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DoubleDown Interactive Co (DDI) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $562M

DI DoubleDown Interactive Co logo DoubleDown Interactive Co DDI · US
Price$11.86
Fair Value$34.05
Upside+187.1%
Quality72/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 30.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 77/100
Evidence: High Range $25.99 – $42.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $40.24 to $34.05 (−15.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 187% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($25.99). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$17.87 $7.35 Fair Value $34.05 Aug 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range $7.35 – $17.87 · fair‑value band $25.99 – $42.38 · the $11.86 price screens below the $34.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

DoubleDown Interactive Co (DDI) currently trades at $11.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.05, implying the stock looks roughly 187.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, DoubleDown Interactive Co generated revenue of $371M at a net margin of 30.8%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $346M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $25.99 (bear case) to $42.38 (bull case); at $11.86, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 187%, DDI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $32.09 $40.01 $49.44 80
Residual Income $16.05 $17.67 $25.35 76
Rev-Margin DCF $25.69 $33.56 $42.18 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $31.70 $40.45 $51.36 38
Owner Earnings $26.87 $33.90 $42.66 31
5Y Revenue Exit $25.69 $33.15 $42.14 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $30.55 $41.83 $54.33 41
5Y P/E Exit $34.80 $49.40 $63.96 38
10Y Revenue Exit $27.64 $34.41 $42.50 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $30.80 $39.78 $50.65 37
10Y P/E Exit $33.22 $44.47 $57.08 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $14.07 $34.04 $43.97 54
PEG = 1.0 $6.03 $8.61 $11.19 46
EPV $22.94 $25.10 $26.89 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $34.15 $45.53 $56.91 63
P/S Multiple $19.08 $25.44 $31.80 58
P/B Multiple $26.39 $35.18 $43.98 55
EV/EBIT $39.84 $50.74 $61.63 53
EV/EBITDA $33.02 $41.64 $50.26 54
EV/Revenue $22.42 $28.96 $35.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.59 $12.84 $19.17 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $32.09 $40.01 $49.44 80
Rev-Margin DCF $25.69 $33.56 $42.18 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $16.05 $17.67 $25.35 76
ROIC Compounder $23.36 $26.36 $29.50 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $25.97 $37.11 $48.24 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($39.78) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $371M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.7%
Net margin 30.8%
Return on equity 12.4%
Free cash flow $137M FY2025
P/E ratio 4.9
More key figures
Operating margin 37.6%
EPS (TTM) $2.30
EPS growth (YoY) +48.4%
Net cash $346M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. develops and publishes casual games and mobile applications in South Korea, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through Social Casino Games and iGaming segments.

Full company description

DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. develops and publishes casual games and mobile applications in South Korea, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through Social Casino Games and iGaming segments. It engages in the development and publishing of digital gaming contents on various mobile and web platforms; hosting of DoubleDown Casino, DoubleDown Classic, and DoubleDown Fort Knox, as well as Duelz, VoodooDreams, NYSpins, and LosvegasBet on web platforms; and WHOW Games under the MyJackpot, Lounge777, and Merkur24 brands on web and mobile platforms. The company was formerly known as The8Games Co., Ltd. and changed its name to DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. in December 2019. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea. DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of DoubleU Games Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DoubleDown Interactive Co reported revenue of $360M in FY2025 versus $363M in FY2021, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was $103M in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$360M
Latest YoY
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+4.4%
Revenue −0.2%/yr
FY21 $363M
FY22 $321M
FY23 $309M
FY24 $341M
FY25 $360M
Net income +7.0%/yr
FY21 $78.1M
FY22 −$234M
FY23 $101M
FY24 $124M
FY25 $103M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DoubleDown Interactive Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DDI

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +187% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.59× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.52× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 17
FUTURE 64 · sector 10
PAST 49 · sector 11
HEALTH 98 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NetEase, Inc 9999 HK$202.60 HK$192.74 -5%
Electronic Arts Inc EA $207.27 $76.57 -63%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $237.04 $60.45 -74%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $57.07 $21.20 -63%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥14.04 ¥14.68 +5%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 240,500 KRW 395,557 KRW +64%
Kunlun Tech Co 300418 ¥44.61 ¥6.87 -85%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥29.98 ¥15.69 -48%
International Games System Co 3293 704.00 TWD 568.16 TWD -19%
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥19.02 ¥22.29 +17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DoubleDown Interactive Co (DDI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.05 versus a price of $11.86, about +187% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DDI?
Our model-based fair value for DoubleDown Interactive Co is $34.05 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.86.
What is the quality score of DDI?
DoubleDown Interactive Co has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DoubleDown Interactive Co (DDI)?
DoubleDown Interactive Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $371M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DDI?
The net profit margin of DoubleDown Interactive Co is about 30.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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