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Embpar Participacoes S.A. (EPAR3) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · BR · Market cap R$22.0M (≈ $4.2M)

EP Embpar Participacoes S.A. EPAR3 · SA
PriceR$1.33
Fair ValueR$2.13
Upside+60.0%
Quality50/100
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Strengths

Trades 38% below our fair value of R$2.13
Solidly profitable · 18.7% net margin
Ranks above peers (8/12)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −65.0 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −65.0 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 18.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Low Range R$1.59 – R$3.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from R$1.78 to R$2.13 (+19.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, trading 38% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$1.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (R$1.59 to R$3.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$14.45 R$1.30 Fair Value R$2.13 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$1.30 – R$14.45 · fair‑value band R$1.59 – R$3.17 · the R$1.33 price screens below the R$2.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Embpar Participacoes S.A. (EPAR3) currently trades at R$1.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$2.13, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Embpar Participacoes S.A. generated revenue of R$2.4M at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 44.3. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$1.59 (bear case) to R$3.17 (bull case); at R$1.33, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at 60%, EPAR3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM R$0.0200 R$0.0200 R$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$0.0200 R$0.0200 R$0.0200 61
NCAV (Graham) R$1.33 R$1.78 R$2.65 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$0.0200 R$0.0200 R$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$0.0200 R$0.0200 R$0.0200 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$1.33 R$1.78 R$2.65 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (R$1.78) versus Dividend Discount (R$0.0200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 44.3
P/S ratio 10.7 TTM
EPS (TTM) R$0.0300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.3
Net margin -120% FY2025
Return on equity 0.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin -1,460% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) R$2.4M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.1% 3y avg -87.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −R$3.8M FY2025
Net cash R$12.0K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Embpar Participacoes S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate investment and property rental business in Brazil. The company engages in the industrialization and trade of wood and pine logs; and the management and administration of real estate property.

Full company description

Embpar Participacoes S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate investment and property rental business in Brazil. The company engages in the industrialization and trade of wood and pine logs; and the management and administration of real estate property. The company was formerly known as Battistella Administração e Participações S/A " APABA and it changed its name to Embpar Participacoes S.A. in April 2008. Embpar Participacoes S.A. was incorporated in 1974 and is headquartered in Rio Negrinho, Brazil. Embpar Participacoes S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Aliança Battistella Agro Pastoril e Administradora de Bens S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Embpar Participacoes S.A. reported revenue of R$2.4M in FY2025 versus R$943M in FY2021, a compound −77.6%/yr. Reported net income was −R$2.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$2.4M
Latest YoY
−90.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−87.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−65.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−23.8%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −77.6%/yr
FY21 R$943M
FY22 R$1.1B
FY23 R$457M
FY24 R$24.4M
FY25 R$2.4M
Net income
FY21 R$73.9M
FY22 R$76.2M
FY23 R$15.6M
FY24 −R$6.8M
FY25 −R$2.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Embpar Participacoes S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EPAR3

Peer Group

Lumber & Wood Production · 81 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Above median
Return on assets -17% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.56× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 9.06× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 6
FUTURE36 · sector 0
PAST4 · sector 2
HEALTH100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND3 · sector 48

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $194.83 $145.26 -25%
West Fraser Timber Co WFG C$94.11 C$33.38 -65%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $88.29 $107.07 +21%
Stella-Jones Inc SJ C$75.22 C$92.56 +23%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $84.25 $51.39 -39%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹751.05 ₹201.01 -73%
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥12.58 ¥14.78 +17%
Canfor Corporation CFP C$14.77 C$4.54 -69%
Interfor Corporation IFP C$13.98 C$6.43 -54%
Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 ¥3.11 ¥0.6700 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Embpar Participacoes S.A. (EPAR3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$2.13 versus a price of R$1.33, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EPAR3?
Our model-based fair value for Embpar Participacoes S.A. is R$2.13 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$1.33.
What is the quality score of EPAR3?
Embpar Participacoes S.A. has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Embpar Participacoes S.A. (EPAR3)?
Embpar Participacoes S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$2.4M (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EPAR3?
The net profit margin of Embpar Participacoes S.A. is about 18.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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