Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.6B
Driven Brands Holdings
DRVN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −10.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($5.78 to $18.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.30 – $34.42 · fair‑value band $5.78 – $18.06 · the $13.33 price screens above the $10.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) currently trades at $13.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.88, implying the stock looks roughly 18.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Driven Brands Holdings generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.2%. Net debt stands at $2.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.78 (bear case) to $18.06 (bull case); at $13.33, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -18%, DRVN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($39.40) versus Economic Profit ($2.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Driven Brands Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides automotive services to retail and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. The company operates through Take 5, Franchise Brands, and Auto Glass Now segments.
Full company description
Driven Brands Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides automotive services to retail and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. The company operates through Take 5, Franchise Brands, and Auto Glass Now segments. It offers various services, such as paint, collision, glass, repair, and oil change; maintenance services including differential fluid exchanges, coolant services and air and cabin filters; and auto glass and windshield replacement, repair, and calibration services. The company also distributes automotive parts, including radiators, air conditioning components, and exhaust products to automotive repair shops, auto parts stores, body shops, and other auto repair outlets. In addition, it provides training services to repair and maintenance, and paint and collision shops. It sells its products and services under the ABRA, CARSTAR, MAACO, Meineke Car Care Centers, PH Vitres D'Auto, Take 5 Oil Change, Auto Glass Now, Fix Auto, and 1-800-Radiator & A/C, Uniban, and Automotive Training Institute brand names. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Driven Brands Holdings reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was $140M in FY2025, compounding +95.3%/yr from FY2021.
DRVN screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Kuehn Law Encourages Investors of Driven Brands Holdings Inc. to Contact Law Firm
- Driven Brands (DRVN) Stock After Strong Q1 Results And Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance Is It Still Undervalued
Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $70.38 | $24.58 | -65% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $202.66 | $241.86 | +19% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 476.50 TWD | 576.75 TWD | +21% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.47 | $29.62 | -49% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $339.16 | $610.95 | +80% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $205.72 | $329.77 | +60% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.89 | $66.27 | -14% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $38.64 | $24.57 | -36% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $39.46 | $33.81 | -14% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$20.83 | A$17.66 | -15% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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