Kering SA (KER) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €30.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €82.17 to €60.61 (−26.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +19.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€60.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (€55.35 to €60.61), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €151.21 – €692.04 · fair‑value band €55.35 – €60.61 · the €286.65 price screens above the €60.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Kering SA (KER) currently trades at €286.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €60.61, implying the stock looks roughly 78.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kering SA generated revenue of €14.7B at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue declined 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. Net debt stands at €19.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €55.35 (bear case) to €60.61 (bull case); at €286.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -4% fair-value upside, at -79%, KER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€107.24) versus Earnings-Based (€4.88). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kering SA manages the development of a collection of renowned houses in fashion, leather goods, and jewelry in the Asia Pacific, Western Europe, North America, Japan, and internationally. The company provides ready-to-wear products, accessories, and beauty products for men and women.
Full company description
Kering SA manages the development of a collection of renowned houses in fashion, leather goods, and jewelry in the Asia Pacific, Western Europe, North America, Japan, and internationally. The company provides ready-to-wear products, accessories, and beauty products for men and women. It also offers leather goods and shoes; watches and jewelry; eyewear products; and fragrances and cosmetics. The company provides its products under the Gucci, Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, Balenciaga, Alexander McQueen, Brioni, Boucheron, Pomellato, DoDo, Qeelin, and Ginori 1735, as well as Kering Eyewear and Kering Beauté brands. Kering SA was formerly known as PPR SA. and changed its name to Kering SA in May 2013. The company was founded in 1963 and is based in Paris, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kering SA reported revenue of €14.7B in FY2025 versus €17.6B in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was €72.0M in FY2025, compounding −61.2%/yr from FY2021.
KER screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Compagnie Financière Richemont SA →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Kering (ENXTPA:KER) Reports Half Year Earnings, Is The Stock Fully Priced?
- Kering Shares Soar as Analysts Cheer Q2 Results
- Do Kering's Q2 results spell a lift for the luxury sector?
- Kering H1 revenue up 1% as jewellery and eyewear offset Gucci fall
Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 132 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 197.40 | CHF 117.30 | -41% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €455.40 | €502.30 | +10% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $140.73 | $19.95 | -86% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$11.82 | HK$12.28 | +4% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 40.95 | CHF 21.48 | -48% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$43.26 | HK$64.05 | +48% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 779.40 | kr 1,424 | +83% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €80.32 | €42.69 | -47% |
| Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL | ₹546.60 | ₹238.57 | -56% |
| LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, LV | C$11.46 | C$11.05 | -4% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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