Dana Inc (DAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Dana Inc stock $15.40, price $21.50, that is 28.4% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.32 – $38.62 · fair‑value band $8.72 – $28.61 · the $21.50 price screens above the $15.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Dana Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, provides power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for on-highway vehicles in North America, Europe, South America, and the Asia Pacific.
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The Light Vehicle segment provides axles, driveshafts, internal combustion engine (ICE), hybrid and electric transmissions, e-axle and e-transmission systems, inverters, electric motors, controllers, sealing and thermal products, e-sealing, e-thermal cooling systems, battery and electronics cooling, hydrogen fuel cell cooling, and new power industrial cooling.
The Commercial Vehicle segment offers axles, driveshafts, hybrid and electric transmissions, e-axle and e-transmission systems, inverters, electric motors, controllers.
The company offers electrodynamic technologies comprising motors, inverters, software and control systems, battery-management systems, and fuel cell plates.
The company also provides sealing solutions, such as gaskets, seals, cam covers, and oil pan modules; thermal-management technologies, including transmission and engine oil cooling, battery and electronics cooling, charge air cooling, and thermal-acoustical protective shielding; and digital solutions that include active and passive system controls, as well as descriptive and predictive analytics.
It serves vehicle manufacturers in the global light vehicle, medium/heavy vehicle. The company was formerly known as Dana Holding Corporation and changed its name to Dana Incorporated in August 2016. Dana Incorporated was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Maumee, Ohio.
Stock analysis
Dana Inc (DAN) currently trades at $21.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.40, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $18.50 per share, and 4 of the 21 models we run sit above the $21.50 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.27, and 17 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $8.72 (bear) to $28.61 (bull), the price of $21.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Dana Inc reported revenue of $7.5B in FY2025 versus $8.9B in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $85.0M in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.4B Mid · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) $−0.5600 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity −3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 5.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −28%, DAN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$8.72Fair Value $15.40Bull$28.61
Price $21.50 · Downside -28.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$11.20$19.66$33.5178
Growth DCF$12.04$20.00$32.0477
Residual Income$6.92$7.45$8.2476
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$11.20$19.66$33.5178
Owner Earnings$7.38$14.83$27.0173
5Y Revenue Exit$3.60$11.39$22.7067
5Y EBITDA Exit$16.93$34.40$57.5972
5Y P/E Exit$0.5500$6.12$12.9363
10Y Revenue Exit$6.63$12.22$17.9566
10Y EBITDA Exit$14.04$24.62$35.8267
10Y P/E Exit$5.40$9.39$12.9563
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$5.72$7.17$8.1367
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$3.81$4.08$4.4869
DDM Multi-Stage$3.81$4.46$5.2567
Multiples
P/E Multiple$13.88$18.50$23.1363
P/S Multiple$10.72$14.30$17.8758
P/B Multiple$23.45$31.27$39.0955
EV/EBITn/a$7.84$17.3261
EV/EBITDA$19.59$36.16$52.7265
EV/Revenuen/an/a$5.5250
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$3.91$5.24$7.8254
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$12.04$20.00$32.0477
Rev-Margin DCF$3.60$12.28$23.2767
Economic Profit
Residual Income$6.92$7.45$8.2476
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$9.78$13.98$18.1767
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleCraig C PriceSVP & Pres Off-Highway Drive13,300 shares at $22.44$298,481Nov 25, 2025
Plus 2 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−27.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.9% vs −10.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 3%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+28.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.7% a year for the price and +25.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Dana achieves margin expansion beyond modest sales growth via ongoing cost reductions, yet thin margins and high leverage underscore its weak competitive position in the commoditized auto parts sector.
Main risk: Integration risks from the pending Eaton Mobility combination could disrupt operations and margin expansion in the enlarged powertrain business.
Dana has delivered margin expansion that outruns its modest sales growth through ongoing cost reductions. The pending combination with Eaton Mobility, slated to close in early 2027, brings targeted synergies but also integration risks for the enlarged powertrain business. Will the recent profitability gains hold and scale after the transaction?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 655 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−28.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets1.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)13.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)5.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.98× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.73× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.30× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)7.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA6.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG6.85× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)32· sector 34
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dana Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DAN
Frequently asked questions
Is Dana Inc (DAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.40 versus a price of $21.50, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DAN?
Our model-based fair value for Dana Inc is $15.40 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.50.
What is the quality score of DAN?
Dana Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dana Inc (DAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $15.40 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.72, optimistic scenario $28.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dana Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $15.40, about 28% lower versus a price of $21.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $8.72, optimistic scenario $28.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dana Inc (DAN)?
Dana Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Dana Inc pay a dividend?
Dana Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.47% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Dana Inc (DAN) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Dana Inc pays a dividend of $0.1 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Nov 6, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2012. The payout ratio is 17.0% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 11.9%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 29.49 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Dana Inc (DAN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dana Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +12.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.1 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DAN use?
Our models discount Dana Inc at 12.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 2.03, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dana Inc that is +12.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dana Inc (DAN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dana Inc grew +1.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +12.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dana Inc (DAN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dana Inc (+12.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dana Inc (DAN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.66 %: that much free cash flow Dana Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dana Inc (DAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dana Inc it is $15.40 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $21.50. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Dana Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, DAN trades above its calculated fair value: price $21.50, fair value $15.40, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($15.40). For Dana Inc the two are $6.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dana Inc worth?
The market values Dana Inc at about $2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $21.50; our models calculate a fair value of $15.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DAN?
Our models span a range for Dana Inc: cautious scenario $8.72, base $15.40, optimistic $28.61 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $21.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of DAN?
The PEG ratio of Dana Inc is 6.85 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dana Inc (DAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dana Inc (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −3.3%, debt of 2.98 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DAN from its 52-week high?
Dana Inc trades at $21.50, about 44% below its 52-week high of $38.62 and 12% above the low of $19.25 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $15.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dana Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dana Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $21.50, calculated fair value $15.40 (−28%), Quality Score 51/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DAN calculated?
We run Dana Inc through 22 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $15.40 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Dana Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dana Inc (DAN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $21.50. Our model-based fair value is $15.40, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dana Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($8.72 to $28.61). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Dana Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Dana Inc (DAN)?
The market capitalisation of Dana Inc is $2.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dana Inc (DAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dana Inc is 0.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dana Inc (DAN)?
Earnings per share at Dana Inc are $−0.5600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dana Inc (DAN)?
The dividend yield of Dana Inc is 0.5% (payout 17.0%, on adjusted earnings, reported 11.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dana Inc (DAN)?
The net margin of Dana Inc is 1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dana Inc (DAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dana Inc is −3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dana Inc (DAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dana Inc is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dana Inc (DAN)?
The operating margin of Dana Inc is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dana Inc (DAN)?
Revenue at Dana Inc is growing +6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dana Inc (DAN)?
Earnings per share at Dana Inc are growing −77.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dana Inc (DAN) carry?
The net debt of Dana Inc is $3.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 4, 2026