DataWorks Group (DWG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of DataWorks Group stock A$0.34, price A$0.12, upside +183.3%, quality 71 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
DataWorks Group Limited develops software products for gaming and data analytics in Australia, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company provides secure data engine platform, a collaboration platform that uses encryption technology to ensure control, security, and privacy of data.
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It also provides software product suite for secure management and analysis of sensitive data using security technology. In addition, the company engages in participant support, contact center operations, identity verification, operator engagement, and regulatory reporting services.
Further, it operates BetStop, the Australian Government's National Self-Exclusion Register, as well as BetGuard, iGaming Ontario's real-time CSE platform. The company was formerly known as IXUP Limited and changed its name to DataWorks Group Limited in March 2025.
DataWorks Group Limited was founded in 2011 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
DataWorks Group (DWG) currently trades at A$0.1200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 65% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$0.3550 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the A$0.1200 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.1900, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.1900 (bear) to A$0.5300 (bull), the price of A$0.1200 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
DataWorks Group reported revenue of A$8.9M in FY2026 versus A$1.3M in FY2022, a compound +63.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.3M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$15.8M (≈ $10.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.77 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Net margin −25.2% · Return on equity −470% · Return on assets (EBIT) −141% (5-year average) · Operating margin 13.5% · Revenue (TTM) A$8.9M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 21 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 167% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 183%, DWG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.1900Fair Value A$0.3400BullA$0.5300
Price A$0.1200 · Upside +183.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−78,146.3% (2021) → −27.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.6%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 345 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+183.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−53.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−25.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)13.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)59.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DataWorks Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DWG
Frequently asked questions
Is DataWorks Group (DWG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.3400 versus a price of A$0.1200, about +183% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DWG?
Our model-based fair value for DataWorks Group is A$0.3400 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1200.
What is the quality score of DWG?
DataWorks Group has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DataWorks Group (DWG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.3400 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1900, optimistic scenario A$0.5300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DataWorks Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.3400, about +183% upside versus a price of A$0.1200 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1900, optimistic scenario A$0.5300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
DataWorks Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$8.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What growth is priced into DataWorks Group (DWG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, DataWorks Group would have to grow free cash flow by -10.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +251.0 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DWG use?
Our models discount DataWorks Group at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.40, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For DataWorks Group that is -10.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has DataWorks Group (DWG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at DataWorks Group grew +251.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -10.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of DataWorks Group (DWG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +16.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into DataWorks Group (-10.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.59 %: that much free cash flow DataWorks Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DataWorks Group it is A$0.3400 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of A$0.1200. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).
Is DataWorks Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, DWG trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.1200, fair value A$0.3400, a gap of about +183% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DWG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.3400). For DataWorks Group the two are A$0.2200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DataWorks Group worth?
The market values DataWorks Group at about A$15.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1200; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.3400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DWG?
Our models span a range for DataWorks Group: cautious scenario A$0.1900, base A$0.3400, optimistic A$0.5300 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price A$0.1200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
Balance-sheet figures for DataWorks Group (as of Nov 9, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DWG from its 52-week high?
DataWorks Group trades at A$0.1200, about 41% below its 52-week high of A$0.2050 and 167% above the low of A$0.0450 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.3400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to DataWorks Group?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DataWorks Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price A$0.1200, calculated fair value A$0.3400 (+183%), Quality Score 71/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DWG calculated?
We run DataWorks Group through 6 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.3400 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. DataWorks Group currently trades 65% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$0.1200. Our model-based fair value is A$0.3400, about +183% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DataWorks Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.1900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (A$0.1900 to A$0.5300). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (71/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of DataWorks Group
How large is the market capitalisation of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
The market capitalisation of DataWorks Group is A$15.8M (≈ $10.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DataWorks Group is 1.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
Earnings per share at DataWorks Group are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
The net margin of DataWorks Group is −25.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DataWorks Group is −470% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DataWorks Group is −141% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DataWorks Group (DWG)?
The operating margin of DataWorks Group is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DataWorks Group (DWG)?
Revenue at DataWorks Group is growing +59.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does DataWorks Group (DWG) carry?
The net debt of DataWorks Group is A$104K (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 9, 2026