Echo Defense Projects Inc (ECDP) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $13.2M
Echo Defense Projects Inc
ECDP · US
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $0.0557 to $0.0259 (−53.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −38.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 41% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0234). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0150 – $3.19 · fair‑value band $0.0234 – $0.0283 · the $0.0184 price screens below the $0.0259 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
Echo Defense Projects Inc (ECDP) currently trades at $0.0184, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0259, implying the stock looks roughly 40.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Net debt stands at $1.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0234 (bear case) to $0.0283 (bull case); at $0.0184, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 41%, ECDP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.1500) versus Multiples ($0.0800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (61).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Echo Defense Projects Inc. focuses on acquiring and developing companies in the national defense, security, and border control.
Full company description
Echo Defense Projects Inc. focuses on acquiring and developing companies in the national defense, security, and border control. The company is also involved in the development, manufacture, and distribution of LED lighting systems and related products for use in offices, supermarkets, schools, factories, municipal streets, healthcare organizations, retail stores, and gas stations. Its LED lighting products include indoor T-bar flat LED light products, high-bay lighting systems, road/highway LED light products, and area security LED light products. The company markets its LED products through a network of distributors and in-house sales representatives in North America. The company was formerly known as Eco Depot Inc. Echo Defense Projects Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Pensacola, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Echo Defense Projects Inc reported revenue of $23.7M in FY2025 versus $141K in FY2020, a compound +178.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 137 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 129.20 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 68.75 THB | 71.37 THB | +4% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,733 | ₹645.21 | -63% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹2,076 | ₹701.74 | -66% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 16.39 SAR | 11.62 SAR | -29% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 50.42 | kr 70.70 | +40% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.89 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥19.95 | ¥4.60 | -77% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,940 CLP | 2,777 CLP | -30% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 53.94 MXN | -9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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