Dorman Products, Inc (DORM) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +4.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($48.40 to $179.83). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $62.18 – $166.34 · fair‑value band $48.40 – $179.83 · the $140.91 price screens above the $103.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Dorman Products, Inc (DORM) currently trades at $140.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $103.58, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dorman Products, Inc generated revenue of $2.2B at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.6%. Net debt stands at $584M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $48.40 (bear case) to $179.83 (bull case); at $140.91, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -26%, DORM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($121.54) versus Dividend Discount ($1.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dorman Products, Inc. supplies replacement and upgrade parts for the motor vehicle aftermarket industry in the United States and internationally. It operates through segments Light Duty, Heavy Duty, and Specialty Vehicle segments.
Full company description
Dorman Products, Inc. supplies replacement and upgrade parts for the motor vehicle aftermarket industry in the United States and internationally. It operates through segments Light Duty, Heavy Duty, and Specialty Vehicle segments. The company offers engine products, including intake and exhaust manifolds, oil filters and coolers, fans, thermostat housings, and throttle bodies; undercar products, such as fluid lines, fluid reservoirs, connectors, 4-wheel drive components and axles, drain plugs, other engine, transmission, and axle components; steering and suspension products comprising control arms, ball joints, tie-rod ends, brake hardware and hydraulics, wheel and axle hardware, suspension arms, knuckles, links, bushings, and leaf springs, as well as other suspension, steering, and brake components; body products, including door handles and hinges, window lift motors, window regulators, switches and handles, wiper components, lighting, electrical, and other interior and exterior vehicle body components, including windshields for UTVs; electronics products, such as new and remanufactured modules, clusters and sensors; and hardware products consisting of threaded bolts and auto body fasteners, automotive and home electrical wiring components, and other hardware assortments and merchandise. It also provides OE FIX solutions, including exhaust manifolds, metal heater hose connectors, and aluminum oil filter housings; and intake manifolds, exhaust manifolds, oil filters and coolers, exhaust gas recirculation coolers, driveshafts, UTV windshields, and complex electronics modules. The company markets its products under the DORMAN, DORMAN OE FIX, HELP!, Conduct-Tite, Dayton Parts, SuperATV, Keller Performance Products, Assault Industries, Gboost, and GDP brands through aftermarket retailers, dealers, and national, regional, and local wholesale distributors and specialty markets. Dorman Products, Inc. was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Colmar, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dorman Products, Inc reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was $204M in FY2025, compounding +11.6%/yr from FY2021.
DORM screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- The Bull Case For Dorman Products (DORM) Could Change Following Strong EPS Beat And Tighter 2026 Outlook
- What Makes Dorman Products (DORM) a New Buy Stock
- Dorman Products Inc (DORM) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Sales and EPS Fueled by ...
- Dorman Products, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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