PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk., (ESSA) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 10.3T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 541.77 IDR to 538.17 IDR (−0.7%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +17.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range (358.78 IDR to 896.95 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 173.06 IDR – 1,285 IDR · fair‑value band 358.78 IDR – 896.95 IDR · the 635.00 IDR price screens above the 538.17 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk., (ESSA) currently trades at 635.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 538.17 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk., generated revenue of 321M IDR at a net margin of 15.9%. Revenue grew 36.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 126M IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 358.78 IDR (bear case) to 896.95 IDR (bull case); at 635.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -15%, ESSA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (1,256 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (358.78 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) refinery in Indonesia. It operates through the Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) and Processing Fee, Ammonia, and Others segments.
Full company description
PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) refinery in Indonesia. It operates through the Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) and Processing Fee, Ammonia, and Others segments. The company offers ammonia used as a raw material for fertilizer production, explosives, dyes, household cleaners, and nylon. It also provides LPG primarily for use as a kitchen appliance fuel for homes, shopping centers, and hotels; ammonia plant; and motor vehicle fuel, as well as for construction industries, such as welding fuel in steel workshops; and condensate for use as a raw material for thinner, adhesive, and vehicle tire applications, as well as light naphtha, which is a cracker material for the manufacture of polyethylene. In addition, the company offers management and business consulting services; industrial products from oil refineries; and raw feed gas through pipelines, as well as organic basic chemical industry sourced from agricultural products. Further, the company engages in the procurement and distribution of natural and artificial gas; oil mining; trade of solid, liquid, and gas fuels; and supporting activities of oil and other natural gas mining. The company was formerly known as PT Surya Esa Perkasa Tbk and changed its name to PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk. in October 2023. PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk., reported revenue of 291M IDR in FY2025 versus 303M IDR in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 39.8M IDR in FY2025, compounding +29.9%/yr from FY2021.
ESSA screens 15% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥10.95 | ¥2.39 | -78% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
Compare PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk., with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk., (ESSA) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ESSA?
What is the quality score of ESSA?
What is the revenue of PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk., (ESSA)?
What is the net profit margin of ESSA?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track PT ESSA Industries Indonesia Tbk., and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.