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easyJet plc (EJT1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of easyJet plc €16.91, price €7.99, upside +111.6%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026
easyJet plc
EJT1 · XETRACheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value €16.91 · Strongly undervalued (+111.6%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +27.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.7% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 35/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €3.13 – €9.56 · fair‑value band €11.13 – €21.98 · the €7.99 price screens below the €16.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
easyJet plc operates as a low-cost airline carrier in Europe. The company engages in the development of building projects; financing and insurance business; and tour operator activities, as well as provides holiday packages. It also offers heavy base maintenance and air transport services.
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easyJet plc operates as a low-cost airline carrier in Europe. The company engages in the development of building projects; financing and insurance business; and tour operator activities, as well as provides holiday packages. It also offers heavy base maintenance and air transport services. easyJet plc was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Luton, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
easyJet plc (EJT1) currently trades at €7.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €16.91, implying the stock looks roughly 52.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €21.81 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the €7.99 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €2.48, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €11.13 (bear) to €21.98 (bull), the price of €7.99 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
easyJet plc reported revenue of £10.1B in FY2025 versus £1.5B in FY2021, a compound +62.3%/yr. Reported net income was £494M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €6.1B · P/E ratio 12.7 · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) €0.6300 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at 112%, EJT1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €11.13
Fair Value €16.91
Bull €21.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.4980 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
€15.82
€28.78
€60.86
75
Growth DCF
€15.30
€30.89
€54.76
75
Residual Income
€5.30
€6.73
€10.28
75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
€15.82
€28.78
€60.86
75
Owner Earnings
€7.47
€15.65
€30.96
72
5Y Revenue Exit
€11.57
€21.59
€35.74
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
€15.69
€30.80
€50.90
73
5Y P/E Exit
€11.00
€20.31
€31.51
69
10Y Revenue Exit
€12.48
€22.78
€39.93
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
€15.60
€29.70
€53.38
65
10Y P/E Exit
€12.46
€21.81
€36.17
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
€5.29
€31.68
€44.15
63
Lynch FV
€9.03
€12.90
€16.77
61
PEG = 1.0
€9.03
€12.90
€16.77
57
EPV
€7.13
€8.34
€9.39
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
€1.44
€2.87
€4.35
67
DDM Multi-Stage
€1.44
€2.48
€3.03
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€9.91
€13.22
€16.52
63
P/S Multiple
€9.91
€13.22
€16.52
58
P/B Multiple
€9.91
€13.22
€16.52
55
EV/EBIT
€11.03
€14.90
€18.78
66
EV/EBITDA
€16.48
€22.17
€27.86
67
EV/Revenue
€9.48
€13.80
€18.11
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€2.75
€3.69
€5.50
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
€15.30
€30.89
€54.76
75
Rev-Margin DCF
€11.57
€21.24
€34.85
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€5.30
€6.73
€10.28
75
ROIC Compounder
€8.12
€11.82
€15.35
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
€11.97
€17.10
€22.23
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
47/100
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Profitability
43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
31
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.0% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.0% vs −5.4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−30% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in GBP, UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.7% a year for the price and +4.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+7.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+7.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.3%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL | $84.13 | $121.83 | +45% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | $111.51 | $149.61 | +34% |
| Ryanair Holdings RYA | €23.79 | €48.63 | +104% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $42.28 | $14.74 | −65% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹4,940 | ₹3,073 | −38% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited C6L | 6.65 SGD | 7.88 SGD | +18% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $52.45 | $106.79 | +104% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥4.86 | ¥2.78 | −43% |
| Cathay Pacific Airways Limited 0293 | HK$14.37 | HK$31.02 | +116% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG LHA | €7.60 | €9.90 | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is easyJet plc (EJT1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €16.91 versus a price of €7.99, about +112% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EJT1?
Our model-based fair value for easyJet plc is €16.91 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €7.99.
What is the quality score of EJT1?
easyJet plc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for easyJet plc (EJT1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €16.91 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €11.13, optimistic scenario €21.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the easyJet plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €16.91, about +112% upside versus a price of €7.99 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €11.13, optimistic scenario €21.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
easyJet plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £10.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does easyJet plc pay a dividend?
easyJet plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into easyJet plc (EJT1)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, easyJet plc would have to grow free cash flow by -10.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EJT1 use?
Our models discount easyJet plc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.70, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For easyJet plc that is -10.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has easyJet plc (EJT1) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at easyJet plc grew +27.4 % a year. The price currently implies -10.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of easyJet plc (EJT1) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into easyJet plc (-10.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.03 %: that much free cash flow easyJet plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For easyJet plc it is €16.91 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €7.99. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is easyJet plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, EJT1 trades below its calculated fair value: price €7.99, fair value €16.91, a gap of about +112% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EJT1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€7.99); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€16.91). For easyJet plc the two are €8.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is easyJet plc worth?
The market values easyJet plc at about €6.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €7.99; our models calculate a fair value of €16.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EJT1?
Our models span a range for easyJet plc: cautious scenario €11.13, base €16.91, optimistic €21.98 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €7.99). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is EJT1 from its 52-week high?
easyJet plc trades at €7.99, at its 52-week high of €7.99 and 101% above the low of €3.97 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €16.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to easyJet plc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Delta Air Lines, Inc, United Airlines Holdings, Ryanair Holdings, Southwest Airlines Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is easyJet plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €7.99, calculated fair value €16.91 (+112%), Quality Score 47/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EJT1 calculated?
We run easyJet plc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €16.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. easyJet plc currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €7.99. Our model-based fair value is €16.91, about +112% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with easyJet plc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€11.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€11.13 to €21.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of easyJet plc (EJT1) come from?
Earnings per share at easyJet plc grew −8.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.5 %, EBIT margin −7.5 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of easyJet plc
How large is the market capitalisation of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
The market capitalisation of easyJet plc is €6.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of easyJet plc is 12.7. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of easyJet plc is 0.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
Earnings per share at easyJet plc are €0.6300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
The dividend yield of easyJet plc is 1.7% (payout 21.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
The net margin of easyJet plc is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of easyJet plc is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of easyJet plc is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of easyJet plc (EJT1)?
The operating margin of easyJet plc is −13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at easyJet plc (EJT1)?
Revenue at easyJet plc is growing +11.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at easyJet plc (EJT1)?
Earnings per share at easyJet plc are growing +10.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does easyJet plc (EJT1) carry?
The net debt of easyJet plc is £1.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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