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Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation (DCM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · VN · Market cap 17.7T VND

PC Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation DCM · VN
Price31,600 VND
Fair Value56,171 VND
Upside+77.8%
Quality69/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range 36,597 VND – 104,417 VND Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from 60,665 VND to 56,171 VND (−7.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 78% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (36,597 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (36,597 VND to 104,417 VND). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

47,302 VND 9,837 VND Fair Value 56,171 VND Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9,837 VND – 47,302 VND · fair‑value band 36,597 VND – 104,417 VND · the 31,600 VND price screens below the 56,171 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation (DCM) currently trades at 31,600 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 56,171 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 77.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation generated revenue of 18.5T VND at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue grew 55.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.2%. Net debt stands at 264B VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 36,597 VND (bear case) to 104,417 VND (bull case); at 31,600 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 78%, DCM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 24,973 VND 31,543 VND 98,076 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 44,442 VND 61,966 VND 87,140 VND 72
Gordon GGM 19,241 VND 42,006 VND 70,677 VND 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 61,766 VND 126,568 VND 260,554 VND 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 25,173 VND 156,370 VND 218,308 VND 54
Lynch FV 44,960 VND 64,229 VND 83,497 VND 50
PEG = 1.0 44,960 VND 64,229 VND 83,497 VND 46
EPV 37,344 VND 42,776 VND 47,604 VND 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 19,241 VND 42,006 VND 70,677 VND 70
DDM Multi-Stage 19,241 VND 34,410 VND 43,777 VND 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 55,529 VND 74,039 VND 92,549 VND 63
P/S Multiple 47,200 VND 62,933 VND 78,666 VND 58
P/B Multiple 45,514 VND 60,685 VND 75,857 VND 55
EV/EBIT 55,135 VND 71,326 VND 87,517 VND 53
EV/EBITDA 47,943 VND 61,736 VND 75,529 VND 54
EV/Revenue 39,305 VND 53,336 VND 67,368 VND 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10,114 VND 13,553 VND 20,228 VND 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 24,973 VND 31,543 VND 98,076 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 44,442 VND 61,966 VND 87,140 VND 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 62,994 VND 89,991 VND 116,988 VND 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (126,568 VND) versus Asset-Based (13,553 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.5T VND
Revenue growth (YoY) +55.2%
Net margin 12.6%
Return on equity 21.2%
Free cash flow −776B VND FY2025
P/E ratio 8.6
More key figures
Operating margin 15.4%
EPS (TTM) 3,870 VND
EPS growth (YoY) +91.1%
Net debt 264B VND FY2021

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 91
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation engages in the production and trading of fertilizers in Vietnam and internationally.

Full company description

Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation engages in the production and trading of fertilizers in Vietnam and internationally. The company is involved in production of basic chemicals, fertilizers, nitrogen compounds; wholesale and retail of fertilizers, pesticides, and chemicals for industry and agriculture; biological active preparations for agriculture, industry, and ecological environment; flowers, ornamental plants, soil, planting media, and agricultural tools and instruments activities; and architectural activities, technical consultancy, warehousing and storage of goods; and cargo handling services. It also offers scientific research and technological development in natural sciences, engineering, and technology; technical testing and analysis; repair and maintenance of machinery and equipment; data processing for leasing activities; information portal establishment; social network creation; trades in agricultural materials, machinery, tools, equipment, and spare parts; wholesale of agricultural products, flowers, breeding plants; and e-commerce trading activities. In addition, it produces non-alcoholic beverages and mineral water; real estate trading; land use rights leasing; labor resource supply and management; fertilizer testing services; production of biological products for agriculture, industry, ecological environment; advertising design and implementation on websites and software applications; landscape care and maintenance services; and processing nut milk and nut milk products. Further, then company exports its products. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Cà Mau, Vietnam. Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation is a subsidiary of Vietnam National Industry - Energy Group.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation reported revenue of 15.6T VND in FY2025 versus 9.9T VND in FY2021, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0T VND in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
15.6T VND
Latest YoY
+25.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+15.6%
Revenue +12.1%/yr
FY21 9.9T VND
FY22 15.9T VND
FY23 11.8T VND
FY24 12.5T VND
FY25 15.6T VND
Net income +1.8%/yr
FY21 1.8T VND
FY22 4.3T VND
FY23 1.1T VND
FY24 1.4T VND
FY25 2.0T VND

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DCM

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +78% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 55% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 37
PAST 85 · sector 24
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation (DCM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 56,171 VND versus a price of 31,600 VND, about +78% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DCM?
Our model-based fair value for Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation is 56,171 VND (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 31,600 VND.
What is the quality score of DCM?
Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation (DCM)?
Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.5T VND (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DCM?
The net profit margin of Petrovietnam Camau Fertilizer Corporation is about 12.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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