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Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A €2.64, price €2.04, upside +29.4%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · GR · ISIN GRS477003008

EH Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A

ELIN · AT

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value €2.64 · Undervalued (+29%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +22.5 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.2% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2022 0.3%
✓Low debt
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range €1.37 to €4.76
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€2.74 €1.41 Fair Value €2.64 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.41 – €2.74 · fair‑value band €1.37 – €4.76 · the €2.04 price screens below the €2.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A. engages in the supply of liquid and solid fuels, and lubricants for industrial plants worldwide.

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Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A. engages in the supply of liquid and solid fuels, and lubricants for industrial plants worldwide. The company offers gasoline; motor oil; differentiated fuels crystal next; heating oil; fuel oil; asphalt; lubricants comprising vehicle, industrial, and marine lubricants, as well as greases and various other special products; cutterstocks; feedstocks; electricity; natural gas; and solid fuels, such as anthracite, coal, petcoke, flexicoke, and metallurgical coke. It also operates petrol stations; and gas and boat refueling stations. In addition, the company engages in design, construction, and maintenance of private projects, shops, and industrial spaces; production and sale of biodiesels; supply of yachts; and provides technical and construction solutions. The company was formerly known as D. Diamantidis - Ch. Courouclis & Associates. Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Kifissia, Greece. Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A. is a subsidiary of ELINOIL SA.

Stock analysis

Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN) currently trades at €2.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.64, implying the stock looks roughly 22.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €15.79 per share, and 14 of the 17 models we run sit above the €2.04 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €0.8200, and 3 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €1.37 (bear) to €4.76 (bull), the price of €2.04 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A reported revenue of €3.8B in FY2022 versus €1.4B in FY2017, a compound +22.5%/yr. Reported net income was €12.0M in FY2022, compounding +23.3%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap €48.4M · P/E ratio 30.0 · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) €0.0680 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity −3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% · Operating margin −0.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at 29%, ELIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €1.37 Fair Value €2.64 Bull €4.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV €7.16 €8.03 €8.74 74
Owner Earnings €7.34 €14.55 €27.12 73
ROIC Compounder €8.85 €12.00 €15.95 71
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €7.34 €14.55 €27.12 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €3.45 €24.04 €33.74 63
Lynch FV €10.16 €14.52 €18.87 61
PEG = 1.0 €10.16 €14.52 €18.87 57
EPV €7.16 €8.03 €8.74 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.5100 €0.8600 €1.12 68
DDM Multi-Stage €0.5100 €0.8200 €0.9300 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €5.32 €7.10 €8.87 63
P/S Multiple €6.46 €8.62 €10.77 58
P/B Multiple €4.00 €5.33 €6.66 55
EV/EBIT €8.37 €11.21 €14.04 66
EV/EBITDA €6.16 €8.25 €10.35 67
EV/Revenue €10.19 €14.61 €19.03 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.48 €1.98 €2.96 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.80 €3.56 €8.83 69
ROIC Compounder €8.85 €12.00 €15.95 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €11.05 €15.79 €20.52 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+150.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.5%
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.8% (2017) → 0.7% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

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Compare Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 110 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +29% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −48% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.78× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)73 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,219 ₹865.31 −29%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $390.95 $139.12 −64%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $375.84 $127.32 −66%
Phillips 66 PSX $256.48 $87.35 −66%
Neste Oyj NESTE €35.82 €5.85 −84%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 87.20 TWD 20.61 TWD −76%
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹138.15 ₹417.35 +202%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $106.69 $52.19 −51%
SK Innovation Co 096770 149,200 KRW 50,008 KRW −66%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹315.75 ₹846.81 +168%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELIN

Frequently asked questions

Is Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.64 versus a price of €2.04, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ELIN?
Our model-based fair value for Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A is €2.64 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.04.
What is the quality score of ELIN?
Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.64 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.37, optimistic scenario €4.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.64, about +29% upside versus a price of €2.04 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.37, optimistic scenario €4.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A it is €2.64 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €2.04. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ELIN trades below its calculated fair value: price €2.04, fair value €2.64, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ELIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.64). For Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A the two are €0.6000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A worth?
The market values Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A at about €48.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €2.04; our models calculate a fair value of €2.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ELIN?
Our models span a range for Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A: cautious scenario €1.37, base €2.64, optimistic €4.76 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €2.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ELIN?
Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.64 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.0, EV/EBITDA 11.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −3.8%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ELIN from its 52-week high?
Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A trades at €2.04, about 21% below its 52-week high of €2.57 and 3% above the low of €1.99 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.64 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Valero Energy Corporation, Phillips 66, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €2.04, calculated fair value €2.64 (+29%), Quality Score 47/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ELIN calculated?
We run Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.64, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €2.04. Our model-based fair value is €2.64, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€1.37 to €4.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
The market capitalisation of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A is €48.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A is 0.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
Earnings per share at Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A are €0.0680 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
The net margin of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A is 0.3% (fiscal year 2022). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
The operating margin of Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
Revenue at Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A is growing −48.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A (ELIN)?
Earnings per share at Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A are growing −82.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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