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Tabcorp Holdings (TAH) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$1.8B

TH Tabcorp Holdings TAH · AU
PriceA$0.8200
Fair ValueA$0.6000
Upside-26.8%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.3400 – A$0.8600

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +8.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$1.14 A$0.6629 Fair Value A$0.6000 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.6629 – A$1.14 · fair‑value band A$0.3400 – A$0.8600 · the A$0.8200 price screens above the A$0.6000 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Tabcorp Holdings (TAH) currently trades at A$0.8200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.6000 — implying the stock looks roughly 26.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tabcorp Holdings generated revenue of A$2.6B at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. Net debt stands at A$626M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$2.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.0%
Net margin 1.3%
Return on equity 2.6%
Free cash flow A$289M FY2025
P/E ratio 79.0
More key figures
Operating margin 6.8%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0100
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -18.2%
Net debt A$626M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Tabcorp Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides gambling, and entertainment and integrity services in Australia. It operates through Wagering and Media, and Integrity Services segments. The Wagering and Media segment offers totalisator and fixed odds betting on racing, sports, and other events through a network of TAB agencies, hotels and clubs, and on-course operations, as well as through retail, Internet, mobile devices, and phone. It also provides Trackside, a computer simulate racing product; and international wagering and pooling services. In addition, the company engages in the Sky Racing television channels broadcasting thoroughbred, and harness and greyhound racing to audiences; Sky Racing Active, a digital app providing Sky Racing's live and on-demand racing content across thoroughbred, and harness and greyhound racing; Sky Sports television channels; and Sky Sports Radio network. The Integrity Services segment provides electronic gaming machine (EGM) mon…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tabcorp Holdings reported revenue of A$2.6B in FY2025 versus A$2.1B in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$36.6M in FY2025, compounding −39.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +5.1%/yr
FY21 A$2.1B
FY22 A$2.0B
FY23 A$2.1B
FY24 A$2.3B
FY25 A$2.6B
Net income −39.3%/yr
FY21 A$269M
FY22 A$6.8B
FY23 A$66.5M
FY24 −A$1.4B
FY25 A$36.6M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tabcorp Holdings (TAH) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.6000 versus a price of A$0.8200 — about −27% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TAH?
Our 21-model fair value for Tabcorp Holdings is A$0.6000 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.8200.
What is the quality score of TAH?
Tabcorp Holdings has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Tabcorp Holdings (TAH)?
Tabcorp Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$2.6B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TAH?
The net profit margin of Tabcorp Holdings is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tabcorp Holdings pay a dividend?
Tabcorp Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.