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DocuSign, Inc (DOCU) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $10.2B

DI DocuSign, Inc logo DocuSign, Inc DOCU · US
Price$56.90
Fair Value$30.33
Upside-46.7%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range $23.30 – $37.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $29.81 to $30.33 (+1.7%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +20.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($37.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$310.05 $38.53 Fair Value $30.33 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $38.53 – $310.05 · fair‑value band $23.30 – $37.37 · the $56.90 price screens above the $30.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

DocuSign, Inc (DOCU) currently trades at $56.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.33, implying the stock looks roughly 46.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, DocuSign, Inc generated revenue of $3.2B at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $417M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $23.30 (bear case) to $37.37 (bull case); at $56.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -47%, DOCU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $84.83 $162.64 $315.21 80
Residual Income $10.60 $13.02 $26.96 76
Rev-Margin DCF $35.16 $58.48 $93.40 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $89.59 $146.21 $316.62 38
Owner Earnings $25.59 $59.02 $129.19 31
5Y Revenue Exit $35.16 $52.77 $86.04 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $39.42 $61.82 $102.38 41
5Y P/E Exit $41.65 $74.44 $115.13 38
10Y Revenue Exit $50.22 $82.49 $108.48 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $53.85 $90.85 $152.65 37
10Y P/E Exit $55.44 $95.23 $159.71 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.01 $76.76 $107.73 54
Lynch FV $24.33 $34.75 $45.18 50
PEG = 1.0 $24.33 $34.75 $45.18 46
EPV $12.38 $14.54 $16.43 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $15.23 $31.67 $50.23 70
DDM Multi-Stage $15.23 $26.70 $33.23 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $24.28 $32.37 $40.47 63
P/S Multiple $20.64 $27.52 $34.40 58
P/B Multiple $20.64 $27.52 $34.40 55
EV/EBIT $20.50 $27.54 $34.58 53
EV/EBITDA $20.57 $27.62 $34.68 54
EV/Revenue $13.62 $19.72 $25.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.02 $6.73 $10.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $84.83 $162.64 $315.21 80
Rev-Margin DCF $35.16 $58.48 $93.40 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.60 $13.02 $26.96 76
ROIC Compounder $14.43 $21.16 $26.66 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $31.93 $45.62 $59.30 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($74.44) versus Asset-Based ($6.73). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.7%
Net margin 9.6%
Return on equity 16.4%
Free cash flow $1.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 34.7
More key figures
Operating margin 13.4%
EPS (TTM) $1.54
EPS growth (YoY) +17.6%
Net cash $417M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DocuSign, Inc. provides electronic signature solution in the United States and internationally. The company offers AI-powered intelligent agreement management (IAM) platform to optimize the gain intelligence and automation across the entire agreement lifecycle; and provides e-signature solution that enables sending and signing of agreements on various …

Full company description

DocuSign, Inc. provides electronic signature solution in the United States and internationally. The company offers AI-powered intelligent agreement management (IAM) platform to optimize the gain intelligence and automation across the entire agreement lifecycle; and provides e-signature solution that enables sending and signing of agreements on various devices; Contract Lifecycle Management (CLM), which automates workflows across the entire agreement process; and Document Generation streamlines the process of generating new, custom agreements. It also provides Identify, a signer-identification option for checking government-issued IDs; Standards-Based Signatures, which support signatures that involve digital certificates; Monitor that uses advanced analytics; Notary which enables notaries public to conduct remote online notarization transactions; and Web Forms. In addition, the company offers Real Estate for eSignature that provides a way for brokers and agents to manage the entire real estate transaction digitally. eSignature and CLM are Federal Risk and Authorization Management Program (FedRAMP), an authorized version of DocuSign eSignature for U.S. federal government agencies; and life sciences modules that support compliance with the electronic signature practices. The company sells its products through direct and partner-assisted sales, and digital self-service purchasing. DocuSign, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

DocuSign, Inc reported revenue of $3.2B in FY2026 versus $2.1B in FY2022, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was $309M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$3.2B
Latest YoY
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.2%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+29.1%
Revenue +11.2%/yr
FY22 $2.1B
FY23 $2.5B
FY24 $2.8B
FY25 $3.0B
FY26 $3.2B
Net income
FY22 −$70.0M
FY23 −$97.5M
FY24 $74.0M
FY25 $1.1B
FY26 $309M

DOCU screens 47% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DocuSign, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DOCU

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.38× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.31× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.10× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 9.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 26.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.60× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 44 · sector 37
PAST 66 · sector 13
HEALTH 81 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.69 C$16.26 +28%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DocuSign, Inc (DOCU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.33 versus a price of $56.90, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DOCU?
Our model-based fair value for DocuSign, Inc is $30.33 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $56.90.
What is the quality score of DOCU?
DocuSign, Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DocuSign, Inc (DOCU)?
DocuSign, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DOCU?
The net profit margin of DocuSign, Inc is about 9.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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