FDJ United (FDJ) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AT · Market cap €4.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (€15.72 to €29.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €20.37 – €39.26 · fair‑value band €15.72 – €29.60 · the €22.29 price screens above the €20.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
FDJ United (FDJ) currently trades at €22.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €20.97, implying the stock looks roughly 5.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, FDJ United generated revenue of €3.7B at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.3%. Net debt stands at €1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €15.72 (bear case) to €29.60 (bull case); at €22.29, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -6%, FDJ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€40.61) versus Asset-Based (€3.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
FDJ United engages in the gambling operation and distribution business in France and internationally. The company operates through Lottery and Sports Betting; Online Betting and Gaming; International Lottery; and Payment and Services segments.
Full company description
FDJ United engages in the gambling operation and distribution business in France and internationally. The company operates through Lottery and Sports Betting; Online Betting and Gaming; International Lottery; and Payment and Services segments. It offers prize draws, such as Loto and Euromillions, as well as Illiko instant games; online offer (open to competition), including sports betting and horse-race betting, poker and casino games; and payment and collection service through a network of point"of"sale registered as agents. The company also provides B2B solutions; and owns Relax Gaming, a supplier of online gambling products. The company was formerly known as La Française des Jeux Société anonyme and changed its name to FDJ United in March 2025. FDJ United was founded in 1933 and is based in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
FDJ United reported revenue of €3.7B in FY2025 versus €2.3B in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was €176M in FY2025, compounding −12.1%/yr from FY2021.
Watch FDJ: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- FDJ United (LFDJF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Tax Headwinds and Strategic ...
- FDJ UNITED - H1 2026
- FDJ UNITED: Combined General Meeting of 23 April 2026
- FDJ UNITED - Q1 2026
Peer Group
Gambling · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT | $110.66 | $88.33 | -20% |
| Evolution AB EVO | kr 684.00 | kr 974.80 | +43% |
| The Lottery Corporation TLC | A$5.62 | A$2.99 | -47% |
| Super Group SGHC | $14.73 | $9.39 | -36% |
| Lottomatica Group LTMC | €25.62 | €16.38 | -36% |
| Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO | $78.94 | $70.17 | -11% |
| Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN | $83.95 | $94.74 | +13% |
| Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL | $10.71 | $17.61 | +64% |
| Tabcorp Holdings TAH | A$0.8750 | A$0.3700 | -58% |
| Betsson AB BETSB | kr 90.60 | kr 346.34 | +282% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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