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Evoke plc (EVOK) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 213M GBX

EP Evoke plc EVOK · LSE
Price£0.4600
Fair Value£1.38
Upside+200.0%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -30.7% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: Medium Range £1.38 – £2.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from £1.44 to £1.38 (−4.2%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −1.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 200% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£1.38). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (£1.38 to £2.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£4.78 £0.2095 Fair Value £1.38 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.2095 – £4.78 · fair‑value band £1.38 – £2.59 · the £0.4600 price screens below the £1.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Evoke plc (EVOK) currently trades at £0.4600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.38, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Evoke plc generated revenue of £1.8B at a net margin of -30.7%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. Net debt stands at £1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £1.38 (bear case) to £2.59 (bull case); at £0.4600, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at 200%, EVOK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £0.5900 80
Rev-Margin DCF £0.4900 £2.67 74
Gordon GGM £0.6800 £1.14 £1.47 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £1.12 38
5Y Revenue Exit £0.5400 £2.90 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £0.8900 £4.82 £9.85 41
10Y Revenue Exit £2.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £2.67 £7.17 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.6800 £1.14 £1.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.6800 £1.08 £1.22 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT £0.4100 £1.67 £2.94 53
EV/EBITDA £3.18 £5.37 £7.56 54
EV/Revenue £0.2700 £1.36 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.5900 80
Rev-Margin DCF £0.4900 £2.67 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (£2.67) versus Growth DCF (£0.4900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.8B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.2%
Net margin -30.7%
Free cash flow 86.6M GBX FY2025
Operating margin 8.4%
EPS (TTM) £-1.22
More key figures
Net debt 1.6B GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Evoke plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a betting and gaming company in the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Romania, Denmark, and internationally. The company operates through Retail, UK&I Online, and International segments.

Full company description

Evoke plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a betting and gaming company in the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Romania, Denmark, and internationally. The company operates through Retail, UK&I Online, and International segments. It is involved in the operation of gaming machines; and online activities, comprising sports betting, casino, and poker and other gaming products, as well as telephone betting services. The company owns and operates its business through William Hill, William Hill Vegas, 888casino, 888sport, 888poker, Mr Green, and Winner brands. The company was formerly known as 888 Holdings plc and changed its name to Evoke plc in May 2024. Evoke plc was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Gibraltar, Gibraltar.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Evoke plc reported revenue of £1.8B in FY2025 versus £712M in FY2021, a compound +25.8%/yr. Reported net income was −£548M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£1.8B
Latest YoY
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.7%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.3%
Revenue +25.8%/yr
FY21 £712M
FY22 £1.2B
FY23 £1.7B
FY24 £1.8B
FY25 £1.8B
Net income
FY21 £49.9M
FY22 −£121M
FY23 −£56.4M
FY24 −£192M
FY25 −£548M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Evoke plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EVOK

Peer Group

Gambling · 57 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -31% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 113.29× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 33
FUTURE 1 · sector 5
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 70

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT $98.08 $88.33 -10%
Evolution AB EVO kr 737.20 kr 973.92 +32%
The Lottery Corporation TLC A$5.43 A$2.99 -45%
Super Group SGHC $12.81 $9.39 -27%
Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO $89.75 $77.19 -14%
Lottomatica Group LTMC €24.25 €16.45 -32%
Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN $88.53 $88.74 +0%
FDJ United FDJ €22.33 €20.97 -6%
Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL $11.31 $17.61 +56%
Tabcorp Holdings TAH A$0.9150 A$0.6000 -34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Evoke plc (EVOK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.38 versus a price of £0.4600, about +200% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EVOK?
Our model-based fair value for Evoke plc is £1.38 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.4600.
What is the quality score of EVOK?
Evoke plc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Evoke plc (EVOK)?
Evoke plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EVOK?
The net profit margin of Evoke plc is about -30.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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