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Datadog, Inc (DDOG19) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Datadog, Inc THB 10.15, price THB 9.10, upside +11.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Datadog, Inc
DDOG19 · BKUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value 10.15 THB · Undervalued (+11.6%)
!Quality 52/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +26.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
8‑month range 3.20 THB – 9.70 THB · fair‑value band 7.11 THB – 13.20 THB · the 9.10 THB price screens below the 10.15 THB fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Datadog, Inc. operates an observability and security platform for cloud applications in the United States and internationally.
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Datadog, Inc. operates an observability and security platform for cloud applications in the United States and internationally. The company's products comprise infrastructure and application performance monitoring, log management, observability pipelines, synthetics, real user monitoring, product analytics, continuous profiler, database monitoring, data observability, LLM observability, error tracking, network monitoring, incident response, workflow automation and App builder, event management, bits AI SRE, cloud cost management, cloud security, code security, cloud SIEM, threat management, sensitive data scanner, and CI visibility. Datadog, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Datadog, Inc (DDOG19) currently trades at 9.10 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.15 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 38.02 THB per share, and 12 of the 20 models we run sit above the 9.10 THB price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 4.50 THB, and 8 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 7.11 THB (bear) to 13.20 THB (bull), the price of 9.10 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Datadog, Inc reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2022, a compound +26.9%/yr. Reported net income was $108M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.2B THB (≈ $95.7M) · P/E ratio 0.7 · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) 13.06 THB · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% · Operating margin 0.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 12%, DDOG19 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 7.11 THB
Fair Value 10.15 THB
Bull 13.20 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (9.88 THB per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
25.46 THB
36.26 THB
67.78 THB
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
8.36 THB
10.25 THB
13.77 THB
73
Growth DCF
23.75 THB
38.02 THB
63.41 THB
73
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
25.46 THB
36.26 THB
67.78 THB
74
Owner Earnings
n/a
0.5463 THB
>2.19 THB
70
5Y Revenue Exit
22.27 THB
38.33 THB
71.83 THB
66
5Y EBITDA Exit
8.36 THB
10.25 THB
13.77 THB
73
5Y P/E Exit
11.71 THB
20.73 THB
31.82 THB
66
10Y Revenue Exit
22.70 THB
47.74 THB
62.67 THB
63
10Y EBITDA Exit
14.70 THB
22.21 THB
31.63 THB
65
10Y P/E Exit
16.79 THB
28.35 THB
44.75 THB
60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
1.80 THB
12.55 THB
17.61 THB
60
Lynch FV
5.01 THB
7.16 THB
9.31 THB
58
PEG = 1.0
5.01 THB
7.16 THB
9.31 THB
55
Multiples
P/E Multiple
5.56 THB
7.41 THB
9.26 THB
63
P/S Multiple
3.37 THB
4.50 THB
5.62 THB
58
P/B Multiple
3.37 THB
4.50 THB
5.62 THB
55
EV/Revenue
19.02 THB
27.78 THB
36.54 THB
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
4.58 THB
6.14 THB
9.17 THB
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
23.75 THB
38.02 THB
63.41 THB
73
Rev-Margin DCF
22.84 THB
44.03 THB
84.62 THB
66
Economic Profit
Residual Income
5.94 THB
5.51 THB
5.38 THB
68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
7.11 THB
10.15 THB
13.20 THB
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
52/100
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Profitability
36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
10
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
49
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+27.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+27.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → −1%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 685 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Technology
- Valuation of the Thailand market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAP | €186.74 | €172.46 | −8% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $229.57 | $342.73 | +49% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | $144.01 | $64.36 | −55% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $134.01 | $147.41 | +10% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $69.36 | $103.69 | +49% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $330.31 | $74.36 | −77% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $261.80 | $150.01 | −43% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $239.94 | $454.04 | +89% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $326.70 | $225.48 | −31% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $268.03 | $459.14 | +71% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Datadog, Inc (DDOG19) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.15 THB versus a price of 9.10 THB, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DDOG19?
Our model-based fair value for Datadog, Inc is 10.15 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 9.10 THB.
What is the quality score of DDOG19?
Datadog, Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.15 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7.11 THB, optimistic scenario 13.20 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Datadog, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.15 THB, about +12% upside versus a price of 9.10 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 7.11 THB, optimistic scenario 13.20 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
Datadog, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Datadog, Inc it is 10.15 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 9.10 THB. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Datadog, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DDOG19 trades below its calculated fair value: price 9.10 THB, fair value 10.15 THB, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DDOG19?
No. The price is what the market pays today (9.10 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.15 THB). For Datadog, Inc the two are 1.05 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Datadog, Inc worth?
The market values Datadog, Inc at about 3.2B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 9.10 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 10.15 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DDOG19?
Our models span a range for Datadog, Inc: cautious scenario 7.11 THB, base 10.15 THB, optimistic 13.20 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 9.10 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DDOG19?
Datadog, Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 10.15 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.0, P/S 0.0, EV/EBITDA 19.6.
What is the PEG ratio of DDOG19?
The PEG ratio of Datadog, Inc is 0.00 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
Balance-sheet figures for Datadog, Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Datadog, Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Datadog, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 9.10 THB, calculated fair value 10.15 THB (+12%), Quality Score 52/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DDOG19 calculated?
We run Datadog, Inc through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10.15 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Datadog, Inc currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was 9.10 THB. Our model-based fair value is 10.15 THB, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Datadog, Inc right now?
A fairly wide model range (7.11 THB to 13.20 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Datadog, Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
The market capitalisation of Datadog, Inc is 3.2B THB (≈ $95.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Datadog, Inc is 0.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
Earnings per share at Datadog, Inc are 13.06 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
The net margin of Datadog, Inc is 3.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Datadog, Inc is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Datadog, Inc is −0.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
The operating margin of Datadog, Inc is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
Revenue at Datadog, Inc is growing +32.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Datadog, Inc (DDOG19)?
Earnings per share at Datadog, Inc are growing +104% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Datadog, Inc (DDOG19) generate?
The free cash flow of Datadog, Inc is $915M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Datadog, Inc (DDOG19) carry?
The net debt of Datadog, Inc is $582M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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