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EuroDry Ltd (EDRY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $66.8M

EL EuroDry Ltd logo EuroDry Ltd EDRY · US
Price$34.72
Fair Value$24.23
Upside-30.2%
Quality46/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Medium Range $11.22 – $37.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +57.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($11.22 to $37.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$42.75 $7.98 Fair Value $24.23 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.98 – $42.75 · fair‑value band $11.22 – $37.24 · the $34.72 price screens above the $24.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

EuroDry Ltd (EDRY) currently trades at $34.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.23, implying the stock looks roughly 30.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, EuroDry Ltd generated revenue of $55.8M at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 38.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.6%. Net debt stands at $80.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.22 (bear case) to $37.24 (bull case); at $34.72, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 288% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -30%, EDRY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.6100 to $31.41). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $4.59 $19.19 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.32 $23.43 74
EV/EBITDA $15.37 $28.38 $41.39 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.20 $26.36 38
5Y Revenue Exit $6.67 $24.64 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.17 $31.41 $65.49 41
10Y Revenue Exit $4.81 $23.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.3700 $20.65 $53.35 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $15.37 $28.38 $41.39 54
EV/Revenue $0.6100 $7.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.13 $21.62 $32.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.59 $19.19 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.32 $23.43 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($21.62) versus Multiples ($0.6100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $55.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) +38.9%
Net margin -0.6%
Return on equity 0.6%
Free cash flow $5.4M FY2025
Operating margin 16.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1100
EPS growth (YoY) -94.3%
Net debt $80.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

EuroDry Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates drybulk carriers that transport major bulks, such as iron ore, coal, and grains; and minor bulks, including bauxite, phosphate, and fertilizers.

Full company description

EuroDry Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates drybulk carriers that transport major bulks, such as iron ore, coal, and grains; and minor bulks, including bauxite, phosphate, and fertilizers. As of March 31, 2026, it operated through a fleet of 11 drybulk carriers comprising three Panamax drybulk carriers, two Kamsarmax drybulk carriers, five Ultramax drybulk carriers, and one Supramax drybulk carrier with a total cargo carrying capacity of 766,420 deadweight tons. EuroDry Ltd. was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Marousi, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EuroDry Ltd reported revenue of $52.3M in FY2025 versus $64.4M in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$52.3M
Latest YoY
−14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.4%
Revenue −5.1%/yr
FY21 $64.4M
FY22 $70.2M
FY23 $47.6M
FY24 $61.1M
FY25 $52.3M
Net income
FY21 $31.2M
FY22 $33.5M
FY23 −$2.9M
FY24 −$9.7M
FY25 −$4.3M

EDRY screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EuroDry Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EDRY

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Revenue growth 39% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.97× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.72× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.20× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 2 · sector 27
HEALTH 51 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EuroDry Ltd (EDRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.23 versus a price of $34.72, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EDRY?
Our model-based fair value for EuroDry Ltd is $24.23 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $34.72.
What is the quality score of EDRY?
EuroDry Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EuroDry Ltd (EDRY)?
EuroDry Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $55.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EDRY?
The net profit margin of EuroDry Ltd is about -0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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