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Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Daido Steel Co., Ltd $9.94, price $14.77, upside -32.7%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · US

DS Daido Steel Co., Ltd logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Daido Steel Co., Ltd

DAIDF · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $9.94 · Overvalued (−33%)
!Quality 58/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +2.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 25 out of 100
!Weak on past: 28 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$14.77 $8.17 Fair Value $9.94 Jul 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range $8.17 – $14.77 · fair‑value band $7.29 – $14.37 · the $14.77 price screens above the $9.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Daido Steel Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products in Japan and internationally.

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Daido Steel Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products in Japan and internationally. The Specialty Steel segment is involved in automotive parts, industrial machinery parts, electrical machinery parts, construction, and tool steel business; and products and materials manufacturing, distribution, raw materials sales, transportation and logistics business. The High Performance Materials and Magnetic Materials segment offers stainless steel products, nickel-based alloys, electrical and electronics parts, magnetic material products, alloy powders, titanium products, and welding wires. The Parts For Automobile and Industrial Equipment segment provides die forgings, precise hot forgings, and welded parts, including automotive parts and bearing races; open die forgings parts for boats and ships, industrial machines, heavy electric machines, steel making equipment, chemical equipment, oil drilling rigs, and spacecraft and aircraft; and castings comprising manganese railway rails, components for automobiles, industrial machines, electric machines and furnaces, cast steel products, etc. This segment also offers precision castings for automotive, industrial machines, electric machines, telecommunications equipment, etc.; and lumber industry band saws, engine valves, compressors, hydraulic equipment, and machine tool parts. The Engineering segment provides steel making equipment; industrial furnaces and facilities; environmental equipment for drainage, exhaust, waste disposal, and treatment facilities; machine tools; and machine maintenance services. The Trading and Service segment engages in the provision of welfare services; real estate and insurance business; and golf course management and analysis businesses. Daido Steel Co., Ltd. was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.

Stock analysis

Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF) currently trades at $14.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.94, implying the stock looks roughly 48.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $14.40 per share, and 2 of the 22 models we run sit above the $14.77 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $3.80, and 20 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $7.29 (bear) to $14.37 (bull), the price of $14.77 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Daido Steel Co., Ltd reported revenue of ¥575B in FY2025 versus ¥530B in FY2022, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥28.3B in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $3.0B · P/E ratio 14.6 · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) $1.01 · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% · Operating margin 7.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −33%, DAIDF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $7.29 Fair Value $9.94 Bull $14.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.01 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $2.45 $3.70 $6.01 76
Growth DCF $2.60 $3.80 $5.86 74
Owner Earnings $3.88 $5.61 $8.85 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.45 $3.70 $6.01 76
Owner Earnings $3.88 $5.61 $8.85 72
5Y Revenue Exit $6.26 $10.62 $17.06 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $8.41 $14.30 $22.21 71
5Y P/E Exit $5.90 $10.00 $14.95 67
10Y Revenue Exit $4.42 $7.65 $11.30 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.97 $9.94 $14.38 65
10Y P/E Exit $4.48 $7.27 $10.05 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.76 $8.00 $9.33 65
EPV $7.35 $8.68 $9.84 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.80 $14.40 $18.00 63
P/S Multiple $10.80 $14.40 $18.00 58
P/B Multiple $10.80 $14.40 $18.00 55
EV/EBIT $11.26 $15.39 $19.51 66
EV/EBITDA $14.51 $19.72 $24.94 67
EV/Revenue $9.61 $14.21 $18.81 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.42 $8.60 $12.84 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.60 $3.80 $5.86 74
Rev-Margin DCF $6.26 $10.70 $16.11 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.13 $10.51 $10.81 68
ROIC Compounder $7.35 $8.68 $9.84 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.69 $10.99 $14.29 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 87
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−2.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 7%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.4% a year for the price and +1.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.4%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+3.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.7%

DAIDF screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 415 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.23× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.84× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)25 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)28 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $245.66 $116.05 −53%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $233.99 $127.14 −46%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,298 ₹1,103 −15%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹190.82 ₹147.13 −23%
Reliance, Inc RS $386.95 $211.57 −45%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.73 ¥8.07 +41%
POSCO Holdings PKX $59.05 $68.58 +16%
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.12 ¥0.5500 −74%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,175 ₹516.27 −56%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,891 ₹771.10 −59%

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Daido Steel Co., Ltd · Fair Value
$9.94 −49%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daido Steel Co., Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DAIDF

Frequently asked questions

Is Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.94 versus a price of $14.77, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DAIDF?
Our model-based fair value for Daido Steel Co., Ltd is $9.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.77.
What is the quality score of DAIDF?
Daido Steel Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.29, optimistic scenario $14.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Daido Steel Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.94, about −33% upside versus a price of $14.77 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.29, optimistic scenario $14.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
Daido Steel Co., Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥578B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Daido Steel Co., Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +28.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +2.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DAIDF use?
Our models discount Daido Steel Co., Ltd at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.15, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Daido Steel Co., Ltd that is +28.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Daido Steel Co., Ltd grew +2.8 % a year. The price currently implies +28.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Daido Steel Co., Ltd (+28.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.46 %: that much free cash flow Daido Steel Co., Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Daido Steel Co., Ltd it is $9.94 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $14.77. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Daido Steel Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DAIDF trades above its calculated fair value: price $14.77, fair value $9.94, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DAIDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.94). For Daido Steel Co., Ltd the two are $4.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Daido Steel Co., Ltd worth?
The market values Daido Steel Co., Ltd at about $3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $14.77; our models calculate a fair value of $9.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DAIDF?
Our models span a range for Daido Steel Co., Ltd: cautious scenario $7.29, base $9.94, optimistic $14.37 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $14.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DAIDF?
Daido Steel Co., Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.94 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Daido Steel Co., Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.1%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DAIDF from its 52-week high?
Daido Steel Co., Ltd trades at $14.77, at its 52-week high of $14.77 and 66% above the low of $8.91 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Daido Steel Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Daido Steel Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $14.77, calculated fair value $9.94 (−33%), Quality Score 58/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DAIDF calculated?
We run Daido Steel Co., Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Daido Steel Co., Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $14.77. Our model-based fair value is $9.94, about −33% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Daido Steel Co., Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($14.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($7.29 to $14.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Daido Steel Co., Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
The market capitalisation of Daido Steel Co., Ltd is $3.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Daido Steel Co., Ltd is 0.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
Earnings per share at Daido Steel Co., Ltd are $1.01 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
The net margin of Daido Steel Co., Ltd is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Daido Steel Co., Ltd is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Daido Steel Co., Ltd is 5.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
The operating margin of Daido Steel Co., Ltd is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
Revenue at Daido Steel Co., Ltd is growing +4.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF)?
Earnings per share at Daido Steel Co., Ltd are growing +117% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Daido Steel Co., Ltd (DAIDF) carry?
The net debt of Daido Steel Co., Ltd is ¥110B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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