5.39, about 23% below its 52-week high of $6.99 and 71% above the low of $3.15 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cyrela Brazil Realty SA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value D.R. Horton, Inc, PulteGroup, Inc, Lennar Corporation, NVR, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cyrela Brazil Realty SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $5.39, calculated fair value $10.63 (+97%), Quality Score 34/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CYRBY calculated?
We run Cyrela Brazil Realty SA through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.63, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Cyrela Brazil Realty SA currently trades 97 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Cyrela Brazil Realty SA right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.63). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Where does the earnings growth of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY) come from?
Earnings per share at Cyrela Brazil Realty SA grew +15.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.3 %, EBIT margin +3.7 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
The market capitalisation of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is $2.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is 1.29 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
Earnings per share at Cyrela Brazil Realty SA are $0.8900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
The net margin of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is 21.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is 21.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
The operating margin of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
Revenue at Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is growing +3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY)?
Earnings per share at Cyrela Brazil Realty SA are growing −9.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY) generate?
The free cash flow of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is −R$406M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cyrela Brazil Realty SA (CYRBY) carry?
The net debt of Cyrela Brazil Realty SA is R$8.0B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 13, 2026