Dollar Tree, Inc (DLTR34) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · BR · Market cap R$124B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from R$61.00 to R$61.19 (+0.3%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +18.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$231.84 – R$352.15 · fair‑value band R$38.59 – R$83.42 · the R$322.00 price screens above the R$61.19 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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Dollar Tree, Inc (DLTR34) currently trades at R$322.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$61.19, implying the stock looks roughly 81.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dollar Tree, Inc generated revenue of R$19.7B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.0%. Net debt stands at R$1.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$38.59 (bear case) to R$83.42 (bull case); at R$322.00, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -81%, DLTR34 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Dollar Tree, Inc reported revenue of R$19.4B in FY2026 versus R$26.3B in FY2022, a compound −7.3%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.3B in FY2026, compounding −0.9%/yr from FY2022.
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Similar stocks
10 more Discount Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walmart Inc WMT | C$49.53 | C$21.45 | -57% |
| Costco Wholesale Corporation COST | C$43.18 | C$11.71 | -73% |
| Target Corporation TGT | $129.73 | $117.83 | -9% |
| Wal-Mart de México, S.A. WMMVY | $29.23 | $34.40 | +18% |
| Dollarama Inc DLMAY | $14.44 | $6.84 | -53% |
| Dollar General Corporation DGCO34 | R$23.59 | R$27.39 | +16% |
| Avenue Supermarts Limited DMART | ₹4,144 | ₹834.49 | -80% |
| Pan Pacific International Holdings DQJCF | $5.30 | $2.60 | -51% |
| BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings BJ | $88.40 | $61.51 | -30% |
| Pepco Group PCO | 35.29 PLN | 12.40 PLN | -65% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.