Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Educational Development Corporation $3.07, price $1.30, upside +136.2%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.8100 – $13.11 · fair‑value band $2.30 – $3.84 · the $1.30 price screens below the $3.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Educational Development Corporation distributes children's books, educational toys and games, and related products in the United States. It operates through two segments, PaperPie and Publishing.
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Educational Development Corporation distributes children's books, educational toys and games, and related products in the United States. It operates through two segments, PaperPie and Publishing. The company sells various books, including touchy-feely board books, activity books and flashcards, adventure and search books, art books, sticker books, and foreign language books; learning manipulatives and toys; internet-linked books; science and math titles; and chapter books and novels. It offers its products under the Kane Miller, SmartLab Toys, and Learning Wrap-Ups brands. The company markets its products through independent sales representatives who host home parties, collaborate on social media platforms on the internet, host book fairs with schools and public libraries, and participate in other events, as well as through commissioned sales representatives, an in-house sales group, and an internal tele-sales group. It serves individual purchasers, schools, public libraries, national book chains, regional and local bookstores, toy and gift stores, school supply stores, museums, and trade and specialty wholesalers. Educational Development Corporation was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
Stock analysis
Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) currently trades at $1.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.07, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $6.65 per share, and 10 of the 12 models we run sit above the $1.30 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $1.02, and 2 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.30 (bear) to $3.84 (bull), the price of $1.30 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Educational Development Corporation reported revenue of $21.8M in FY2026 versus $142M in FY2022, a compound −37.4%/yr. Reported net income was $3.3M in FY2026, compounding −20.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $11.1M · P/E ratio 5.4 · P/S ratio 0.83 · EPS (TTM) $0.2400 · Net margin 15.3% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% · Operating margin −26.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 136%, EDUC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.30Fair Value $3.07Bull $3.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1374 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−36.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.2% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−13.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17% vs 4%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → −4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.0% a year for the price.
Compare Educational Development Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside+136% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets−7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−27% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−33% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.62× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Educational Development Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EDUC
Frequently asked questions
Is Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.07 versus a price of $1.30, about +136% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EDUC?
Our model-based fair value for Educational Development Corporation is $3.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.30.
What is the quality score of EDUC?
Educational Development Corporation has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.30, optimistic scenario $3.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Educational Development Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.07, about +136% upside versus a price of $1.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.30, optimistic scenario $3.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
Educational Development Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $20.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Educational Development Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +26.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -36.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EDUC use?
Our models discount Educational Development Corporation at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.06, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Educational Development Corporation that is +26.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Educational Development Corporation grew -36.1 % a year. The price currently implies +26.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Educational Development Corporation (+26.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.22 %: that much free cash flow Educational Development Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Educational Development Corporation it is $3.07 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.30. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Educational Development Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, EDUC trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.30, fair value $3.07, a gap of about +136% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EDUC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.07). For Educational Development Corporation the two are $1.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Educational Development Corporation worth?
The market values Educational Development Corporation at about $11.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.30; our models calculate a fair value of $3.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EDUC?
Our models span a range for Educational Development Corporation: cautious scenario $2.30, base $3.07, optimistic $3.84 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EDUC?
Educational Development Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.07 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2026 it is 2.7 (reported for FY2026: 3.3). Other multiples: PEG 2.0, P/B 0.3, P/S 0.5.
What is the PEG ratio of EDUC?
The PEG ratio of Educational Development Corporation is 2.01 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Educational Development Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.0%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EDUC from its 52-week high?
Educational Development Corporation trades at $1.30, about 21% below its 52-week high of $1.65 and 5% above the low of $1.24 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Educational Development Corporation?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd, People.cn CO., LTD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Educational Development Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.30, calculated fair value $3.07 (+136%), Quality Score 54/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EDUC calculated?
We run Educational Development Corporation through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Educational Development Corporation currently trades 136 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.30. Our model-based fair value is $3.07, about +136% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Educational Development Corporation right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Educational Development Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
The market capitalisation of Educational Development Corporation is $11.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Educational Development Corporation is 0.83 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
Earnings per share at Educational Development Corporation are $0.2400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
The net margin of Educational Development Corporation is 15.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Educational Development Corporation is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Educational Development Corporation is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
The operating margin of Educational Development Corporation is −26.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?
Revenue at Educational Development Corporation is growing −33.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −37.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) carry?
The net debt of Educational Development Corporation is $5.4M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026