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Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG (DKG) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · DE · Market cap €139M

DK Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG DKG · XETRA
Price€1.37
Fair Value€0.1600
Upside-88.3%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -39.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.1600 – €0.6400 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +7.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 88% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.6400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€0.1600 to €0.6400). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€13.78 €1.22 Fair Value €0.1600 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.22 – €13.78 · fair‑value band €0.1600 – €0.6400 · the €1.37 price screens above the €0.1600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG (DKG) currently trades at €1.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.1600, implying the stock looks roughly 88.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG generated revenue of €125M at a net margin of -39.6%. Revenue declined 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.6%. Net debt stands at €466M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.1600 (bear case) to €0.6400 (bull case); at €1.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -88%, DKG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €0.0800 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.62 74
EV/EBIT €0.0900 53
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.3500 38
5Y Revenue Exit €0.8000 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €1.85 41
10Y Revenue Exit €0.1600 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €3.03 37
Multiples
EV/EBIT €0.0900 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.37 €1.83 €2.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.0800 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.62 74

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €125M
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.8%
Net margin -39.7%
Return on equity -12.6%
Free cash flow €15.5M FY2025
Operating margin 30.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.6000
EPS growth (YoY) +75.0%
Net debt €466M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG, a real estate investment trust, engages in the acquisition, leasing and management, and sale of retail properties in Germany. As of September 30, 2017, the company had a portfolio of 62 retail properties. Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Potsdam, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG reported revenue of €88.3M in FY2025 versus €165M in FY2021, a compound −14.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€55.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€88.3M
Latest YoY
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.4%
Revenue −14.5%/yr
FY21 €165M
FY22 €211M
FY23 €96.7M
FY24 €77.4M
FY25 €88.3M
Net income
FY21 €91.4M
FY22 €60.4M
FY23 −€181M
FY24 €2.0M
FY25 −€55.0M

DKG screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DKG

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 107 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -40% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.48× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.29× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 24.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 26 · sector 66
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG (DKG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.1600 versus a price of €1.37, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DKG?
Our model-based fair value for Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG is €0.1600 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €1.37.
What is the quality score of DKG?
Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG (DKG)?
Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €125M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DKG?
The net profit margin of Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG is about -39.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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