Pepco Group (PCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · PL · Market cap 22.4B PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 12.40 PLN to 54.90 PLN (+342.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +27.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from 41.10 PLN (bear) to 68.70 PLN (bull), base 54.90 PLN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.82 PLN – 54.55 PLN · fair‑value band 41.10 PLN – 68.70 PLN · the 46.67 PLN price screens below the 54.90 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Pepco Group (PCO) currently trades at 46.67 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 54.90 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 17.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Pepco Group generated revenue of 4.6B PLN at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 85.1%. Net debt stands at 162M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 41.10 PLN (bear case) to 68.70 PLN (bull case); at 46.67 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic. The share trades near its 52-week high and 169% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at 18%, PCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (17.26 PLN) versus Asset-Based (0.2000 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Pepco Group N.V. operates as a variety discount retailer in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, Poland, and the rest of Europe. The company offers general merchandise; apparel for the whole family, including children's wear; household goods and toys; homeware; home décor; and seasonal products.
Full company description
Pepco Group N.V. operates as a variety discount retailer in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, Poland, and the rest of Europe. The company offers general merchandise; apparel for the whole family, including children's wear; household goods and toys; homeware; home décor; and seasonal products. In addition, the company provides direct product sourcing, product development, and technical services. Pepco Group N.V. operates stores under the Pepco, Poundland, and Dealz brands. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Pepco Group N.V. is a subsidiary of Pepco Holdco Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Pepco Group reported revenue of 4.5B PLN in FY2025 versus 4.1B PLN in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −176M PLN in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Discount Stores · 25 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Discount Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Discount Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walmart Inc WMT | $113.90 | $48.65 | -57% |
| Costco Wholesale Corporation COST | $916.25 | $383.51 | -58% |
| Target Corporation TGT | $139.60 | $118.22 | -15% |
| Wal-Mart de México, S.A. WALMEX | 49.49 MXN | 60.59 MXN | +22% |
| Dollarama Inc DOL | C$188.95 | C$92.38 | -51% |
| Avenue Supermarts Limited DMART | ₹4,081 | ₹1,066 | -74% |
| Dollar General Corporation DG | $125.75 | $116.55 | -7% |
| Dollar Tree, Inc DLTR | $124.91 | $125.92 | +1% |
| BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings BJ | $90.24 | $80.99 | -10% |
| PriceSmart, Inc PSMT | $189.05 | $98.60 | -48% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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