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Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Diadrom Holding AB SEK 0.64, price SEK 2.28, upside -71.9%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · SE · ISIN SE0001606906

DH Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Diadrom Holding AB

DIAH · ST

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 0.6400 · Strongly overvalued (−72%)
!Quality 54/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -10.4% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 15.37 kr 1.39 Fair Value kr 0.6400 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 1.39 – kr 15.37 · fair‑value band kr 0.4200 – kr 0.8000 · the kr 2.28 price screens above the kr 0.6400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Diadrom Holding AB (publ), a solutions and software company, engages in the diagnostics of autotech products with embedded software in Sweden, Germany, and the Netherlands.

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Diadrom Holding AB (publ), a solutions and software company, engages in the diagnostics of autotech products with embedded software in Sweden, Germany, and the Netherlands. The company offers Autotech Bootloader, a stand-alone bootloader; Encrypt, an embedded software component that implements customer specific cyber security concepts; Diag Com Stack, an embedded software component designed to handle the on-board communication of ECUs together with basic diagnostics in a modern vehicle; Dolphin, a software system and verification tool for automated testing; and Diag Studio, an off-board diagnostics system product suit. It also provides consultancy; research and development, manufacturing, aftermarket, auto defense, academy, autotech, enablers, partner network, and diagnostics ecosystem solutions; and customer on-site, fixed-price projects, and maintenance services. The company serves the automotive, medtech, industrial machinery, defense, security, and public transport sectors. Diadrom Holding AB (publ) was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH) currently trades at kr 2.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.6400, implying the stock looks roughly 256.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 0.4200 (bear) to kr 0.8000 (bull), the price of kr 2.28 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Diadrom Holding AB reported revenue of 46.7M SEK in FY2025 versus 53.1M SEK in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −3.0M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 28.7M SEK (≈ $2.9M) · P/S ratio 0.68 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.5900 · Net margin −6.3% · Return on equity −67.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.5% · Operating margin −17.4% · Revenue (TTM) 42.1M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −72%, DIAH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 0.4200 Fair Value kr 0.6400 Bull kr 0.8000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.3900 kr 0.5300 kr 0.7900 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.3900 kr 0.5300 kr 0.7900 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 14/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−27.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.2% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.3% (2020) → −6.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

DIAH screens 256% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 720 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −16% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −35% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 19.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €184.18 €172.46 −6%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $238.22 $342.73 +44%
Shopify Inc SHOP $145.16 $64.36 −56%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $137.78 $151.56 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.22 $103.69 +50%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $309.09 $225.14 −27%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $334.81 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $251.49 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $263.68 $177.51 −33%

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Diadrom Holding AB · Fair Value
kr 0.6400 −256%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Diadrom Holding AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIAH

Frequently asked questions

Is Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.6400 versus a price of kr 2.28, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DIAH?
Our model-based fair value for Diadrom Holding AB is kr 0.6400 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 2.28.
What is the quality score of DIAH?
Diadrom Holding AB has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.6400 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.4200, optimistic scenario kr 0.8000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Diadrom Holding AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.6400, about −72% upside versus a price of kr 2.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.4200, optimistic scenario kr 0.8000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
Diadrom Holding AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 42.1M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Diadrom Holding AB it is kr 0.6400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of kr 2.28. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Diadrom Holding AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DIAH trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 2.28, fair value kr 0.6400, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DIAH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 2.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.6400). For Diadrom Holding AB the two are kr 1.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Diadrom Holding AB worth?
The market values Diadrom Holding AB at about 28.7M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is kr 2.28; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.6400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DIAH?
Our models span a range for Diadrom Holding AB: cautious scenario kr 0.4200, base kr 0.6400, optimistic kr 0.8000 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price kr 2.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Diadrom Holding AB (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −67.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DIAH from its 52-week high?
Diadrom Holding AB trades at kr 2.28, about 61% below its 52-week high of kr 5.90 and 65% above the low of kr 1.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.6400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Diadrom Holding AB?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Diadrom Holding AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price kr 2.28, calculated fair value kr 0.6400 (−72%), Quality Score 54/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DIAH calculated?
We run Diadrom Holding AB through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 0.6400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Diadrom Holding AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 2.28. Our model-based fair value is kr 0.6400, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Diadrom Holding AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.8000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 0.4200 to kr 0.8000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH) come from?
Earnings per share at Diadrom Holding AB grew +0.4 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.9 %, EBIT margin −2.8 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Diadrom Holding AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
The market capitalisation of Diadrom Holding AB is 28.7M SEK (≈ $2.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Diadrom Holding AB is 0.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
Earnings per share at Diadrom Holding AB are kr −0.5900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
The net margin of Diadrom Holding AB is −6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Diadrom Holding AB is −67.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Diadrom Holding AB is 13.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
The operating margin of Diadrom Holding AB is −17.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
Revenue at Diadrom Holding AB is growing −35.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH)?
Earnings per share at Diadrom Holding AB are growing −86.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH) generate?
The free cash flow of Diadrom Holding AB is −6.1M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Diadrom Holding AB (DIAH) hold?
Diadrom Holding AB holds more cash than debt, 8.3M SEK net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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