Diadrom Holding (DIAH) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 28.7M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from kr 2.36 to kr 0.6400 (−72.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.8000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 0.4200 to kr 0.8000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 1.39 – kr 15.37 · fair‑value band kr 0.4200 – kr 0.8000 · the kr 2.69 price screens above the kr 0.6400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Diadrom Holding (DIAH) currently trades at kr 2.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.6400, implying the stock looks roughly 76.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Diadrom Holding generated revenue of 50.5M SEK at a net margin of -5.2%. Revenue declined 30.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 8.3M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.4200 (bear case) to kr 0.8000 (bull case); at kr 2.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -76%, DIAH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Diadrom Holding AB (publ), a solutions and software company, engages in the diagnostics of autotech products with embedded software in Sweden, Germany, and the Netherlands.
Full company description
Diadrom Holding AB (publ), a solutions and software company, engages in the diagnostics of autotech products with embedded software in Sweden, Germany, and the Netherlands. The company offers Autotech Bootloader, a stand-alone bootloader; Encrypt, an embedded software component that implements customer specific cyber security concepts; Diag Com Stack, an embedded software component designed to handle the on-board communication of ECUs together with basic diagnostics in a modern vehicle; Dolphin, a software system and verification tool for automated testing; and Diag Studio, an off-board diagnostics system product suit. It also provides consultancy; research and development, manufacturing, aftermarket, auto defense, academy, autotech, enablers, partner network, and diagnostics ecosystem solutions; and customer on-site, fixed-price projects, and maintenance services. The company serves the automotive, medtech, industrial machinery, defense, security, and public transport sectors. Diadrom Holding AB (publ) was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Diadrom Holding reported revenue of kr 46.7M in FY2025 versus kr 53.1M in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 3.0M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +2.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
DIAH screens 76% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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