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Leonardo DRS, Inc (DRS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $11.8B

LD Leonardo DRS, Inc logo Leonardo DRS, Inc DRS · US
Price$45.30
Fair Value$21.88
Upside-51.7%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.84% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range $16.41 – $27.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −0.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($27.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$49.69 $7.65 Fair Value $21.88 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.65 – $49.69 · fair‑value band $16.41 – $27.36 · the $45.30 price screens above the $21.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Leonardo DRS, Inc (DRS) currently trades at $45.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.88, implying the stock looks roughly 51.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Leonardo DRS, Inc generated revenue of $3.7B at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $177M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.41 (bear case) to $27.36 (bull case); at $45.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -52%, DRS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $14.69 $27.96 $49.70 80
Residual Income $9.05 $10.09 $17.03 76
Rev-Margin DCF $16.20 $28.71 $54.86 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $15.54 $23.76 $49.91 38
Owner Earnings $14.87 $32.29 $68.85 31
5Y Revenue Exit $14.75 $25.27 $47.33 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $17.32 $30.46 $56.26 41
5Y P/E Exit $16.95 $36.92 $64.24 38
10Y Revenue Exit $14.69 $32.26 $43.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $17.11 $37.78 $74.21 37
10Y P/E Exit $16.84 $36.99 $70.35 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.09 $49.42 $69.35 54
Lynch FV $25.53 $36.47 $47.42 50
PEG = 1.0 $25.53 $36.47 $47.42 46
EPV $11.58 $13.30 $14.81 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.30 $6.87 $10.90 70
DDM Multi-Stage $3.30 $5.79 $7.21 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.63 $20.84 $26.05 63
P/S Multiple $13.29 $17.72 $22.15 58
P/B Multiple $13.29 $17.72 $22.15 55
EV/EBIT $18.83 $24.70 $30.57 53
EV/EBITDA $17.34 $22.71 $28.09 54
EV/Revenue $13.09 $18.18 $23.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.12 $6.86 $10.23 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $14.69 $27.96 $49.70 80
Rev-Margin DCF $16.20 $28.71 $54.86 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.05 $10.09 $17.03 76
ROIC Compounder $13.37 $18.27 $23.05 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $32.90 $47.00 $61.10 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($47.00) versus Dividend Discount ($5.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.9%
Net margin 7.9%
Return on equity 10.9%
Free cash flow $227M FY2025
P/E ratio 41.3
More key figures
Operating margin 9.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.07
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +22.0%
Net cash $177M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Leonardo DRS, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides defense electronic products and systems, and military support services worldwide. It operates through Advanced Sensing and Computing and Integrated Mission Systems segments.

Full company description

Leonardo DRS, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides defense electronic products and systems, and military support services worldwide. It operates through Advanced Sensing and Computing and Integrated Mission Systems segments. The Advanced Sensing and Computing segment designs, develops, and manufacture sensing and network computing technology that enables real-time situational awareness required for enhanced operational decision making and execution; and offers sensing capabilities span applications, such as missions requiring advanced detection, precision targeting and surveillance sensing, long range electro-optic/infrared, signals intelligence, and other intelligence systems including electronic warfare, ground vehicle sensing, active electronically scanned array tactical radars, dismounted soldier, and space sensing. This segment also provides network computing, which are utilized across a range of mission applications, such as platform computing on ground and shipboard for advanced battle management, combat systems, radar, command and control, tactical networks, tactical computing, and communications. The Integrated Mission Systems segment offers electrical propulsion systems, which includes power conversion, control, distribution, and propulsion systems, as well as power dense permanent magnet motors, energy storage systems, associated rugged and compact power conversion, electrical actuation systems, as well as advanced thermal management technologies, motor controllers, and instrumentation and control equipment. Leonardo DRS, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Arlington, Virginia. Leonardo DRS, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Leonardo US Holding, LLC

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Leonardo DRS, Inc reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was $278M in FY2025, compounding +15.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.6B
Latest YoY
+12.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+3.8%
Revenue +6.1%/yr
FY21 $2.9B
FY22 $2.7B
FY23 $2.8B
FY24 $3.2B
FY25 $3.6B
Net income +15.9%/yr
FY21 $154M
FY22 $405M
FY23 $168M
FY24 $213M
FY25 $278M

DRS screens 52% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Leonardo DRS, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DRS

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −52% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.31× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.19× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 51.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 24.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 30 · sector 47
PAST 43 · sector 39
HEALTH 94 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 17 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €206.30 €92.85 -55%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Leonardo DRS, Inc (DRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.88 versus a price of $45.30, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DRS?
Our model-based fair value for Leonardo DRS, Inc is $21.88 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $45.30.
What is the quality score of DRS?
Leonardo DRS, Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Leonardo DRS, Inc (DRS)?
Leonardo DRS, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DRS?
The net profit margin of Leonardo DRS, Inc is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Leonardo DRS, Inc pay a dividend?
Leonardo DRS, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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