Erria A/S (ERRIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Erria A/S DKK 2.71, price DKK 4.60, upside -41.1%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 2.39 – kr 7.97 · fair‑value band kr 2.03 – kr 3.39 · the kr 4.60 price screens above the kr 2.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Erria A/S engages in the shipping, offshore support, logistics, and maritime-related manufacturing and trading activities in Denmark, Vietnam, and Singapore.
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Erria A/S engages in the shipping, offshore support, logistics, and maritime-related manufacturing and trading activities in Denmark, Vietnam, and Singapore. The company provides ship management services, including operational management, fleet management, crew management, technical management, and safety and compliance; marine warranty survey services, such as independent technical reviews, risk assessment and mitigation, compliance and loss prevention, and marine logistics support; and offshore personnel services comprising recruitment and provision of skilled personnel, support for fiber optic cable laying and installation, expansion into subsea contractors' market, and safety and compliance training. It also offers container services which include strategic storage solutions, container depot handling, and container maintenance and repair. In addition, the company engages in the provision of lifesaving and firefighting equipment; safety audits and inspections; safety management systems; ballast water treatment systems; and environmental compliance. Further, it offers standard security, high-security, cable, bolt, and RFID seals. The company was formerly known as Rederiet Fabricius A/S and changed its name to Erria A/S in April 2007. Erria A/S was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Køge, Denmark.
Stock analysis
Erria A/S (ERRIA) currently trades at kr 4.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2.71, implying the stock looks roughly 69.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 10.68 per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 4.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 0.8500, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 2.03 (bear) to kr 3.39 (bull), the price of kr 4.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Erria A/S reported revenue of 215M DKK in FY2025 versus 59.1M DKK in FY2021, a compound +38.1%/yr. Reported net income was 8.0M DKK in FY2025, compounding +67.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 75.4M DKK (≈ $11.5M) · P/E ratio 7.1 · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.6500 · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 41.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% · Operating margin 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at −41%, ERRIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 2.03Fair Value kr 2.71Bull kr 3.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.4773 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.8% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+43.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+43.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.43% vs −4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Denmark: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.0% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside−42% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)41% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth31% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)7.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.49× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.05× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF1.4× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 54
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Erria A/S Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ERRIA
Frequently asked questions
Is Erria A/S (ERRIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 2.71 versus a price of kr 4.60, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ERRIA?
Our model-based fair value for Erria A/S is kr 2.71 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 4.60.
What is the quality score of ERRIA?
Erria A/S has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 2.71 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 2.03, optimistic scenario kr 3.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Erria A/S stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 2.71, about −41% upside versus a price of kr 4.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 2.03, optimistic scenario kr 3.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
Erria A/S reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 215M DKK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Erria A/S would have to grow free cash flow by -11.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +31.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ERRIA use?
Our models discount Erria A/S at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Denmark. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Erria A/S that is -11.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Erria A/S (ERRIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Erria A/S grew +31.2 % a year. The price currently implies -11.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Erria A/S (ERRIA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Erria A/S (-11.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.19 %: that much free cash flow Erria A/S produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Erria A/S it is kr 2.71 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 4.60. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Erria A/S stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ERRIA trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 4.60, fair value kr 2.71, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ERRIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 4.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 2.71). For Erria A/S the two are kr 1.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Erria A/S worth?
The market values Erria A/S at about 75.4M DKK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 4.60; our models calculate a fair value of kr 2.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ERRIA?
Our models span a range for Erria A/S: cautious scenario kr 2.03, base kr 2.71, optimistic kr 3.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 4.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ERRIA?
Erria A/S trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 2.71 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Erria A/S (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 41.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ERRIA from its 52-week high?
Erria A/S trades at kr 4.60, about 32% below its 52-week high of kr 6.78 and 35% above the low of kr 3.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 2.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Erria A/S?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Erria A/S stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 4.60, calculated fair value kr 2.71 (−41%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ERRIA calculated?
We run Erria A/S through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 2.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Erria A/S itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 4.60. Our model-based fair value is kr 2.71, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Erria A/S right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 3.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Erria A/S
How large is the market capitalisation of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
The market capitalisation of Erria A/S is 75.4M DKK (≈ $11.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Erria A/S is 0.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
Earnings per share at Erria A/S are kr 0.6500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
The net margin of Erria A/S is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Erria A/S is 41.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Erria A/S is 11.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
The operating margin of Erria A/S is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
Revenue at Erria A/S is growing +30.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Erria A/S (ERRIA)?
Earnings per share at Erria A/S are growing +16.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Erria A/S (ERRIA) hold?
Erria A/S holds more cash than debt, 227K DKK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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