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Data-driven stock valuation

Airbus Group NV (EADSY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Airbus Group NV is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · US · Market cap $173B · ISIN US0092791005

At a glance

AG Airbus Group NV logo Airbus Group NV EADSY · US
Price$57.87
Fair Value$31.40
Upside−45.7%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 84% above our fair value of $31.40.

As of Aug 18, 2026, the fair value of Airbus Group NV is $31.40 per share against a price of $57.87, so the fair value sits 46% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.76% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range $22.57 to $39.24

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 18, 2026, revised from $31.24 to $31.40 (+0.5%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −6.7% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($39.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$62.94 $19.99 Fair Value $31.40 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.99 – $62.94 · fair‑value band $22.57 – $39.24 · the $57.87 price screens above the $31.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Airbus Group NV (EADSY) currently trades at $57.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.40, implying the stock looks roughly 84.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $27.07 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $57.87 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.55, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Airbus Group NV generated revenue of $72.5B at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue declined 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.8%. Net debt stands at $2.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Scenario range: $22.57 (bear) to $39.24 (bull), the price of $57.87 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −46%, EADSY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $16.58 $22.86 $31.79 81
Growth DCF $17.00 $22.86 $30.84 79
Owner Earnings $16.49 $22.73 $31.60 77
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $16.58 $22.86 $31.79 81
Owner Earnings $16.49 $22.73 $31.60 77
5Y Revenue Exit $16.13 $23.28 $32.06 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $21.32 $32.48 $44.95 75
5Y P/E Exit $21.43 $32.67 $43.87 71
10Y Revenue Exit $15.75 $22.16 $30.04 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $19.41 $28.37 $39.42 68
10Y P/E Exit $19.47 $28.50 $38.63 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.83 $25.01 $32.11 65
PEG = 1.0 $4.21 $6.02 $7.83 57
EPV $13.43 $15.29 $16.92 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.64 $11.17 $16.55 67
DDM Multi-Stage $6.64 $9.78 $13.27 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $25.08 $33.44 $41.81 63
P/S Multiple $20.31 $27.07 $33.84 58
P/B Multiple $20.31 $27.07 $33.84 55
EV/EBIT $22.62 $29.41 $36.20 66
EV/EBITDA $27.15 $35.45 $43.74 67
EV/Revenue $16.79 $23.02 $29.25 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.14 $5.55 $8.29 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $17.00 $22.86 $30.84 79
Rev-Margin DCF $16.13 $23.44 $31.24 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.25 $13.11 $41.15 65
ROIC Compounder $13.89 $16.52 $19.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $18.89 $26.99 $35.08 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($27.07) versus Asset-Based ($5.55). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 31.5
P/S ratio 2.24 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.84 price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.5
Dividend yield 1.8% payout 55.4%
Net margin 7.1% FY2025
Return on equity 19.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $72.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −6.6% 3y avg +6.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −26.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $4.2B FY2025
Net debt $2.2B FY2025 · ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Airbus SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and delivery of aeronautics and aerospace products, services, and solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Airbus, Airbus Helicopters, and Airbus Defence and Space.

Full company description

Airbus SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and delivery of aeronautics and aerospace products, services, and solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Airbus, Airbus Helicopters, and Airbus Defence and Space. The Airbus segment develops, manufactures, markets, and sells commercial jet passenger aircraft, freighter aircraft, regional turboprop aircraft, and aircraft components, as well as provides aircraft conversion and related services. The Airbus Helicopters segment develops, manufactures, markets, and sells civil and military helicopters; and provides uncrewed aerial systems and their related services. The Airbus Defence and Space segment designs, develops, delivers, and supports crewed and uncrewed military air systems and related services. This segment also offers civil and defence space systems for telecommunications, earth observations, navigation, and science and orbital systems; and services around data processing from platforms, secure communication, and cyber security. The company was formerly known as Airbus Group SE and changed its name to Airbus SE in April 2017. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Leiden, the Netherlands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Airbus Group NV reported revenue of €70.5B in FY2025 versus €52.1B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was €5.0B in FY2025, compounding +4.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$70.5B
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+3.4%
Dividend yield1.8%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 3.4% vs 10Y 7.8%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1.6% (2020) → 7.1% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop148% (2009) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
Revenue +7.8%/yr
FY21 €52.1B
FY22 €58.8B
FY23 €65.4B
FY24 €69.2B
FY25 €70.5B
Net income +4.5%/yr
FY21 €4.2B
FY22 €4.2B
FY23 €3.8B
FY24 €4.2B
FY25 €5.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +5.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.9 %

of which total revenue +0.9 % · buybacks/dilution −0.1 %

EBIT margin +1.3 %
Tax rate +0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

EADSY screens 84% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Airbus Group NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EADSY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −46% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.27× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 6.64× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.39× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 40.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 21.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.66× · Pricier than median

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Airbus Group NV deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+15.8 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+7.2 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price2.32 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.0 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 49
PAST79 · sector 38
HEALTH87 · sector 93
DIVIDEND35 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $335.71 $116.71 −65%
RTX Corporation RTX $200.79 $88.37 −56%
Airbus SE AIR €213.00 €117.01 −45%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $525.28 $419.01 −20%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $264.85 $50.43 −81%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $359.39 $274.32 −24%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $545.57 $356.59 −35%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,235 $571.03 −54%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $262.82 $146.55 −44%
Thales S.A HO €243.70 €171.13 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Airbus Group NV (EADSY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.40 versus a price of $57.87, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EADSY?
Our model-based fair value for Airbus Group NV is $31.40 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $57.87.
What is the quality score of EADSY?
Airbus Group NV has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Airbus Group NV (EADSY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $31.40 (as of Aug 18, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $22.57, optimistic scenario $39.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Airbus Group NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $31.40, about −46% upside versus a price of $57.87 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $22.57, optimistic scenario $39.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Airbus Group NV (EADSY)?
Airbus Group NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $72.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EADSY?
The net profit margin of Airbus Group NV is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Airbus Group NV pay a dividend?
Airbus Group NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.76% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Airbus Group NV (EADSY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Airbus Group NV would have to grow free cash flow by +15.8 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.0 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.2 % per year. As of Aug 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EADSY use?
Our models discount Airbus Group NV at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.88, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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