Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Dios Fastigheter AB SEK 54.69, price SEK 61.70, upside -11.4%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Diös Fastigheter AB (publ) develops, owns, and rents commercial and residential properties in Sweden. It holds a portfolio of 354 properties and a lettable area of 1,599 thousand sq.m with offices, urban services, and homes. The company was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Östersund, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS) currently trades at kr 61.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 54.69, implying the stock looks roughly 12.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 98.88 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the kr 61.70 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 51.48, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 13.89 (bear) to kr 123.60 (bull), the price of kr 61.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Dios Fastigheter AB reported revenue of 2.7B SEK in FY2025 versus 2.0B SEK in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was 808M SEK in FY2025, compounding −23.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 8.7B SEK (≈ $884M) · P/E ratio 7.7 · P/S ratio 2.35 · EPS (TTM) kr 7.97 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 30.4% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −11%, DIOS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 13.89Fair Value kr 54.69Bull kr 123.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 4.55 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.66% → 65%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.9% a year for the price and −0.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 132 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−11% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)42% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)70% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.20× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dios Fastigheter AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIOS
Frequently asked questions
Is Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 54.69 versus a price of kr 61.70, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DIOS?
Our model-based fair value for Dios Fastigheter AB is kr 54.69 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 61.70.
What is the quality score of DIOS?
Dios Fastigheter AB has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 54.69 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 13.89, optimistic scenario kr 123.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dios Fastigheter AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 54.69, about −11% upside versus a price of kr 61.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 13.89, optimistic scenario kr 123.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
Dios Fastigheter AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Dios Fastigheter AB pay a dividend?
Dios Fastigheter AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dios Fastigheter AB would have to grow free cash flow by +21.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DIOS use?
Our models discount Dios Fastigheter AB at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.23, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dios Fastigheter AB that is +21.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dios Fastigheter AB grew +7.4 % a year. The price currently implies +21.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dios Fastigheter AB (+21.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.26 %: that much free cash flow Dios Fastigheter AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dios Fastigheter AB it is kr 54.69 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 61.70. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dios Fastigheter AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DIOS trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 61.70, fair value kr 54.69, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DIOS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 61.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 54.69). For Dios Fastigheter AB the two are kr 7.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dios Fastigheter AB worth?
The market values Dios Fastigheter AB at about 8.7B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 61.70; our models calculate a fair value of kr 54.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DIOS?
Our models span a range for Dios Fastigheter AB: cautious scenario kr 13.89, base kr 54.69, optimistic kr 123.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 61.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DIOS?
Dios Fastigheter AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 54.69 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 0.7, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 13.2.
What is the PEG ratio of DIOS?
The PEG ratio of Dios Fastigheter AB is 1.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dios Fastigheter AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 1.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DIOS from its 52-week high?
Dios Fastigheter AB trades at kr 61.70, about 11% below its 52-week high of kr 69.49 and 2% above the low of kr 60.31 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 54.69 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dios Fastigheter AB?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dios Fastigheter AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 61.70, calculated fair value kr 54.69 (−11%), Quality Score 63/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DIOS calculated?
We run Dios Fastigheter AB through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 54.69, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Dios Fastigheter AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was kr 61.70. Our model-based fair value is kr 54.69, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dios Fastigheter AB right now?
The model range is unusually wide (kr 13.89 to kr 123.60). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS) come from?
Earnings per share at Dios Fastigheter AB grew +0.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.0 %, EBIT margin +1.0 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Dios Fastigheter AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
The market capitalisation of Dios Fastigheter AB is 8.7B SEK (≈ $884M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dios Fastigheter AB is 2.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
Earnings per share at Dios Fastigheter AB are kr 7.97 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
The dividend yield of Dios Fastigheter AB is 2.8% (payout 22.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
The net margin of Dios Fastigheter AB is 30.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dios Fastigheter AB is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dios Fastigheter AB is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
The operating margin of Dios Fastigheter AB is 69.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
Revenue at Dios Fastigheter AB is growing +0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS)?
Earnings per share at Dios Fastigheter AB are growing +29.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dios Fastigheter AB (DIOS) carry?
The net debt of Dios Fastigheter AB is 17.2B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 19.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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