DINE, S.A. (DINEA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of DINE, S.A. MXN 4.28, price MXN 22.50, upside -81.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value 4.28 MXN · Strongly overvalued (−81.0%)
!Quality 52/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +31.3 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 17.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers(5/12)
!Narrow moat43/100
!Insider activity40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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DINE, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, develops real estate projects in Mexico. The company is also involved in the acquisition, development, and disposal of residential, tourist, and commercial properties. In addition, it provides administrative and advisory services. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
DINE, S.A. (DINEA) currently trades at 22.50 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.28 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 425.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 8.13 MXN per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 22.50 MXN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3.62 MXN, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 4.28 MXN (bear) to 6.27 MXN (bull), the price of 22.50 MXN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
DINE, S.A. reported revenue of 3.0B MXN in FY2025 versus 1.3B MXN in FY2021, a compound +23.5%/yr. Reported net income was 465M MXN in FY2025, compounding +54.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 14.3B MXN (≈ $804M) · P/E ratio 23.2 · P/S ratio 3.63 · EPS (TTM) 0.8200 MXN · Net margin 15.6% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin −17.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −81%, DINEA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 4.28 MXNFair Value 4.28 MXNBull 6.27 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.6088 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−34.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +6.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.40.7% vs 52.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−14% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 305% above its own trend.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Above median
Fair Value upside−81.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets2.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)17.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−17.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−32.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)23.2× · Pricier than median
P/B4.17× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.68× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA45.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)59· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DINE, S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DINEA
Frequently asked questions
Is DINE, S.A. (DINEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.28 MXN versus a price of 22.50 MXN, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DINEA?
Our model-based fair value for DINE, S.A. is 4.28 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22.50 MXN.
What is the quality score of DINEA?
DINE, S.A. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.28 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.28 MXN, optimistic scenario 6.27 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DINE, S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.28 MXN, about −81% upside versus a price of 22.50 MXN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4.28 MXN, optimistic scenario 6.27 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
DINE, S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DINE, S.A. it is 4.28 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 22.50 MXN. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is DINE, S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DINEA trades above its calculated fair value: price 22.50 MXN, fair value 4.28 MXN, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DINEA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22.50 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.28 MXN). For DINE, S.A. the two are 18.22 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DINE, S.A. worth?
The market values DINE, S.A. at about 14.3B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 22.50 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 4.28 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DINEA?
Our models span a range for DINE, S.A.: cautious scenario 4.28 MXN, base 4.28 MXN, optimistic 6.27 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 22.50 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DINEA?
DINE, S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4.28 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.2, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 45.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
Balance-sheet figures for DINE, S.A. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.9%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DINEA from its 52-week high?
DINE, S.A. trades at 22.50 MXN, about 7% below its 52-week high of 24.30 MXN and 22% above the low of 18.50 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.28 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to DINE, S.A.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DINE, S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 22.50 MXN, calculated fair value 4.28 MXN (−81%), Quality Score 52/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DINEA calculated?
We run DINE, S.A. through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.28 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. DINE, S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 22.50 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 4.28 MXN, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DINE, S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.27 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of DINE, S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
The market capitalisation of DINE, S.A. is 14.3B MXN (≈ $804M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DINE, S.A. is 3.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
Earnings per share at DINE, S.A. are 0.8200 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
The net margin of DINE, S.A. is 15.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DINE, S.A. is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DINE, S.A. is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
The operating margin of DINE, S.A. is −17.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
Revenue at DINE, S.A. is growing −32.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +39.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DINE, S.A. (DINEA)?
Earnings per share at DINE, S.A. are growing −15.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does DINE, S.A. (DINEA) generate?
The free cash flow of DINE, S.A. is −615M MXN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does DINE, S.A. (DINEA) carry?
The net debt of DINE, S.A. is 2.4B MXN (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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