Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding stock PLN 10.07, price PLN 5.30, upside +89.9%, quality 68 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.16 PLN – 11.28 PLN · fair‑value band 8.27 PLN – 11.83 PLN · the 5.30 PLN price screens below the 10.07 PLN fair value. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding S.A. distributes and sells liquid fuels in Poland. The company deals with distribution of fuels and tanks; and distributing photovoltaic carport roofs. It is also involved in the construction and sale of single-family houses.
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Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding S.A. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Piekary Slaskie, Poland.
Stock analysis
Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH) currently trades at 5.30 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.07 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 47% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 14.88 PLN per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the 5.30 PLN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2.31 PLN, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 8.27 PLN (bear) to 11.83 PLN (bull), the price of 5.30 PLN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding reported revenue of 231M PLN in FY2025 versus 324M PLN in FY2022, a compound −10.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.8M PLN in FY2025, compounding −11.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 13.3M PLN (≈ $3.4M) Micro · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 0.05 · EPS (TTM) 0.7000 PLN · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 90%, EGH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear8.27 PLNFair Value 10.07 PLNBull11.83 PLN
Price 5.30 PLN · Upside +89.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.5926 PLN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF13.64 PLN17.51 PLN24.54 PLN78
Growth DCF14.09 PLN17.83 PLN24.11 PLN76
Owner Earnings6.74 PLN8.00 PLN10.30 PLN75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF13.64 PLN17.51 PLN24.54 PLN78
Owner Earnings6.74 PLN8.00 PLN10.30 PLN75
5Y Revenue Exit11.43 PLN14.63 PLN19.28 PLN71
5Y EBITDA Exit10.26 PLN12.61 PLN15.73 PLN74
5Y P/E Exit11.39 PLN14.57 PLN18.39 PLN69
10Y Revenue Exit12.05 PLN14.50 PLN17.07 PLN65
10Y EBITDA Exit11.53 PLN13.26 PLN15.01 PLN67
10Y P/E Exit12.21 PLN14.46 PLN16.55 PLN62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd4.95 PLN6.05 PLN6.81 PLN65
EPV9.19 PLN10.13 PLN10.95 PLN71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM2.67 PLN2.91 PLN3.28 PLN67
DDM Multi-Stage2.67 PLN3.32 PLN4.21 PLN65
Multiples
P/E Multiple7.64 PLN10.19 PLN12.74 PLN63
P/S Multiple9.28 PLN12.37 PLN15.47 PLN58
P/B Multiple10.64 PLN14.19 PLN17.73 PLN55
EV/EBIT9.33 PLN11.30 PLN13.28 PLN66
EV/EBITDA8.86 PLN10.68 PLN12.50 PLN67
EV/Revenue10.59 PLN13.68 PLN16.76 PLN54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)1.53 PLN2.31 PLN2.89 PLN55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF14.09 PLN17.83 PLN24.11 PLN76
Rev-Margin DCF11.43 PLN14.88 PLN19.16 PLN71
Economic Profit
Residual Income6.82 PLN7.44 PLN8.53 PLN73
ROIC Compounder9.19 PLN10.35 PLN11.58 PLN69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E5.50 PLN7.86 PLN10.21 PLN65
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+21.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
2025 sits 54% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−27.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Poland: IMF forecast 3.1% a year to 2030, 4.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −29.3% a year for the price.
Compare Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 411 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+89.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.0% · Above median
Return on assets5.1% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)23.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
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Is Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.07 PLN versus a price of 5.30 PLN, about +90% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EGH?
Our model-based fair value for Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding is 10.07 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.30 PLN.
What is the quality score of EGH?
Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.07 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.27 PLN, optimistic scenario 11.83 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.07 PLN, about +90% upside versus a price of 5.30 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 8.27 PLN, optimistic scenario 11.83 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 249M PLN (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding pay a dividend?
Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding currently shows a dividend yield of 5.22% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding would have to grow free cash flow by -27.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -10.8 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EGH use?
Our models discount Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for Poland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding that is -27.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding grew -10.8 % a year. The price currently implies -27.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (-27.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.26 %: that much free cash flow Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding it is 10.07 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 5.30 PLN. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, EGH trades below its calculated fair value: price 5.30 PLN, fair value 10.07 PLN, a gap of about +90% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EGH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.30 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.07 PLN). For Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding the two are 4.77 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding worth?
The market values Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding at about 13.3M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 5.30 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 10.07 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EGH?
Our models span a range for Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding: cautious scenario 8.27 PLN, base 10.07 PLN, optimistic 11.83 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 5.30 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EGH?
Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 10.07 PLN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 9.0%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EGH from its 52-week high?
Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding trades at 5.30 PLN, about 28% below its 52-week high of 7.33 PLN and at the low of 5.30 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10.07 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 5.30 PLN, calculated fair value 10.07 PLN (+90%), Quality Score 68/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EGH calculated?
We run Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10.07 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding currently trades 47% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was 5.30 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 10.07 PLN, about +90% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (8.27 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding
How large is the market capitalisation of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
The market capitalisation of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding is 13.3M PLN (≈ $3.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding is 0.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
Earnings per share at Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding are 0.7000 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
The dividend yield of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding is 5.2% (payout 39.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
The net margin of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding is 0.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding is 4.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
The operating margin of Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
Revenue at Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding is growing +23.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding (EGH)?
Earnings per share at Ekopol Górnoslaski Holding are growing −88.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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