First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of First Citizens BancShares, Inc. stock $2,531, price $2,274, upside +11.3%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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First Citizens BancShares, Inc.
FCNCA · USThe stock costs 10% less than our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $502.92 – $2,383 · fair‑value band $2,240 – $3,532 · the $2,274 price screens below the $2,531 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
First Citizens BancShares, Inc. operates as the holding company for First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company that provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals, businesses, and professionals in the United States and internationally.
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It operates through the General Bank, Commercial Bank, and Rail segments.
The General Bank segment offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts; conforming and jumbo residential mortgage, and business and commercial loans; brokerage, investment advisory, private stock loans, other secured and unsecured lending products, and vineyard development loans; planning-based financial strategies, family office, financial planning, tax planning, and trust services; and payment and treasury services.
This segment also includes a community association bank business that supports deposit, cash management, and lending to homeowner associations and property management companies.
Its Commercial Bank segment provides a range of leasing, capital markets, asset management, and other financial and advisory services; factoring, receivable management, supply chain financing, and secured financing services; and commercial deposit products and services through online and mobile banking platforms, as well as physical locations.
The Rail segment offers customized leasing and financing solutions on a fleet of railcars and locomotives to railroads and shippers.
Its railcar types include covered hopper cars used to ship grain and agricultural products, plastic pellets, sand, and cement; tank cars for energy products and chemicals; gondolas for coal, steel coil and mill service products; open-top hopper cars for coal and aggregates; boxcars for paper and auto parts; and centerbeams and flat cars for lumber.
First Citizens BancShares, Inc. was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.
Stock analysis
First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA) currently trades at $2,274, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2,531, implying the stock looks roughly 10% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $2,747 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the $2,274 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $317.21, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $2,240 (bear) to $3,532 (bull), the price of $2,274 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
First Citizens BancShares, Inc. reported revenue of $14.5B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +66.2%/yr. Reported net income was $2.2B in FY2025, compounding +41.7%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $26.2B Large · P/E ratio 12.1 · P/S ratio 2.77 · EPS (TTM) $194.68 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 25.2% · Return on equity 11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 66 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 11%, FCNCA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 6 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $12.7M, most recently on Aug 19, 2026. Over the same period, 2 people sold shares worth $15.4M. Buying cluster
- BuyDiane E. MoraisDirector50 shares at $2,168$108,405Aug 19, 2026
- BuyHOLDING FRANK B JRChairman and CEO, Director, 10% owner8× since Nov 26, 2025: 7,572 shares, avg. $1,740$13.2MJun 5, 2026
- SaleEllen R AlemanyDirector2,520 shares at $2,047$5.2MJun 4, 2026
- SaleHOLDING FRANK B JRChairman and CEO, Director, 10% owner5,346 shares at $1,919$10.3MMay 12, 2026
- BuyRalph Mattox Snow IIIDirector11 shares at $1,944$21,386Mar 5, 2026
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Watch FCNCA, get fair value alerts →
Recent news
- Earnings Estimates Moving Higher for First Citizens (FCNCA): Time to Buy?
- First Citizens Bank Opens New Banking Office and Branch in Downtown Santa Monica
- First Citizens BancShares, Inc. 5.625 NONCM SR C declares $0.3516 dividend
- First Citizens BancShares declares $2.25 dividend
Compare First Citizens BancShares, Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 998 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- P/S ratio by industry
- EBIT margin by industry
- PEG screener for stocks with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 | ¥5.53 | ¥7.59 | +37% | vs FCNCA |
| China Merchants Bank Co 600036 | ¥42.88 | ¥52.73 | +23% | vs FCNCA |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €91.93 | €106.01 | +15% | vs FCNCA |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.18 | €4.49 | −27% | vs FCNCA |
| State Bank of India SBIN | ₹1,019 | ₹736.65 | −28% | vs FCNCA |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €76.80 | €50.44 | −34% | vs FCNCA |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $9.40 | $5.90 | −37% | vs FCNCA |
| DBS Group D05 | 69.72 SGD | 40.39 SGD | −42% | vs FCNCA |
| HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK | ₹788.25 | ₹406.39 | −48% | vs FCNCA |
| ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK | ₹1,571 | ₹615.63 | −61% | vs FCNCA |
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Key figures of First Citizens BancShares, Inc.
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