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Takashimaya Company (DC9) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Takashimaya Company €6.78, price €11.60, upside -41.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · DE · Home Japan · ISIN JP3456000003

In Frankfurt, only 2 of the last 21 trading days (30 days) had any turnover. On the other days the price is an indicative quote without trading, so we do not list this stock in the radar. It stays reachable through search.

TC Some data Sep 30, 2026

Takashimaya Company

DC9 · F

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €6.78 · Strongly overvalued (−41.6%)
!Quality 45/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +3.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!1.8% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€13.88 €3.48 Fair Value €6.78 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.48 – €13.88 · fair‑value band €4.29 – €8.58 · the €11.60 price screens above the €6.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Takashimaya Company, Limited engages in the department store, commercial development, financial, construction, and other businesses in Japan.

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Takashimaya Company, Limited engages in the department store, commercial development, financial, construction, and other businesses in Japan. The company is involved in the operation of department stores; commercial development and asset management and operation; mixed-use development projects for residential, office, and commercial properties, as well as school property leasing and other related services; and credit card, financial counter, insurance businesses, as well as provides financial product brokerage services. It also provides interior construction work, advertising and public relations services; supplies food products; and engages in mail-order sales and other businesses. In addition, the company engages in development and operation of department store; real estate development, operation, management, and leasing; operates restaurants under the Din Tai Fung, LINA STORES, Tang Chao, and Restaurant Rose names; importing of wines under the Leroy and Thienot names; procurement and wholesale of food ingredients, materials, food products, and beverages; supplies Japanese products; and production of TV commercials, promotional videos, 3DCG, and motion graphics. Further, it provides financial services for businesses, as well as trading of accounts receivable; urban development planning, design, and interior design services; building and maintenance and management contract services; and temporary staffing services. Takashimaya Company, Limited was founded in 1831 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.

Stock analysis

Takashimaya Company (DC9) currently trades at €11.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.78, 41.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €17.56 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the €11.60 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €1.66, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €4.29 (bear) to €8.58 (bull), the price of €11.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Takashimaya Company reported revenue of ¥492B in FY2026 versus ¥761B in FY2022, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥8.2B in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap €3.4B · EPS (TTM) €−0.1500 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin −1.7% · Return on equity −0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin 16.6% · Revenue (TTM) ¥407B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −42%, DC9 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €4.29 Fair Value €6.78 Bull €8.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €1.64 €2.60 €4.33 75
Growth DCF €1.75 €2.68 €4.21 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €7.88 €13.66 €21.31 71
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €1.64 €2.60 €4.33 75
5Y Revenue Exit €4.45 €7.73 €12.51 68
5Y EBITDA Exit €7.88 €13.66 €21.31 71
10Y Revenue Exit €3.09 €5.39 €7.92 63
10Y EBITDA Exit €5.32 €8.97 €12.97 65
Earnings-Based
EPV €6.42 €7.59 €8.59 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.53 €1.66 €1.87 67
DDM Multi-Stage €1.53 €1.89 €2.38 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT €12.93 €17.56 €22.20 66
EV/EBITDA €14.21 €19.27 €24.34 67
EV/Revenue €6.98 €10.39 €13.80 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €4.33 €5.80 €8.66 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €1.75 €2.68 €4.21 74
Rev-Margin DCF €4.45 €7.79 €11.81 68
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €6.42 €7.59 €8.59 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.5% (2022) → 10.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+38.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.1% a year for the price and +0.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.2%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+2.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.4%
Projected 2031 (sales)+2.3%

DC9 screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with Falabella S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 106 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −42.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 2.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −1.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.29× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 0.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 42
FUTURE (revenue growth)30 · sector 2
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)37 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,450 CLP 6,080 CLP −6%
Dillard's, Inc DDS $664.07 $568.06 −14%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.20 MYR 1.52 MYR −53%
Macy's, Inc M $22.64 $43.20 +91%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,990 CLP 1,955 CLP −2%
Central Retail Corporation CRC 30.00 THB 20.89 THB −30%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹103.50 ₹103.60 +0%
POYA International Co 5904 69.70 TWD 76.67 TWD +10%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 347,000 KRW 143,353 KRW −59%
Easyhome New Retail Group 000785 ¥2.30 ¥1.37 −40%

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Takashimaya Company · Fair Value
€6.78 −42%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Takashimaya Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DC9

Frequently asked questions

Is Takashimaya Company (DC9) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.78 versus a price of €11.60, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DC9?
Our model-based fair value for Takashimaya Company is €6.78 (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €11.60.
What is the quality score of DC9?
Takashimaya Company has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €6.78 (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.29, optimistic scenario €8.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Takashimaya Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €6.78, about −42% upside versus a price of €11.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €4.29, optimistic scenario €8.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
Takashimaya Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥407B (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
Does Takashimaya Company pay a dividend?
Takashimaya Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Takashimaya Company would have to grow free cash flow by +38.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew -10.3 % per year. As of Sep 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DC9 use?
Our models discount Takashimaya Company at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Takashimaya Company that is +38.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Takashimaya Company (DC9) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Takashimaya Company grew -10.3 % a year. The price currently implies +38.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Takashimaya Company (DC9) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Takashimaya Company (+38.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.43 %: that much free cash flow Takashimaya Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Takashimaya Company it is €6.78 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of €11.60. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Takashimaya Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, DC9 trades above its calculated fair value: price €11.60, fair value €6.78, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DC9?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€11.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€6.78). For Takashimaya Company the two are €4.82 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Takashimaya Company worth?
The market values Takashimaya Company at about €3.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is €11.60; our models calculate a fair value of €6.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DC9?
Our models span a range for Takashimaya Company: cautious scenario €4.29, base €6.78, optimistic €8.58 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price €11.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
Balance-sheet figures for Takashimaya Company (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity −0.5%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DC9 from its 52-week high?
Takashimaya Company trades at €11.60, about 16% below its 52-week high of €13.88 and 35% above the low of €8.61 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €6.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Takashimaya Company?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Macy's, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Takashimaya Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price €11.60, calculated fair value €6.78 (−42%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DC9 calculated?
We run Takashimaya Company through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €6.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Takashimaya Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was €11.60. Our model-based fair value is €6.78, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Takashimaya Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€8.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€4.29 to €8.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Takashimaya Company

How large is the market capitalisation of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
The market capitalisation of Takashimaya Company is €3.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
Earnings per share at Takashimaya Company are €−0.1500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
The dividend yield of Takashimaya Company is 1.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
The net margin of Takashimaya Company is −1.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Takashimaya Company is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Takashimaya Company is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
The operating margin of Takashimaya Company is 16.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
Revenue at Takashimaya Company is growing +5.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Takashimaya Company (DC9)?
Earnings per share at Takashimaya Company are growing +94.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Takashimaya Company (DC9) carry?
The net debt of Takashimaya Company is ¥202B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 23.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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