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Elmos Semiconductor SE (ELG) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · DE · Market cap €2.8B

ES Elmos Semiconductor SE ELG · XETRA
Price€146.00
Fair Value€99.47
Upside-31.9%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.95% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range €63.57 – €145.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −8.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€63.57 to €145.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€204.32 €30.81 Fair Value €99.47 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €30.81 – €204.32 · fair‑value band €63.57 – €145.04 · the €146.00 price screens above the €99.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Elmos Semiconductor SE (ELG) currently trades at €146.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €99.47, implying the stock looks roughly 31.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Elmos Semiconductor SE generated revenue of €608M at a net margin of 17.9%. Revenue grew 20.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €11.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €63.57 (bear case) to €145.04 (bull case); at €146.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 124% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -32%, ELG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €66.27 €98.48 €143.87 80
Residual Income €37.53 €50.25 €148.87 76
Rev-Margin DCF €61.01 €97.70 €141.29 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €65.77 €103.22 €160.00 38
Owner Earnings €78.62 €123.56 €191.72 31
5Y Revenue Exit €61.01 €97.80 €145.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €82.10 €138.25 €205.09 41
5Y P/E Exit €75.26 €125.14 €178.64 38
10Y Revenue Exit €60.34 €94.24 €141.02 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €75.39 €122.08 €186.70 37
10Y P/E Exit €71.09 €113.05 €166.50 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €39.91 €139.92 €188.16 54
Lynch FV €32.62 €46.60 €60.58 50
PEG = 1.0 €32.62 €46.60 €60.58 46
EPV €61.29 €70.72 €78.85 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €8.75 €17.44 €26.41 70
DDM Multi-Stage €8.75 €15.04 €18.41 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €88.04 €117.39 €146.73 63
P/S Multiple €63.42 €84.56 €105.70 58
P/B Multiple €74.83 €99.78 €124.72 55
EV/EBIT €109.50 €145.47 €181.45 53
EV/EBITDA €101.43 €134.72 €168.01 54
EV/Revenue €60.76 €86.13 €111.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €18.62 €24.95 €37.24 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €66.27 €98.48 €143.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF €61.01 €97.70 €141.29 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €37.53 €50.25 €148.87 76
ROIC Compounder €65.98 €83.45 €104.26 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €76.44 €109.20 €141.96 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€113.05) versus Dividend Discount (€15.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €608M
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.2%
Net margin 17.9%
Return on equity 17.5%
Free cash flow €99.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 25.4
More key figures
Operating margin 23.3%
EPS (TTM) €6.32
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +40.7%
Net cash €11.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 16
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Elmos Semiconductor SE develops, manufactures, and distributes microelectronic components and system parts, and technological devices in Germany, other European Union countries, the United States, Asia/Pacific, and internationally.

Full company description

Elmos Semiconductor SE develops, manufactures, and distributes microelectronic components and system parts, and technological devices in Germany, other European Union countries, the United States, Asia/Pacific, and internationally. The company provides motor control IC solutions, which includes stepper motor controller IC, brushless DC motor controller IC, and DC motor controller IC; sensor ICs, such as ultrasonic distance IC, sensor signal processor IC, integrated absolute pressure system IC, optical IR sensor IC, ToF imager, and passive infrared IC; and LED driver ICs, such as high voltage, liner LED, and LIN RGB controller ICs. It also offers DC/DC converter IC; low dropout (LDO) regulator; and interface ICs, which includes PSI5, LIN/CAN, and KNX transceiver. In addition, the company offers ASIC design, automotive safety IC, engine management IC, and relay driver ICs, as well as interface ICs, including PSI5 transceiver; LIN / CAN transceiver; and KNX transceiver. Further, it provides ambient light; electronic fuse controller; thermal management; and ultrasonic ranging solutions. The company serves automotive and non-automotive applications comprising smart home, industrial automation, robotics, and cybersecurity applications. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Leverkusen, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Elmos Semiconductor SE reported revenue of €583M in FY2025 versus €322M in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was €101M in FY2025, compounding +26.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€583M
Latest YoY
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.2%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+7.4%
Revenue +16.0%/yr
FY21 €322M
FY22 €447M
FY23 €575M
FY24 €581M
FY25 €583M
Net income +26.2%/yr
FY21 €39.8M
FY22 €71.4M
FY23 €99.1M
FY24 €129M
FY25 €101M

ELG screens 32% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elmos Semiconductor SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELG

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −32% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 4.99× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.26× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 32.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 9.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 60
PAST 70 · sector 24
HEALTH 93 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 19 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $398.37 $207.49 -48%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €367.75 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc 1MU €784.90 €185.67 -76%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €425.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Elmos Semiconductor SE (ELG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €99.47 versus a price of €146.00, about −32% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELG?
Our model-based fair value for Elmos Semiconductor SE is €99.47 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €146.00.
What is the quality score of ELG?
Elmos Semiconductor SE has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Elmos Semiconductor SE (ELG)?
Elmos Semiconductor SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €608M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELG?
The net profit margin of Elmos Semiconductor SE is about 17.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Elmos Semiconductor SE pay a dividend?
Elmos Semiconductor SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.83% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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