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Daido Steel Co (DAIDF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.3B

DS Daido Steel Co logo Daido Steel Co DAIDF · US
Price$11.70
Fair Value$13.32
Upside+13.9%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: Medium Range $10.40 – $17.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $10.40 (bear) to $17.31 (bull), base $13.32. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$12.21 $8.17 Fair Value $13.32 Jul 2024 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

25‑month range $8.17 – $12.21 · fair‑value band $10.40 – $17.31 · the $11.70 price screens below the $13.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Daido Steel Co (DAIDF) currently trades at $11.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.32, implying the stock looks roughly 13.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Daido Steel Co generated revenue of $578B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at $110B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.40 (bear case) to $17.31 (bull case); at $11.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 14%, DAIDF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.97 $4.39 $6.82 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.81 $13.42 $20.25 74
ROIC Compounder $9.31 $11.00 $12.46 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.80 $4.27 $7.01 38
Owner Earnings $4.60 $6.70 $10.60 31
5Y Revenue Exit $7.81 $13.32 $21.47 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.61 $23.27 $36.24 41
5Y P/E Exit $8.60 $14.69 $22.02 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.41 $9.49 $14.10 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.21 $15.66 $22.91 37
10Y P/E Exit $6.23 $10.34 $14.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.30 $10.13 $11.81 54
EPV $9.31 $11.00 $12.46 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $16.09 $21.46 $26.82 63
P/S Multiple $13.68 $18.24 $22.80 58
P/B Multiple $13.68 $18.24 $22.80 55
EV/EBIT $18.74 $25.46 $32.18 53
EV/EBITDA $24.33 $32.91 $41.49 54
EV/Revenue $12.17 $18.00 $23.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.13 $10.90 $16.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.97 $4.39 $6.82 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.81 $13.42 $20.25 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $12.84 $13.31 $13.69 61
ROIC Compounder $9.31 $11.00 $12.46 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $11.39 $16.27 $21.15 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($18.24) versus Growth DCF ($4.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $578B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.9%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 7.1%
Free cash flow $11.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 11.6
More key figures
Operating margin 7.4%
EPS (TTM) $1.01
EPS growth (YoY) +117%
Net debt $110B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Daido Steel Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products in Japan and internationally. The Specialty Steel segment is involved in automotive parts, industrial machinery parts, electrical machinery parts, construction, and tool steel business; and products and materials manufacturing, distribution, raw materials sales, transportation and …

Full company description

Daido Steel Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products in Japan and internationally. The Specialty Steel segment is involved in automotive parts, industrial machinery parts, electrical machinery parts, construction, and tool steel business; and products and materials manufacturing, distribution, raw materials sales, transportation and logistics business. The High Performance Materials and Magnetic Materials segment offers stainless steel products, nickel-based alloys, electrical and electronics parts, magnetic material products, alloy powders, titanium products, and welding wires. The Parts For Automobile and Industrial Equipment segment provides die forgings, precise hot forgings, and welded parts, including automotive parts and bearing races; open die forgings parts for boats and ships, industrial machines, heavy electric machines, steel making equipment, chemical equipment, oil drilling rigs, and spacecraft and aircraft; and castings comprising manganese railway rails, components for automobiles, industrial machines, electric machines and furnaces, cast steel products, etc. This segment also offers precision castings for automotive, industrial machines, electric machines, telecommunications equipment, etc.; and lumber industry band saws, engine valves, compressors, hydraulic equipment, and machine tool parts. The Engineering segment provides steel making equipment; industrial furnaces and facilities; environmental equipment for drainage, exhaust, waste disposal, and treatment facilities; machine tools; and machine maintenance services. The Trading and Service segment engages in the provision of welfare services; real estate and insurance business; and golf course management and analysis businesses. Daido Steel Co., Ltd. was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Daido Steel Co reported revenue of $575B in FY2025 versus $530B in FY2022, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was $28.3B in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$575B
Latest YoY
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.8%
Revenue +2.8%/yr
FY22 $530B
FY23 $579B
FY24 $579B
FY25 $575B
Net income +1.7%/yr
FY22 $26.9B
FY23 $36.3B
FY24 $30.6B
FY25 $28.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daido Steel Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DAIDF

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 52 · sector 20
FUTURE 25 · sector 4
PAST 28 · sector 15
HEALTH 89 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Daido Steel Co (DAIDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.32 versus a price of $11.70, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DAIDF?
Our model-based fair value for Daido Steel Co is $13.32 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.70.
What is the quality score of DAIDF?
Daido Steel Co has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Daido Steel Co (DAIDF)?
Daido Steel Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $578B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DAIDF?
The net profit margin of Daido Steel Co is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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