Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (DHAMPURSUG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹8.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +10.6% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ₹129.07 (bear) to ₹229.62 (bull), base ₹172.10. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹108.96 – ₹485.55 · fair‑value band ₹129.07 – ₹229.62 · the ₹159.23 price screens below the ₹172.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited (DHAMPURSUG) currently trades at ₹159.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹172.10, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited generated revenue of ₹19.7B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue declined 20.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at ₹8.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹129.07 (bear case) to ₹229.62 (bull case); at ₹159.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 8%, DHAMPURSUG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹259.06) versus Dividend Discount (₹0.4000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells sugar and its byproducts in India. It operates in six segments: Sugar, Power, Ethanol, Chemicals, Potable Spirit, and Other.
Full company description
Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells sugar and its byproducts in India. It operates in six segments: Sugar, Power, Ethanol, Chemicals, Potable Spirit, and Other. The company offers branded, white, and raw sugar; chemicals/ethyl acetate; RS, ethanol, extra-neutral alcohol, and industrial alcohol; and country liquor. It also sells petrol and agricultural products; and co-generates and sells power using bagasse and molasses. In addition, the company operates co-generation facilities with a capacity of 126.50 megawatts. Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited was incorporated in 1933 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹19.7B in FY2026 versus ₹18.8B in FY2022, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹651M in FY2026, compounding −18.0%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue −2.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Confectioners · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 96,500 | CHF 9,874 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.00 | $27.68 | -55% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $170.27 | $91.25 | -46% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,100 | CHF 711.91 | -35% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 127,100 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +60% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $22.21 | -43% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.81 | ¥9.83 | -48% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 48.88 | kr 59.12 | +21% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹586.20 | ₹304.54 | -48% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,320 IDR | 1,286 IDR | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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