Exchange Income Corporation (EIF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CA · Market cap C$7.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −3.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$78.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (C$39.45 to C$78.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$29.90 – C$133.69 · fair‑value band C$39.45 – C$78.07 · the C$127.56 price screens above the C$62.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Exchange Income Corporation (EIF) currently trades at C$127.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$62.46, implying the stock looks roughly 51.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Exchange Income Corporation generated revenue of C$3.5B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 29.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. Net debt stands at C$2.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$39.45 (bear case) to C$78.07 (bull case); at C$127.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 132% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 40% fair-value upside, at -51%, EIF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$81.32) versus Asset-Based (C$20.90). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Exchange Income Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in aerospace and aviation, and manufacturing markets worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Aerospace & Aviation, and Manufacturing.
Full company description
Exchange Income Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in aerospace and aviation, and manufacturing markets worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Aerospace & Aviation, and Manufacturing. The Aerospace & Aviation segment offers fixed wing and rotary wing; and medevac, passenger, charter, freight services, and auxiliary services; and operates flight schools. This segment also provides mission systems design and integration, aircraft modifications, intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance operations, software development, logistics, and in-service support; and aftermarket aircraft, engine and parts sales, aircraft and engine leasing, and aircraft management services. The Manufacturing segment turnkey services, such as planning, consultation, delivery and installation, logistical support, and removal and washing solutions; design, manufacture, and installation of the exteriors of residential and mixed-use high rise buildings which integrate residential, retail, and office spaces; and wireless and wireline construction and maintenance services; manufacture services of precision parts and components and portable hydronic climate control equipment, as well as specialized heavy-duty pressure washing and steam systems, commercial water recycling systems, and custom tanks. Exchange Income Corporation is headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Exchange Income Corporation reported revenue of C$3.3B in FY2025 versus C$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$168M in FY2025, compounding +25.0%/yr from FY2021.
EIF screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Delta Air Lines, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Exchange Income Corp's Dividend Analysis
- Exchange Income Corporation Announces July 2026 Dividend
- Exchange Income Corporation to Host Second Quarter Results Conference Call on August 12, 2026
- Exchange Income Corporation Announces June 2026 Dividend
Peer Group
Airlines · 60 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL | $84.17 | $118.24 | +40% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | $120.97 | $175.62 | +45% |
| Ryanair Holdings RYA | €25.47 | €41.26 | +62% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $47.56 | $14.76 | -69% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹5,249 | ₹3,704 | -29% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited C6L | 7.60 SGD | 7.89 SGD | +4% |
| Air China Limited 601111 | ¥5.97 | ¥7.16 | +20% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $54.87 | $106.79 | +95% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG 1LHA | €8.57 | €15.42 | +80% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥4.99 | ¥1.28 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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