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Ecosuntek S.p.A (ECK) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · IT · Market cap €51.7M

ES Ecosuntek S.p.A ECK · MI
Price€3.14
Fair Value€1.93
Upside-38.5%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.1% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Medium Range €1.24 – €3.70 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −4.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (€1.24 to €3.70). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€3.50 €0.7200 Fair Value €1.93 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.7200 – €3.50 · fair‑value band €1.24 – €3.70 · the €3.14 price screens above the €1.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Ecosuntek S.p.A (ECK) currently trades at €3.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.93, implying the stock looks roughly 38.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ecosuntek S.p.A generated revenue of €1.0B at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue grew 93.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.7%. Net debt stands at €20.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.24 (bear case) to €3.70 (bull case); at €3.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -39%, ECK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder €6.27 €7.86 €9.54 72
Growth-Adj P/E €2.81 €4.01 €5.21 68
P/E Multiple €1.24 €1.65 €2.06 63
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €2.25 €4.34 €7.99 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.6200 €4.35 €6.10 54
Lynch FV €2.25 €3.21 €4.17 50
PEG = 1.0 €2.25 €3.21 €4.17 46
EPV €5.60 €6.26 €6.80 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €1.24 €1.65 €2.06 63
P/S Multiple €1.17 €1.56 €1.95 58
P/B Multiple €1.16 €1.54 €1.93 55
EV/EBIT €9.74 €12.95 €16.17 53
EV/EBITDA €7.70 €10.25 €12.79 54
EV/Revenue €7.89 €11.24 €14.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.4300 €0.5700 €0.8600 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €0.6900 €0.7400 €0.8500 61
ROIC Compounder €6.27 €7.86 €9.54 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €2.81 €4.01 €5.21 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€4.34) versus Asset-Based (€0.5700). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +93.6%
Net margin 0.1%
Return on equity 21.7%
Free cash flow −€1.5M FY2024
P/E ratio 23.2
More key figures
Operating margin 1.1%
EPS (TTM) €0.1300
EPS growth (YoY) -21.4%
Net debt €20.5M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ecosuntek S.p.A. engages in the photovoltaic electricity generation activities in Italy and internationally. The company provides consulting and planning, supply and construction, and management services; energy withdrawal; revamping and repowering; and compliance assistance, remote control and reporting, predictive maintenance, ordinary maintenance, …

Full company description

Ecosuntek S.p.A. engages in the photovoltaic electricity generation activities in Italy and internationally. The company provides consulting and planning, supply and construction, and management services; energy withdrawal; revamping and repowering; and compliance assistance, remote control and reporting, predictive maintenance, ordinary maintenance, extraordinary maintenance, and technical due diligence services. It also offers photovoltaic, electric car charging, and energy efficiency systems. It serves industrial, craft, commercial, agricultural, residential, and manufacturing sectors. Ecosuntek S.p.A. was founded in 2008 and is based in Gualdo Tadino, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Ecosuntek S.p.A reported revenue of €743M in FY2024 versus €92.4M in FY2020, a compound +68.4%/yr. Reported net income was €1.6M in FY2024, compounding +49.0%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
€743M
Latest YoY
+50.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+57.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+53.9%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.3%
Revenue +68.4%/yr
FY20 €92.4M
FY21 €190M
FY22 €898M
FY23 €494M
FY24 €743M
Net income +49.0%/yr
FY20 €319K
FY21 €1.4M
FY22 €5.1M
FY23 €2.0M
FY24 €1.6M

ECK screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ecosuntek S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ECK

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside −39% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 94% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 3.69× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 87 · sector 33
HEALTH 0 · sector 49
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €21.25 €9.34 -56%
Enel SpA ENEL €10.28 €5.83 -43%
Engie SA 1ENGI €26.59 €17.39 -35%
Sempra SRE $93.15 $47.77 -49%
E.ON SE EOAN €19.34 €11.71 -39%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE €56.52 €29.64 -48%
ACWA Power Company 2082 198.20 SAR 25.38 SAR -87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$55.05 C$17.66 -68%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €69.00 €21.11 -69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.41 €3.81 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ecosuntek S.p.A (ECK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.93 versus a price of €3.14, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ECK?
Our model-based fair value for Ecosuntek S.p.A is €1.93 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €3.14.
What is the quality score of ECK?
Ecosuntek S.p.A has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ecosuntek S.p.A (ECK)?
Ecosuntek S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ECK?
The net profit margin of Ecosuntek S.p.A is about 0.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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