Erria A/S (ERRIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DK · Market cap 75.4M DKK
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from kr 8.45 to kr 2.96 (−65.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +38.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 3.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 1.92 to kr 3.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 2.39 – kr 7.97 · fair‑value band kr 1.92 – kr 3.70 · the kr 5.70 price screens above the kr 2.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Erria A/S (ERRIA) currently trades at kr 5.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2.96, implying the stock looks roughly 48.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Erria A/S generated revenue of 215M DKK at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 30.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 41.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 5.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 1.92 (bear case) to kr 3.70 (bull case); at kr 5.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -48%, ERRIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 8.29) versus Dividend Discount (kr 0.8300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Erria A/S engages in the shipping, offshore support, logistics, and maritime-related manufacturing and trading activities in Denmark, Vietnam, and Singapore.
Full company description
Erria A/S engages in the shipping, offshore support, logistics, and maritime-related manufacturing and trading activities in Denmark, Vietnam, and Singapore. The company provides ship management services, including operational management, fleet management, crew management, technical management, and safety and compliance; marine warranty survey services, such as independent technical reviews, risk assessment and mitigation, compliance and loss prevention, and marine logistics support; and offshore personnel services comprising recruitment and provision of skilled personnel, support for fiber optic cable laying and installation, expansion into subsea contractors' market, and safety and compliance training. It also offers container services which include strategic storage solutions, container depot handling, and container maintenance and repair. In addition, the company engages in the provision of lifesaving and firefighting equipment; safety audits and inspections; safety management systems; ballast water treatment systems; and environmental compliance. Further, it offers standard security, high-security, cable, bolt, and RFID seals. The company was formerly known as Rederiet Fabricius A/S and changed its name to Erria A/S in April 2007. Erria A/S was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Køge, Denmark.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Erria A/S reported revenue of kr 215M in FY2025 versus kr 59.1M in FY2021, a compound +38.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 8.0M in FY2025, compounding +67.9%/yr from FY2021.
ERRIA screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,828 | ₹1,041 | -43% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,520 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥13.98 | ¥40.37 | +189% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.57 | +27% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 20,050 KRW | 33,855 KRW | +69% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.35 | ¥5.58 | +67% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.88 | ¥15.97 | +80% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹330.05 | ₹126.31 | -62% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 80.70 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +164% |
| Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI | kr 137.70 | kr 50.56 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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