Turism, Hoteluri, Restaurante Marea Neagra S.A (EFO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · RO · Market cap 148M RON
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 18 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 0.7900 RON to 0.1600 RON (−79.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.6% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2200 RON). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1095 RON – 0.8000 RON · fair‑value band 0.1400 RON – 0.2200 RON · the 0.7600 RON price screens above the 0.1600 RON fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Turism, Hoteluri, Restaurante Marea Neagra S.A (EFO) currently trades at 0.7600 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1600 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 79.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Turism, Hoteluri, Restaurante Marea Neagra S.A generated revenue of 35.0M RON at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 210.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 9.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1400 RON (bear case) to 0.2200 RON (bull case); at 0.7600 RON, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -79%, EFO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 18 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1.16 RON) versus Multiples (0.0500 RON). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Turism, Hoteluri, Restaurante Marea Neagra S.A. engages in the provision of tourist accommodation, public catering, and entertainment services in Romania. It operates hotels, restaurants, bars, buffets, and spas. The company was formerly known as S.C. Eforie S.A. and changed its name to Turism, Hoteluri, Restaurante Marea Neagra S.A. in January 2005.
Full company description
Turism, Hoteluri, Restaurante Marea Neagra S.A. engages in the provision of tourist accommodation, public catering, and entertainment services in Romania. It operates hotels, restaurants, bars, buffets, and spas. The company was formerly known as S.C. Eforie S.A. and changed its name to Turism, Hoteluri, Restaurante Marea Neagra S.A. in January 2005. Turism, Hoteluri, Restaurante Marea Neagra S.A. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Constanta, Romania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Turism, Hoteluri, Restaurante Marea Neagra S.A reported revenue of 972K RON in FY2025 versus 40.1M RON in FY2021, a compound −60.5%/yr. Reported net income was 14.4M RON in FY2025, compounding −27.0%/yr from FY2021.
EFO screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Las Vegas Sands Corp →
Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $44.79 | $52.27 | +17% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.20 | HK$41.44 | +21% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$13.08 | HK$2.05 | -84% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $46.13 | $13.70 | -70% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $97.05 | $69.39 | -29% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $64.75 | $17.09 | -74% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $87.64 | $151.24 | +73% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.91 | $80.92 | +171% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6200 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +11% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $150.14 | $125.02 | -17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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