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Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) (0823) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$102B

LR Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 · HK
PriceHK$38.78
Fair ValueHK$41.98
Upside+8.3%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -52.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.54% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range HK$26.41 – HK$57.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from HK$41.93 to HK$41.98 (+0.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +3.9% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$26.41 to HK$57.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$56.13 HK$25.67 Fair Value HK$41.98 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$25.67 – HK$56.13 · fair‑value band HK$26.41 – HK$57.54 · the HK$38.78 price screens below the HK$41.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) (0823) currently trades at HK$38.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$41.98, implying the stock looks roughly 8.3% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) generated revenue of HK$14.1B at a net margin of -52.4%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.0%. Net debt stands at HK$52.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$26.41 (bear case) to HK$57.54 (bull case); at HK$38.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at 8%, 0823 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$14.78 HK$30.09 HK$52.27 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.5900 HK$7.53 HK$15.69 74
ROIC Compounder HK$15.37 HK$20.55 HK$25.08 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$14.33 HK$31.80 HK$58.83 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5900 HK$7.16 HK$15.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$15.55 HK$35.44 HK$58.73 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$4.96 HK$12.20 HK$21.36 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$14.83 HK$31.94 HK$54.94 37
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$15.37 HK$20.55 HK$25.08 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$22.00 HK$45.75 HK$72.57 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$22.00 HK$37.21 HK$48.01 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$33.27 HK$49.60 HK$65.92 53
EV/EBITDA HK$20.01 HK$31.91 HK$43.81 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$28.91 HK$38.74 HK$57.82 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$14.78 HK$30.09 HK$52.27 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.5900 HK$7.53 HK$15.69 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$15.37 HK$20.55 HK$25.08 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$38.74) versus Growth DCF (HK$7.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$14.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.3%
Net margin -52.4%
Return on equity -5.0%
Free cash flow HK$6.8B FY2026
Operating margin 68.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.6200
Dividend yield 6.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net debt HK$52.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) is the largest REIT in Asia by many measures including asset value. Managed by Link Asset Management Limited (Link), a leading, independent and fully integrated real estate investor and manager focusing on the APAC region, Link REIT has been entirely owned by independent investors since its listing in November …

Full company description

Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) is the largest REIT in Asia by many measures including asset value. Managed by Link Asset Management Limited (Link), a leading, independent and fully integrated real estate investor and manager focusing on the APAC region, Link REIT has been entirely owned by independent investors since its listing in November 2005 as the first REIT in Hong Kong. After initially acquiring a portfolio of shopping centres and car parks in Hong Kong valued at around 33 billion Hong Kong dollars at the time of its IPO, Link has grown and diversified the Link REIT's property portfolio. Today, the portfolio includes retail facilities, car parks, offices, and logistics assets which span Hong Kong, Mainland China, Australia, Singapore, and the UK, with a total valuation of around 226 billion Hong Kong dollars (As at 31 March 2025). Link aims to further grow and diversify the Link REIT portfolio to continue delivering resilient returns and growth to Unitholders. Link REIT is a constituent of the Hong Kong securities market benchmark Hang Seng Index, as well as a component of the Dow Jones Sustainability Asia Pacific Index, the FTSE4Good Index Series and the Hang Seng Corporate Sustainability Index. Asset management, portfolio management and capital management are three pillars of our management strengths. We are committed to integrating Environment, Social and Governance (ESG) considerations into our strategy and daily operations. Link Real Estate Investment Trust was incorporated in 2005 in Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) reported revenue of HK$14.0B in FY2026 versus HK$11.7B in FY2022, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$7.4B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 32/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$14.0B
Latest YoY
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+5.6%
Revenue +4.6%/yr
FY22 HK$11.7B
FY23 HK$12.3B
FY24 HK$13.6B
FY25 HK$14.2B
FY26 HK$14.0B
Net income
FY22 HK$6.9B
FY23 HK$15.5B
FY24 −HK$2.0B
FY25 −HK$8.9B
FY26 −HK$7.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0823

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 107 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Below median
Fair Value upside +8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -52% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 68% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.92× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 12.63× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 44 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 85 · sector 66
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simon Property Group SPG $229.78 $86.11 -63%
Realty Income Corporation O $65.60 $30.71 -53%
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW €103.65 €101.67 -2%
Kimco Realty Corporation KIM $26.10 $12.60 -52%
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U 2.47 SGD 0.9100 SGD -63%
Scentre Group SCG A$3.93 A$3.34 -15%
Regency Centers Corporation REG $82.15 $33.69 -59%
Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT $126.08 $41.96 -67%
Brixmor Property Group BRX $32.44 $13.18 -59%
Agree Realty Corporation ADC $79.81 $39.16 -51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) (0823) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$41.98 versus a price of HK$38.78, about +8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0823?
Our model-based fair value for Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) is HK$41.98 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$38.78.
What is the quality score of 0823?
Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) has a Quality Score of 56/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) (0823)?
Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$14.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0823?
The net profit margin of Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) is about -52.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) pay a dividend?
Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.52% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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