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Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · TR · ISIN TRADOKTS91G7

DD Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS

DOKTA · IS

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value 41.04 TRY · Strongly undervalued (+114%)
!Quality 29/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +59.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.1% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 22.28 TRY to 71.91 TRY
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

46.83 TRY 8.90 TRY Fair Value 41.04 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.90 TRY – 46.83 TRY · fair‑value band 22.28 TRY – 71.91 TRY · the 19.21 TRY price screens below the 41.04 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Döktas Dökümcülük Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. manufactures and sells cast iron, ductile iron, and aluminum castings and wheels for the automotive, heavy commercial vehicle, agriculture, construction, mining, and machinery manufacturing sectors. It operates through three segments: Pikdöküm, Aluminum Casting, and Rim.

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Döktas Dökümcülük Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. manufactures and sells cast iron, ductile iron, and aluminum castings and wheels for the automotive, heavy commercial vehicle, agriculture, construction, mining, and machinery manufacturing sectors. It operates through three segments: Pikdöküm, Aluminum Casting, and Rim. The Pikdöküm segment produces gray and ductile iron castings. The Aluminum Casting segment manufactures aluminum casting components. The Rim segment produces aluminum wheels. The company also exports its products. It serves the automotive, heavy commercial vehicles, construction, and agricultural machinery industries. The company was formerly known as Componenta Dökümcülük Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. and changed its name to Döktas Dökümcülük Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. in April 2018. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Bursa, Turkey. Döktas Dökümcülük Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. is a subsidiary of Çelik Holding A.S.

Stock analysis

Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA) currently trades at 19.21 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 41.04 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 53.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 58.09 TRY per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the 19.21 TRY price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 7.40 TRY, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 22.28 TRY (bear) to 71.91 TRY (bull), the price of 19.21 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS reported revenue of 13.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 2.7B TRY in FY2021, a compound +49.8%/yr. Reported net income was −1.0B TRY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.9B TRY (≈ $142M) · P/S ratio 0.47 · EPS (TTM) −3.23 TRY · Net margin −7.6% · Return on equity −13.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 4.1% · Revenue (TTM) 14.7B TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at 114%, DOKTA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 22.28 TRY Fair Value 41.04 TRY Bull 71.91 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 5.31 TRY 7.40 TRY 9.21 TRY 73
FCF DCF 47.75 TRY 77.81 TRY 171.51 TRY 72
Growth DCF 44.36 TRY 91.61 TRY 167.73 TRY 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 47.75 TRY 77.81 TRY 171.51 TRY 72
5Y Revenue Exit 19.64 TRY 34.37 TRY 64.76 TRY 67
5Y EBITDA Exit 27.73 TRY 50.73 TRY 95.67 TRY 69
10Y Revenue Exit 27.89 TRY 58.09 TRY 73.40 TRY 64
10Y EBITDA Exit 34.31 TRY 75.12 TRY 142.79 TRY 62
Earnings-Based
EPV 5.31 TRY 7.40 TRY 9.21 TRY 73
Multiples
EV/EBIT 9.07 TRY 14.73 TRY 20.40 TRY 64
EV/EBITDA 18.81 TRY 27.73 TRY 36.65 TRY 66
EV/Revenue 6.80 TRY 13.11 TRY 19.43 TRY 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10.47 TRY 14.02 TRY 20.93 TRY 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 44.36 TRY 91.61 TRY 167.73 TRY 72
Rev-Margin DCF 22.18 TRY 40.55 TRY 79.40 TRY 66
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 5.31 TRY 7.40 TRY 9.21 TRY 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.8%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+59.4%
Revenue growth 7 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.9%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.6% (2020) → 3.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 405 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +28% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.39× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)80 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $258.82 $116.05 −55%
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €62.86 €32.70 −48%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,268 ₹1,095 −14%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $238.23 $127.14 −47%
500228 500228 ₹1,268 ₹973.59 −23%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹187.29 ₹139.17 −26%
Reliance, Inc RS $394.30 $211.57 −46%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.77 ¥8.07 +40%
POSCO Holdings PKX $59.19 $68.78 +16%
Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,118 ₹388.42 −65%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DOKTA

Frequently asked questions

Is Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 41.04 TRY versus a price of 19.21 TRY, about +114% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DOKTA?
Our model-based fair value for Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 41.04 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 19.21 TRY.
What is the quality score of DOKTA?
Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 41.04 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 22.28 TRY, optimistic scenario 71.91 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 41.04 TRY, about +114% upside versus a price of 19.21 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 22.28 TRY, optimistic scenario 71.91 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.7B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS would have to grow free cash flow by +13.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +59.4 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DOKTA use?
Our models discount Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS at 17.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS that is +13.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (17.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS grew +59.4 % a year. The price currently implies +13.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (+13.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.23 %: that much free cash flow Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS it is 41.04 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 19.21 TRY. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, DOKTA trades below its calculated fair value: price 19.21 TRY, fair value 41.04 TRY, a gap of about +114% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DOKTA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (19.21 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (41.04 TRY). For Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS the two are 21.83 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS worth?
The market values Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS at about 6.9B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 19.21 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 41.04 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DOKTA?
Our models span a range for Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS: cautious scenario 22.28 TRY, base 41.04 TRY, optimistic 71.91 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 19.21 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −13.9%, debt of 0.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DOKTA from its 52-week high?
Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS trades at 19.21 TRY, about 46% below its 52-week high of 35.84 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 41.04 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, JSW Steel Limited, Steel Dynamics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 19.21 TRY, calculated fair value 41.04 TRY (+114%), Quality Score 29/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DOKTA calculated?
We run Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 41.04 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS currently trades 114 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 19.21 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 41.04 TRY, about +114% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (22.28 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (22.28 TRY to 71.91 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
The market capitalisation of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 6.9B TRY (≈ $142M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 0.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
Earnings per share at Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS are −3.23 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
The net margin of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is −7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is −13.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
The operating margin of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
Revenue at Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is growing +34.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA)?
Earnings per share at Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS are growing −36.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS (DOKTA) carry?
The net debt of Doktas Dokumculuk Ticaret ve Sanayi AS is 6.9B TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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