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First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust (FCXXF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $3.4B

Price$16.21
Fair Value$15.70
Upside-3.1%
Quality94/100
Evidence: High Range $11.78 – $17.66

Analysis

First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust (FCXXF) currently trades at $16.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.70 — implying the stock looks roughly 3.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust is an unincorporated, open-ended mutual fund trust. First Capital owns and operates, acquires, and develops open-air grocery-anchored shopping centres in neighborhoods with the strongest demographics in Canada. The Trust is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange. On November 24, 2025, the Trust's unitholders approved an internal tax reorganization that was completed by way of a plan of arrangement (the Arrangement). The Arrangement simplified First Capital's organizational structure by eliminating First Capital Realty Inc. as the Trust's wholly owned corporate subsidiary that owned, directly and indirectly, all of First Capital's real property portfolio. The Arrangement was completed and became effective on November 30, 2025. Following the Arrangement, First Capital now holds substantially all its real property portfolio through flow-through entities, namely subsidiary partnerships and trusts. First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust is inc…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.