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Embellence Group (EMBELL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 767M SEK

EG Embellence Group EMBELL · ST
Pricekr 31.90
Fair Valuekr 48.69
Upside+52.6%
Quality41/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 8.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.45% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: Medium Range kr 32.81 – kr 66.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from kr 50.73 to kr 48.69 (−4.0%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −8.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 53% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 32.81). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 32.81 to kr 66.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 43.65 kr 14.57 Fair Value kr 48.69 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 14.57 – kr 43.65 · fair‑value band kr 32.81 – kr 66.32 · the kr 31.90 price screens below the kr 48.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Embellence Group (EMBELL) currently trades at kr 31.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 48.69, implying the stock looks roughly 52.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Embellence Group generated revenue of 764M SEK at a net margin of 8.2%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. Net debt stands at 12.0M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 32.81 (bear case) to kr 66.32 (bull case); at kr 31.90, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 53%, EMBELL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 24.52 kr 31.36 kr 41.97 80
Residual Income kr 16.03 kr 15.62 kr 12.76 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 14.09 kr 18.12 kr 23.36 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 23.75 kr 30.97 kr 43.09 38
Owner Earnings kr 8.23 kr 10.74 kr 14.96 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 14.09 kr 17.49 kr 22.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 16.83 kr 22.23 kr 29.38 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 16.46 kr 21.59 kr 27.79 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 18.08 kr 20.83 kr 23.50 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 19.76 kr 23.50 kr 27.26 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 19.55 kr 23.15 kr 26.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 5.20 kr 6.36 kr 7.15 54
EPV kr 4.04 kr 4.59 kr 5.06 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 9.57 kr 10.32 kr 11.43 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 9.57 kr 11.39 kr 13.75 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 12.62 kr 16.82 kr 21.03 63
P/S Multiple kr 7.69 kr 10.25 kr 12.81 58
P/B Multiple kr 9.75 kr 13.00 kr 16.25 55
EV/EBIT kr 13.72 kr 18.31 kr 22.90 53
EV/EBITDA kr 13.34 kr 17.80 kr 22.26 54
EV/Revenue kr 7.13 kr 10.20 kr 13.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 11.52 kr 15.44 kr 23.05 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 24.52 kr 31.36 kr 41.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 14.09 kr 18.12 kr 23.36 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 16.03 kr 15.62 kr 12.76 76
ROIC Compounder kr 4.04 kr 4.59 kr 5.06 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 8.89 kr 12.71 kr 16.52 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 21.59) versus Earnings-Based (kr 4.59). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 764M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.5%
Net margin 8.2%
Return on equity 11.8%
Free cash flow 69.0M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 12.2
More key figures
Operating margin 11.9%
EPS (TTM) kr 2.68
Dividend yield 4.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -25.0%
Net debt 12.0M SEK FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Embellence Group AB (publ) provides interior decoration products worldwide. The company offers textiles and rugs under the Boråstapeter, Cole & Son, Wall&decò, Pappelina, Artscape, and Borås Tapetfabrik brands in the wallpaper segment. It serves wallpaper, designers, lifestyle brands, and construction companies.

Full company description

Embellence Group AB (publ) provides interior decoration products worldwide. The company offers textiles and rugs under the Boråstapeter, Cole & Son, Wall&decò, Pappelina, Artscape, and Borås Tapetfabrik brands in the wallpaper segment. It serves wallpaper, designers, lifestyle brands, and construction companies. The company was incorporated in 1905 and is headquartered in Borås, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Embellence Group reported revenue of kr 765M in FY2025 versus kr 647M in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was kr 69.0M in FY2025, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
201M SEK
Latest YoY
−49.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−35.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−20.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.2%
Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 kr 647M
FY22 kr 720M
FY23 kr 740M
FY24 kr 778M
FY25 kr 765M
Net income +3.9%/yr
FY21 kr 59.3M
FY22 kr 57.4M
FY23 kr 39.3M
FY24 kr 57.0M
FY25 kr 69.0M
Diluted EPS +182.4%/yr
FY23 kr 32.00
FY24 kr 23.54
FY25 kr 23.54
FY26 kr 721.00

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Embellence Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMBELL

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +53% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.41× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.01× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 47 · sector 19
HEALTH 96 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 89 · sector 55

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.71 ¥107.22 +30%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.25 ¥88.02 +130%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.46 ¥36.04 +68%
King Slide Works Co 2059 8,655 TWD 1,917 TWD -78%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥155.59 ¥38.95 -75%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $154.53 $89.07 -42%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.33 ¥48.03 +82%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥43.85 ¥44.84 +2%
COWAY Co 021240 96,700 KRW 112,530 KRW +16%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.13 ¥54.11 +8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Embellence Group (EMBELL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 48.69 versus a price of kr 31.90, about +53% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EMBELL?
Our model-based fair value for Embellence Group is kr 48.69 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 31.90.
What is the quality score of EMBELL?
Embellence Group has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Embellence Group (EMBELL)?
Embellence Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 764M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EMBELL?
The net profit margin of Embellence Group is about 8.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Embellence Group pay a dividend?
Embellence Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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