Dexus Industria REIT (DXI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Dexus Industria REIT A$1.52, price A$2.35, upside -35.3%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.86 – A$2.81 · fair‑value band A$1.03 – A$2.20 · the A$2.35 price screens above the A$1.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Dexus Industria REIT is a listed Australian real estate investment trust which is primarily invested in high-quality industrial warehouses.
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Dexus Industria REIT is a listed Australian real estate investment trust which is primarily invested in high-quality industrial warehouses. At 31 December 2025, the fund's investment property portfolio is valued at 1.4 billion dollar and is located across the major Australian cities, providing sustainable income and capital growth prospects for security holders over the long term. The fund has a target gearing range of 30"40%. Dexus Industria REIT is governed by a majority Independent Board and managed by Dexus, a leading Australasian fully integrated real asset group, with more than four decades of expertise in real estate and infrastructure investment, funds management, asset management and development. Dexus Industria REIT was established on September 25, 2013 and incorporated in Australia.
Stock analysis
Dexus Industria REIT (DXI) currently trades at A$2.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.52, implying the stock looks roughly 54.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of A$2.69 per share, and 3 of the 14 models we run sit above the A$2.35 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at A$0.5000, and 11 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$1.03 (bear) to A$2.20 (bull), the price of A$2.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Dexus Industria REIT reported revenue of A$66.0M in FY2026 versus A$80.0M in FY2022, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$74.4M in FY2026, compounding −16.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$743M (≈ $523M) · P/E ratio 18.1 · P/S ratio 20.4 · EPS (TTM) A$0.1300 · Dividend yield 7.0% · Net margin 113% · Return on equity 6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −35%, DXI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$1.03Fair Value A$1.52Bull A$2.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7% vs 9%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.192% → 75%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+43.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.9% a year for the price and +39.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Industrial · 55 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−35% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)36% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)79% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−23% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.29× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)18.1× · Pricier than median
P/B0.48× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.54× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF16.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA9.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)28· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)86· sector 77
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dexus Industria REIT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DXI
Frequently asked questions
Is Dexus Industria REIT (DXI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.52 versus a price of A$2.35, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DXI?
Our model-based fair value for Dexus Industria REIT is A$1.52 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$2.35.
What is the quality score of DXI?
Dexus Industria REIT has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.52 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.03, optimistic scenario A$2.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dexus Industria REIT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.52, about −35% upside versus a price of A$2.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$1.03, optimistic scenario A$2.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
Dexus Industria REIT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$130M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Dexus Industria REIT pay a dividend?
Dexus Industria REIT currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dexus Industria REIT would have to grow free cash flow by +24.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DXI use?
Our models discount Dexus Industria REIT at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.01, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dexus Industria REIT that is +24.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dexus Industria REIT (DXI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dexus Industria REIT grew -0.4 % a year. The price currently implies +24.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dexus Industria REIT (+24.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.25 %: that much free cash flow Dexus Industria REIT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dexus Industria REIT it is A$1.52 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$2.35. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dexus Industria REIT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DXI trades above its calculated fair value: price A$2.35, fair value A$1.52, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DXI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$2.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.52). For Dexus Industria REIT the two are A$0.8300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dexus Industria REIT worth?
The market values Dexus Industria REIT at about A$743M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$2.35; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DXI?
Our models span a range for Dexus Industria REIT: cautious scenario A$1.03, base A$1.52, optimistic A$2.20 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$2.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DXI?
Dexus Industria REIT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$1.52 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 4.5, EV/EBITDA 9.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dexus Industria REIT (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.9%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DXI from its 52-week high?
Dexus Industria REIT trades at A$2.35, about 15% below its 52-week high of A$2.77 and 6% above the low of A$2.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dexus Industria REIT?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500,, Prologis, Inc, Extra Space Storage Inc, EastGroup Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dexus Industria REIT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$2.35, calculated fair value A$1.52 (−35%), Quality Score 60/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DXI calculated?
We run Dexus Industria REIT through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$1.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Dexus Industria REIT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$2.35. Our model-based fair value is A$1.52, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dexus Industria REIT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$2.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (A$1.03 to A$2.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI) come from?
Earnings per share at Dexus Industria REIT grew +2.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.7 %, EBIT margin −6.7 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Dexus Industria REIT
How large is the market capitalisation of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
The market capitalisation of Dexus Industria REIT is A$743M (≈ $523M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dexus Industria REIT is 20.4 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
Earnings per share at Dexus Industria REIT are A$0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
The dividend yield of Dexus Industria REIT is 7.0% (payout 127%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
The net margin of Dexus Industria REIT is 113% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dexus Industria REIT is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dexus Industria REIT is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
The operating margin of Dexus Industria REIT is 79.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
Revenue at Dexus Industria REIT is growing −22.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dexus Industria REIT (DXI)?
Earnings per share at Dexus Industria REIT are growing −10.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dexus Industria REIT (DXI) carry?
The net debt of Dexus Industria REIT is A$373M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 11.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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