D2L Inc (DTOL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CA · Market cap C$562M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from C$3.51 to C$4.56 (+29.9%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −11.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$5.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range C$5.20 – C$20.61 · fair‑value band C$3.42 – C$5.71 · the C$9.15 price screens above the C$4.56 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
D2L Inc (DTOL) currently trades at C$9.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$4.56, implying the stock looks roughly 50.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, D2L Inc generated revenue of C$217M at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$107M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$3.42 (bear case) to C$5.71 (bull case); at C$9.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -50%, DTOL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$9.87) versus Asset-Based (C$1.01). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
D2L Inc. provides cloud-based learning software for higher education institutions, kindergarten to grade 12 schools and districts, and private sector enterprises in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company provides personalized, flexible and modern learning experiences for people of all ages.
Full company description
D2L Inc. provides cloud-based learning software for higher education institutions, kindergarten to grade 12 schools and districts, and private sector enterprises in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company provides personalized, flexible and modern learning experiences for people of all ages. It offers core cloud-based learning innovation platform, Brightspace, serves three distinct markets, such as kindergarten to grade 12 schools (K-12), higher education, and corporate markets. In addition, the company provides performance+, advanced analytics package, achievement+, and creator+ easy-to-use authoring tools; performance+ advanced analytics package, achievement+, which streamlines achievement reporting on learning outcomes reporting; and Course Merchant, a digital storefront that enables institutions to sell courses directly to learners. Further, it offers Lumi, a human-centered artificial intelligence; and D2L Link that enables seamless connections and streamlined automations with student information systems, customer information management systems, human resource systems and other systems. It sells its platform primarily through direct sales in North America, Europe, and Australia, as well as through direct and indirect channel partners. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Kitchener, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
D2L Inc reported revenue of C$222M in FY2026 versus C$152M in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was C$9.1M in FY2026.
DTOL screens 50% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 714 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.46 | C$16.26 | +30% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 | ¥254.50 | ¥81.23 | -68% |
| Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI | ₹3,712 | ₹2,519 | -32% |
| Douzone Bizon Co 012510 | 120,000 KRW | 92,181 KRW | -23% |
| KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH | ₹922.00 | ₹556.85 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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