Dynasty Fine Wines Group (DYFWF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $54.2M

Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0352). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The models converge in a tight band ($0.0314 to $0.0352), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
• Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

25‑month range $0.0350 – $0.2273 · fair‑value band $0.0314 – $0.0352 · the $0.0385 price screens above the $0.0314 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Dynasty Fine Wines Group (DYFWF) currently trades at $0.0385, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0314, implying the stock looks roughly 18.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dynasty Fine Wines Group generated revenue of $170M at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue declined 65.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0314 (bear case) to $0.0352 (bull case); at $0.0385, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -18%, DYFWF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.1700) versus Earnings-Based ($0.0800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells grape wine products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through the Red Wines, White Wines, and Others segments.

Full company description

Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells grape wine products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through the Red Wines, White Wines, and Others segments. It offers wine products in various categories, including red wines, white wines, sparkling wines, ice wine, brandy, and baijiu under the Dynasty brand name. The company also manufactures and sells unprocessed wine; and sells chateau wine and other foreign branded wines. It sells wine products through a network of distributors, as well as online. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dynasty Fine Wines Group reported revenue of $170M in FY2025 versus $306M in FY2021, a compound −13.7%/yr. Reported net income was $13.7M in FY2025, compounding −19.6%/yr from FY2021.

DYFWF screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

Peer Group

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.