Dexus Industria REIT (DXI) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$756M
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from A$1.84 to A$1.86 (+1.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (A$1.17 to A$2.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.86 – A$2.81 · fair‑value band A$1.17 – A$2.60 · the A$2.44 price screens above the A$1.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Dexus Industria REIT (DXI) currently trades at A$2.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.86, implying the stock looks roughly 23.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dexus Industria REIT generated revenue of A$130M at a net margin of 33.4%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at A$351M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$1.17 (bear case) to A$2.60 (bull case); at A$2.44, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -24%, DXI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (A$2.51) versus Growth DCF (A$1.12). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dexus Industria REIT is a listed Australian real estate investment trust which is primarily invested in high-quality industrial warehouses.
Full company description
Dexus Industria REIT is a listed Australian real estate investment trust which is primarily invested in high-quality industrial warehouses. At 31 December 2025, the fund's investment property portfolio is valued at 1.4 billion dollar and is located across the major Australian cities, providing sustainable income and capital growth prospects for security holders over the long term. The fund has a target gearing range of 30"40%. Dexus Industria REIT is governed by a majority Independent Board and managed by Dexus, a leading Australasian fully integrated real asset group, with more than four decades of expertise in real estate and infrastructure investment, funds management, asset management and development. Dexus Industria REIT was established on September 25, 2013 and incorporated in Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dexus Industria REIT reported revenue of A$75.2M in FY2025 versus A$67.4M in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$53.1M in FY2025, compounding −15.9%/yr from FY2021.
DXI screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →
Peer Group
REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prologis, Inc PLD | $143.42 | $61.28 | -57% |
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $322.48 | $172.80 | -46% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $147.71 | $78.38 | -47% |
| EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP | $213.10 | $81.41 | -62% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $41.42 | $47.91 | +16% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.51 SGD | 2.00 SGD | -20% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $42.09 | $25.06 | -40% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $66.99 | $21.48 | -68% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $39.00 | $21.35 | -45% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $41.11 | $24.31 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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