Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company (ELIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · GR · Market cap €51.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from €8.25 to €3.19 (−61.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −2.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 54% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€2.38). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€2.38 to €4.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.41 – €2.74 · fair‑value band €2.38 – €4.54 · the €2.07 price screens below the €3.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company (ELIN) currently trades at €2.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.19, implying the stock looks roughly 54.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company generated revenue of €2.0B at a net margin of -0.2%. Revenue declined 48.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 31.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.38 (bear case) to €4.54 (bull case); at €2.07, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 54%, ELIN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€14.65) versus Dividend Discount (€0.8200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A. engages in the supply of liquid and solid fuels, and lubricants for industrial plants worldwide.
Full company description
Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A. engages in the supply of liquid and solid fuels, and lubricants for industrial plants worldwide. The company offers gasoline; motor oil; differentiated fuels crystal next; heating oil; fuel oil; asphalt; lubricants comprising vehicle, industrial, and marine lubricants, as well as greases and various other special products; cutterstocks; feedstocks; electricity; natural gas; and solid fuels, such as anthracite, coal, petcoke, flexicoke, and metallurgical coke. It also operates petrol stations; and gas and boat refueling stations. In addition, the company engages in design, construction, and maintenance of private projects, shops, and industrial spaces; production and sale of biodiesels; supply of yachts; and provides technical and construction solutions. The company was formerly known as D. Diamantidis - Ch. Courouclis & Associates. Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Kifissia, Greece. Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company S.A. is a subsidiary of ELINOIL SA.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2017 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years
Elinoil Hellenic Petroleum Company reported revenue of €3.8B in FY2022 versus €1.4B in FY2017, a compound +22.5%/yr. Reported net income was €12.0M in FY2022, compounding +23.3%/yr from FY2017.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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