Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS TRY 18.10, price TRY 139, upside -87.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value 18.10 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−87%)
!Quality 48/100
!Mixed Growth(revenue 5y +20.0 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -1.0% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2021 9.1%
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers(3/13)
!Narrow moat23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic and metal packaging products in Turkey and internationally.
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Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic and metal packaging products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers plastic products, including bucket, heavy bucket, performance bucket, light bucket, and can products; and can, spout cap, monoblock, drum, putty can, diameter box, bucket, and bottom ring metal products. Its products are used in paint and chemical, mineral oil, construction chemicals, pool chemicals, confectionery, marmalade and chocolate, powder beverage, and cosmetics industries. Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1970 and is based in Dilovasi, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS) currently trades at 139.30 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.10 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 669.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 24.82 TRY per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 139.30 TRY price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 11.94 TRY, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 11.73 TRY (bear) to 26.22 TRY (bull), the price of 139.30 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 89.8M TRY in FY2021 versus 56.5M TRY in FY2017, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was 8.1M TRY in FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 998M TRY (≈ $20.5M) · P/E ratio 214.3 · P/S ratio 19.4 · EPS (TTM) 0.6500 TRY · Net margin 9.1% · Return on equity −2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.7% · Operating margin 2.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −87%, EMNIS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (1.69 TRY to 41.31 TRY). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 11.73 TRYFair Value 18.10 TRYBull 26.22 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+63.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.0%
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−21.0% (2016) → 8.5% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+54.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 271 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−88% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)214.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.32× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.04× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF2.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA1.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 5
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMNIS
Frequently asked questions
Is Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.10 TRY versus a price of 139.30 TRY, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EMNIS?
Our model-based fair value for Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 18.10 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 139.30 TRY.
What is the quality score of EMNIS?
Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.10 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.73 TRY, optimistic scenario 26.22 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.10 TRY, about −87% upside versus a price of 139.30 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 11.73 TRY, optimistic scenario 26.22 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS would have to grow free cash flow by +54.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.0 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EMNIS use?
Our models discount Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at 14.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS that is +54.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS grew +20.0 % a year. The price currently implies +54.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (+54.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.01 %: that much free cash flow Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS it is 18.10 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 139.30 TRY. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, EMNIS trades above its calculated fair value: price 139.30 TRY, fair value 18.10 TRY, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EMNIS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (139.30 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.10 TRY). For Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS the two are 121.20 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at about 998M TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 139.30 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 18.10 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EMNIS?
Our models span a range for Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 11.73 TRY, base 18.10 TRY, optimistic 26.22 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 139.30 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EMNIS?
Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 214.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 18.10 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.0, EV/EBITDA 1.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −2.2%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EMNIS from its 52-week high?
Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at 139.30 TRY, about 42% below its 52-week high of 238.40 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.10 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 139.30 TRY, calculated fair value 18.10 TRY (−87%), Quality Score 48/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EMNIS calculated?
We run Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 18.10 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 139.30 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 18.10 TRY, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (26.22 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (11.73 TRY to 26.22 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
The market capitalisation of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 998M TRY (≈ $20.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 19.4 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
Earnings per share at Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are 0.6500 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 214.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
The net margin of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 9.1% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
The operating margin of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
Revenue at Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS)?
Earnings per share at Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are growing −77.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EMNIS) carry?
The net debt of Eminis Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 5.6M TRY (fiscal year 2020, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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