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Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation $581, price $836, upside -30.5%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · US

DH Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation

DAWUF · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $581.12 · Overvalued (−30%)
✓Quality 67/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +3.8 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 45.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·4.65% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Weak on past: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$882,058 $744.79 Fair Value $581.12 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $744.79 – $882,058 · fair‑value band $359.29 – $748.59 · the $835.96 price screens above the $581.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (J-REIT) whose sponsor is Daiwa House Industry Co., Ltd. The asset manager is Daiwa House Asset Management Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as the Asset Manager), a wholly owned subsidiary of Daiwa House.

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Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (J-REIT) whose sponsor is Daiwa House Industry Co., Ltd. The asset manager is Daiwa House Asset Management Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as the Asset Manager), a wholly owned subsidiary of Daiwa House. DHR was listed on the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) Market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange, Inc. (hereinafter referred to as the Tokyo Stock Exchange) on March 22, 2006, and then later merged with New City Residence Investment Corporation (hereinafter referred to as NCR) on April 1, 2010 (hereinafter referred to as the merger with NCR). Subsequently on December 1, 2011, the corporate name was changed to Daiwa House Residential Investment Corporation (the corporation prior to change of corporate name to Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is hereinafter referred to as the former DHI) and accordingly changed its investment targets to residential properties. The former Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (the Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation, which was dissolved upon having merged with DHR as of September 1, 2016, is hereinafter referred to as the former DHR) was established on September 14, 2007, whose asset manager was Daiwa House REIT Management Co., Ltd., a wholly owned subsidiary of Daiwa House. The former DHR was listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) Market on November 28, 2012, as a REIT that targets investment in logistics and retail properties. On September 1, 2016, the former DHI and the former DHR (hereinafter collectively referred to as the Investment Corporations) conducted an absorption-type merger (hereinafter referred to as the Merger) whereby the former DHI was the surviving corporation and the former DHR was the absorbed corporation, shifted to a diversified portfolio strategy that targets investment in new asset classes such as hotel and office properties, in addition to those that the Investment Corporations had targeted for investment in the past, and changed its corpora

Stock analysis

Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF) currently trades at $835.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $581.12, implying the stock looks roughly 43.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 22 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at high.

Scenario range: $359.29 (bear) to $748.59 (bull), the price of $835.96 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation reported revenue of ¥66.7B in FY2026 versus ¥57.7B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥28.2B in FY2026, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $3.8B · P/E ratio 21.4 · P/S ratio 9.03 · EPS (TTM) $39.12 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 42.2% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −30%, DAWUF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $359.29 Fair Value $581.12 Bull $748.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $41,253 $90,419 $158,572 73
Growth DCF $43,855 $88,754 $148,043 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $43,286 $104,953 $174,114 69
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $41,253 $90,419 $158,572 73
5Y Revenue Exit $8,585 $42,585 $83,874 63
5Y EBITDA Exit $43,286 $104,953 $174,114 69
10Y Revenue Exit $18,347 $50,872 $90,427 60
10Y EBITDA Exit $41,423 $92,309 $155,318 63
Multiples
P/S Multiple $71,647 $95,529 $119,411 58
P/B Multiple $79,166 $105,554 $131,943 55
EV/EBIT $45,096 $83,850 $122,605 63
EV/EBITDA $60,658 $104,599 $148,540 65
EV/Revenue n/a $20,435 $47,915 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $55,612 $74,521 $111,225 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $43,855 $88,754 $148,043 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $85,326 $86,741 $84,239 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 95
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.7%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.45% → 48%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.9% a year for the price and −3.7% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)−15.4%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+2.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.2%
Projected 2031 (sales)+2.1%

DAWUF screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 155 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −31% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 46% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.70× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.21× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 10.18× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 23.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)24 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)65 · sector 76
DIVIDEND (yield)93 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DAWUF

Frequently asked questions

Is Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $581.12 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $835.96, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DAWUF?
Our model-based fair value for Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is $581.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $835.96.
What is the quality score of DAWUF?
Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $581.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $359.29, optimistic scenario $748.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $581.12, about −30% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $835.96 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $359.29, optimistic scenario $748.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥59.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation pay a dividend?
Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +7.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DAWUF use?
Our models discount Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.19, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation that is +7.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies +7.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (+7.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.75 %: that much free cash flow Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation it is $581.12 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $835.96. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DAWUF trades above its calculated fair value: price $835.96, fair value $581.12, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DAWUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($835.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($581.12). For Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation the two are $254.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation worth?
The market values Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation at about $3.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $835.96; our models calculate a fair value of $581.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DAWUF?
Our models span a range for Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation: cautious scenario $359.29, base $581.12, optimistic $748.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $835.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DAWUF?
Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $581.12 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 10.2, EV/EBITDA 23.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.9%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DAWUF from its 52-week high?
Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation trades at $835.96, at its 52-week high of $835.96 and 5% above the low of $792.39 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $581.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Charter Hall Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $835.96, calculated fair value $581.12 (−30%), Quality Score 67/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DAWUF calculated?
We run Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $581.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $835.96. Our model-based fair value is $581.12, about −30% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($748.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($359.29 to $748.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
The market capitalisation of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is $3.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is 9.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
Earnings per share at Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation are $39.12 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
The dividend yield of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is 4.7% (payout 99.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
The net margin of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is 42.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF)?
The operating margin of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is 43.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much net debt does Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation (DAWUF) carry?
The net debt of Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation is ¥379B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 8.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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