EPL Limited (EPL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of EPL Limited ₹170, price ₹238, upside -28.4%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹136.12 – ₹278.75 · fair‑value band ₹102.03 – ₹221.52 · the ₹238.10 price screens above the ₹170.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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EPL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells plastic packaging materials in the form of multilayer collapsible tubes, corrugated boxes, and laminates in the Americas, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, South Asia, and the East Asia Pacific.
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EPL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells plastic packaging materials in the form of multilayer collapsible tubes, corrugated boxes, and laminates in the Americas, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, South Asia, and the East Asia Pacific. The company provides dispensing systems, caps and closures, laminated tubes, laminates, and extruded tubes. It also offers sustainable laminated tubes, including Platina, Platina Pro, Platina Me, Platina Vision, Etain, Organic Green Maple Leaf, Green Maple Leaf, Super Titanium, and Clarion. In addition, the company provides printing technologies, such as NEOSeam, glitters, glow in the dark, 3D foil, screen braille effect, and lens foil effect. It serves the beauty and cosmetics, health and pharmaceuticals, food, home, and oral care industries. The company was formerly known as Essel Propack Limited and changed its name to EPL Limited in October 2020. EPL Limited was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
EPL Limited (EPL) currently trades at ₹238.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹170.40, implying the stock looks roughly 39.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹206.42 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹238.10 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹59.78, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹102.03 (bear) to ₹221.52 (bull), the price of ₹238.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
EPL Limited reported revenue of ₹47.6B in FY2026 versus ₹34.1B in FY2022, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.9B in FY2026, compounding +16.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹76.3B (≈ $797M) · P/E ratio 19.6 · P/S ratio 1.60 · EPS (TTM) ₹12.13 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 8.2% · Return on equity 15.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −28%, EPL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹102.03Fair Value ₹170.40Bull ₹221.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹5.98 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.2% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+12.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.4% vs 7.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 12%
2026 sits 70% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+36.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.3% a year for the price and +4.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 267 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−28.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)12.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)19.6× · Pricier than median
P/B2.67× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.60× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA7.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)89· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)60· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)43· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EPL Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EPL
Frequently asked questions
Is EPL Limited (EPL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹170.40 versus a price of ₹238.10, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EPL?
Our model-based fair value for EPL Limited is ₹170.40 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹238.10.
What is the quality score of EPL?
EPL Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EPL Limited (EPL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹170.40 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹102.03, optimistic scenario ₹221.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EPL Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹170.40, about −28% upside versus a price of ₹238.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹102.03, optimistic scenario ₹221.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EPL Limited (EPL)?
EPL Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹47.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does EPL Limited pay a dividend?
EPL Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into EPL Limited (EPL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, EPL Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +36.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.1 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EPL use?
Our models discount EPL Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For EPL Limited that is +36.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has EPL Limited (EPL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at EPL Limited grew +9.1 % a year. The price currently implies +36.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of EPL Limited (EPL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into EPL Limited (+36.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of EPL Limited (EPL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.91 %: that much free cash flow EPL Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of EPL Limited (EPL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EPL Limited it is ₹170.40 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹238.10. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EPL Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, EPL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹238.10, fair value ₹170.40, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EPL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹238.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹170.40). For EPL Limited the two are ₹67.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EPL Limited worth?
The market values EPL Limited at about ₹76.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹238.10; our models calculate a fair value of ₹170.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EPL?
Our models span a range for EPL Limited: cautious scenario ₹102.03, base ₹170.40, optimistic ₹221.52 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹238.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EPL?
EPL Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹170.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of EPL Limited (EPL)?
Balance-sheet figures for EPL Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 15.1%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EPL from its 52-week high?
EPL Limited trades at ₹238.10, about 12% below its 52-week high of ₹270.10 and 32% above the low of ₹180.12 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹170.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EPL Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EPL Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹238.10, calculated fair value ₹170.40 (−28%), Quality Score 53/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EPL calculated?
We run EPL Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹170.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. EPL Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EPL Limited (EPL)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹238.10. Our model-based fair value is ₹170.40, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EPL Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹221.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹102.03 to ₹221.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of EPL Limited (EPL) come from?
Earnings per share at EPL Limited grew +7.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin −1.3 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of EPL Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of EPL Limited (EPL)?
The market capitalisation of EPL Limited is ₹76.3B (≈ $797M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EPL Limited (EPL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EPL Limited is 1.60 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EPL Limited (EPL)?
Earnings per share at EPL Limited are ₹12.13 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of EPL Limited (EPL)?
The dividend yield of EPL Limited is 2.2% (payout 42.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of EPL Limited (EPL)?
The net margin of EPL Limited is 8.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EPL Limited (EPL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EPL Limited is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EPL Limited (EPL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EPL Limited is 10.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EPL Limited (EPL)?
The operating margin of EPL Limited is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EPL Limited (EPL)?
Revenue at EPL Limited is growing +17.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EPL Limited (EPL)?
Earnings per share at EPL Limited are growing −9.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does EPL Limited (EPL) carry?
The net debt of EPL Limited is ₹7.6B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 5.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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