Eve Holding Inc (EVEX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Eve Holding Inc $0.29, price $1.74, upside -83.3%, quality 19 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range $1.74 – $12.38 · fair‑value band $0.1900 – $0.3600 · the $1.74 price screens above the $0.2900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Eve Holding, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops urban air mobility solutions in the United States.
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Eve Holding, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops urban air mobility solutions in the United States. It is involved in the design and production of electrical vertical take-off and landing vehicles (eVTOLs); provision of eVTOL service and support services, including material, maintenance, technical support, training, ground handling, and data services; and development of Vector, an urban air traffic management systems. The company is based in Melbourne, Florida. Eve Holding, Inc. is a subsidiary of Embraer Aircraft Holding, Inc.
Stock analysis
Eve Holding Inc (EVEX) currently trades at $1.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2900, 83.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.1900 (bear) to $0.3600 (bull), the price of $1.74 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Eve Holding Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$224M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $986M · EPS (TTM) $−0.7400 · Return on equity −370% · Return on assets (EBIT) −59.8% · Free cash flow −$173M · Net debt $76.6M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −83%, EVEX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1900Fair Value $0.2900Bull $0.3600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−83.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−37.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.43× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/B7.96× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)29· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 18
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Eve Holding Inc (EVEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2900 versus a price of $1.74, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EVEX?
Our model-based fair value for Eve Holding Inc is $0.2900 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.74.
What is the quality score of EVEX?
Eve Holding Inc has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eve Holding Inc (EVEX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2900 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1900, optimistic scenario $0.3600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Eve Holding Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2900, about −83% upside versus a price of $1.74 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1900, optimistic scenario $0.3600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Eve Holding Inc (EVEX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eve Holding Inc it is $0.2900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.74. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Eve Holding Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EVEX trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.74, fair value $0.2900, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EVEX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2900). For Eve Holding Inc the two are $1.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eve Holding Inc worth?
The market values Eve Holding Inc at about $986M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.74; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EVEX?
Our models span a range for Eve Holding Inc: cautious scenario $0.1900, base $0.2900, optimistic $0.3600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eve Holding Inc (EVEX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eve Holding Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −369.6%, debt of 1.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EVEX from its 52-week high?
Eve Holding Inc trades at $1.74, about 66% below its 52-week high of $5.06 and at the low of $1.74 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eve Holding Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eve Holding Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.74, calculated fair value $0.2900 (−83%), Quality Score 19/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EVEX calculated?
We run Eve Holding Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Eve Holding Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Eve Holding Inc (EVEX)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.74. Our model-based fair value is $0.2900, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Eve Holding Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1900 to $0.3600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Eve Holding Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Eve Holding Inc (EVEX)?
The market capitalisation of Eve Holding Inc is $986M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Eve Holding Inc (EVEX)?
Earnings per share at Eve Holding Inc are $−0.7400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Eve Holding Inc (EVEX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Eve Holding Inc is −370% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eve Holding Inc (EVEX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eve Holding Inc is −59.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Eve Holding Inc (EVEX) generate?
The free cash flow of Eve Holding Inc is −$173M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Eve Holding Inc (EVEX) carry?
The net debt of Eve Holding Inc is $76.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026